Does anyone make early NFL plays?

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  • jjgold
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 07-20-05
    • 388179

    #1
    Does anyone make early NFL plays?
    I would think the purpose is only to do buybacks or if you really think it’s a weak number
  • firedawg
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 10-08-08
    • 39219

    #2
    Originally posted by jjgold
    I would think the purpose is only to do buybacks or if you really think it’s a weak number
    Already have my ncaa plays in
    Beat the opener on about 1/2
    It's a crap shoot
    Comment
    • GzaTheGenius
      SBR MVP
      • 02-12-13
      • 4181

      #3
      Took under 43 for the Giants game
      Comment
      • Duckshit
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 10-06-10
        • 7964

        #4
        Already bet Carolina on Thursday and Alabama on Saturday.
        Comment
        • funnyb25
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 07-09-09
          • 39663

          #5
          Very good young players prior to the NFL that end up making it to the NFL would qualify as making an early NFL player I guess.
          Comment
          • lakerboy
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 04-02-09
            • 94379

            #6
            Yes.

            I don't see much difference in doing it early and late. You are guessing either way

            I have det +3 and atl ok
            Comment
            • Easy-Rider 66
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 02-14-12
              • 36369

              #7
              Dropped in Pick 6 plays. WHo knows where the lines might move? Hope for the best.
              Comment
              • funnyb25
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 07-09-09
                • 39663

                #8
                Nice thread title change
                Comment
                • Grits n' Gravy
                  Restricted User
                  • 06-10-10
                  • 13024

                  #9
                  Yes. Picking off some opening numbers that differ from my projections.
                  Comment
                  • Sam Odom
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 10-30-05
                    • 58063

                    #10
                    "These are all guesses so take the points and you wont get hurt so bad" - jjgold
                    Comment
                    • JAKEPEAVY21
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 03-11-11
                      • 29309

                      #11
                      no but locked in some college games sunday night and yesterday
                      Comment
                      • agendaman
                        SBR MVP
                        • 12-01-11
                        • 3730

                        #12
                        that rams-saints game may see 80 pts. scored p.s. 5dimes has the dolphins at plus 19 any thoughts
                        Comment
                        • Sam Odom
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 10-30-05
                          • 58063

                          #13
                          Generally the Dolphins play NE tough in Miami

                          This season tho...

                          Also , there's always an overreaction to last weeks blowouts. In this case , both teams
                          Comment
                          • KVB
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 05-29-14
                            • 74817

                            #14
                            Originally posted by JAKEPEAVY21
                            ...locked in some college games sunday night and yesterday
                            Comment
                            • JayLA
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 09-11-12
                              • 7806

                              #15
                              Unless I have a really strong opinion about a game, I like to have a week's worth of betting line movement information....so I can lose my shirt every sunday.
                              Comment
                              • KVB
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 05-29-14
                                • 74817

                                #16
                                Originally posted by JayLA
                                Unless I have a really strong opinion about a game, I like to have a week's worth of betting line movement information....so I can lose my shirt every sunday.
                                Yeah, in the NFL it sure helps to hit early if you can, you need to beat the market anyway.

                                Unless you are going the other way and think you can anticipate the line movement. You might be able to get the favorite a little cheaper or the dog a little fatter.

                                But that's a game within the game, another set of gambling in and of itself.

                                Comment
                                • wacked
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 01-13-09
                                  • 719

                                  #17
                                  If the number is way off your projects and you have a solid approach and good track record of course. Also getting the hook when it comes to key numbers, as those might never show up again. This also allows for some middle possibilities if the line moves back across the key number.
                                  Comment
                                  • darrell74
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 04-16-07
                                    • 14648

                                    #18
                                    Yes
                                    Especially favorites.
                                    -3 becomes -4 faster than it drops to -2 1/2

                                    Dogs, I can wait

                                    Totals, I might wait for a weather report
                                    Comment
                                    • BigdaddyQH
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 07-13-09
                                      • 19530

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by KVB
                                      Yeah, in the NFL it sure helps to hit early if you can, you need to beat the market anyway.

                                      Unless you are going the other way and think you can anticipate the line movement. You might be able to get the favorite a little cheaper or the dog a little fatter.

                                      But that's a game within the game, another set of gambling in and of itself.

                                      This proves just how much of a fraud you, and other in here really are. There are numerous Books in Vegas that come out with NFL lines from week 2 thru week 16 before the season starts. Here are some examples of what they predicted and what the lines currently are:
                                      Carolina vs Tampa opened at Carolina -6, now -6 1/2. L.A. Chargers at Detroit opened at LAC -4, now -3. San Fran at Cincy opened as a Pick, now Cincy -1. Pitt vs Seattle opened at Pitt -3, now Pitt - 3 1/2. The point is that the opening line, which was posted weeks BEFORE the opening kickoff, came within 2 /2 points of the current lines in 12 out of the 16 games for this week. Real gamblers know about such information and how to get it. Frauds, like the Chicken S**t and others, who wager very little or nothing at all, do not. When you little girls grow up and want to actually start wagering on a serious level, let me know. if you are going to follow KVB, the biggest Chicken S**t in here, save your breath.
                                      Comment
                                      • Easy-Rider 66
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 02-14-12
                                        • 36369

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by BigdaddyQH
                                        This proves just how much of a fraud you, and other in here really are. There are numerous Books in Vegas that come out with NFL lines from week 2 thru week 16 before the season starts. Here are some examples of what they predicted and what the lines currently are:
                                        Carolina vs Tampa opened at Carolina -6, now -6 1/2. L.A. Chargers at Detroit opened at LAC -4, now -3. San Fran at Cincy opened as a Pick, now Cincy -1. Pitt vs Seattle opened at Pitt -3, now Pitt - 3 1/2. The point is that the opening line, which was posted weeks BEFORE the opening kickoff, came within 2 /2 points of the current lines in 12 out of the 16 games for this week. Real gamblers know about such information and how to get it. Frauds, like the Chicken S**t and others, who wager very little or nothing at all, do not. When you little girls grow up and want to actually start wagering on a serious level, let me know. if you are going to follow KVB, the biggest Chicken S**t in here, save your breath.
                                        Your a tough GUY QH. Yeah used to throw around nickels and dimes in yesteryear. But learned gambling for most is a losing proposition long term. Now I mostly wager the points, play contests here, and sometimes post up $$ across the street for pools. Do play the horses for money on Horse tourneys. Anyway each to his own. GL this season.
                                        Comment
                                        • gauchojake
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 09-17-10
                                          • 34116

                                          #21
                                          Every time I do it immediately moves against me. Rather wait but every now and again I hit an early one.
                                          Comment
                                          • Fishhead
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 08-11-05
                                            • 40179

                                            #22
                                            OP asks a lot of questions
                                            Comment
                                            • 2daBank
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 01-26-09
                                              • 88966

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by gauchojake
                                              Every time I do it immediately moves against me. Rather wait but every now and again I hit an early one.
                                              Totals seem to be only thing that ever move the way I think so they pretty much only thing I play early.
                                              Comment
                                              • jjgold
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 07-20-05
                                                • 388179

                                                #24
                                                You can catch some great baseball numbers but who the hell knows what’s gonna move after the opener


                                                Football if you’re getting three or four points difference by kick off you have to take the other side
                                                Comment
                                                • RangeFinder
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 10-27-16
                                                  • 8041

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by jjgold
                                                  You can catch some great baseball numbers but who the hell knows what’s gonna move after the opener

                                                  Football if you’re getting three or four points difference by kick off you have to take the other side
                                                  jj just watch what I do this year. Take notes
                                                  Comment
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