Friday Plays?? Quiet Card

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  • 2daBank
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-26-09
    • 88966

    #36
    Originally posted by funnyb25
    Could always try first 5 -0.5 -135

    Their bullpen is average at best, so if one likes the twins to win strong enough but -195 being too high, I couldn't see why one wouldn't like them to be ahead after 5 with a much more reasonable price. Just throwing it out there..
    That was actually closest I got to any play in this one. I’d have prob taken it at -130 or less but I’m not a big fan of a teams 1st gm home after a decent road trip, even more so FF as often they somewhat sluggish but turn it up after few abs (sometimes they never get it going)., some teams better/worse about this than others but havnt started tracking yet this year so at moment just a situation I’m aware of doesn’t dictate a play or not.

    Chisox got some mojo going knocking stros off 2 games in a row. Lopez made 2 starts at target last season and pitched 13 innings only allowing 5 hits, 2 runs, lot of walks but was able to pitch around them. Scouting reports say kid has a plus plus fastball and plus curve/slider (think it gets classified as both at times?) this year it hasn’t played to that level consistently but any given day if he got the feel for it he can be tough to barrel up. Catching twins in a spot I think more likely to be sluggish. As much I love berrios and twinks offense just didn’t feel like this was the day to lay a somewhat lofty price for ff rl when I think could very well be low scoring thru 5.. if we got a generous ump that I don’t think would squeeze the kid I think I could very well go FF under 5 at -105 or better!!

    Calling kvb. Who the ump in this one??? Thanks buddy.
    Comment
    • 2daBank
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 01-26-09
      • 88966

      #37
      Originally posted by KVB
      We are on the White Sox here, they have the value and we are rolling in a Contrarian market right now.





      Caught that ass earlier now there's a 4 moneylines pending in the Fund.

      If you made me bet money that what side I’d play. But for contest purpose I gave twinks highest win probability on the day. Such is this crazy thing we call baseball capping!! lol..

      Who the ump buddy? You know yet??? FF under has appeal to me, if chisox are gonnna make this a game I think Lopez has to have a strong performance.
      Comment
      • 2daBank
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 01-26-09
        • 88966

        #38
        Nice hit on reds pal!!! I didn’t have much time this mornin, determined didn’t like cubs for the contest so prob shoulda triggered a play on reds, tired and wasn’t thinking bout it! lol. Plus I thought I was gonna have much shorter day at work than turned out to be, fukkers! Lol
        Comment
        • KVB
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 05-29-14
          • 74817

          #39
          Originally posted by 2daBank
          If you made me bet money that what side I’d play. But for contest purpose I gave twinks highest win probability on the day. Such is this crazy thing we call baseball capping!! lol..

          Who the ump buddy? You know yet??? FF under has appeal to me, if chisox are gonnna make this a game I think Lopez has to have a strong performance.
          The UMP in Minny is Sean Barber, pretty much 50-50 for Totals and home/away. In fact that's what he is over 100 games.

          Totally neutral there.

          About to pick up the KC Runline.

          Comment
          • JIBBBY
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 12-10-09
            • 83686

            #40
            Hell of a late come back win with that Cinny game KVB!!!

            Those early games are always in play and stranger things do happen, nice live bet action you played!!!

            Comment
            • 2daBank
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 01-26-09
              • 88966

              #41
              Originally posted by KVB
              The UMP in Minny is Sean Barber, pretty much 50-50 for Totals and home/away. In fact that's what he is over 100 games.

              Totally neutral there.

              About to pick up the KC Runline.

              I don’t look at their over/under record as a barometer for how I cap them.. imo their over/under numbers don’t really mean much cause so much goes into that. I have book on guys and whether they have big/small/average kzone, that more important for my purposes. Not home tho and off top of my head cant think of him so he prob is close to nuetral.
              Comment
              • KVB
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 05-29-14
                • 74817

                #42
                Picked up the KC Runine in the Contrarian RL Fund. This Fund is currently -8.05 units and I think this is at or near a bottom that could be touched a couple of times...

                Originally posted by KVB
                The KVB MLB Contrarian RL Fund has picked up...

                970 24-May KC +1.5 (-115)
                It's time for these to start cashing...
                Comment
                • KVB
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 05-29-14
                  • 74817

                  #43
                  Originally posted by 2daBank
                  I don’t look at their over/under record as a barometer for how I cap them.. imo their over/under numbers don’t really mean much cause so much goes into that. I have book on guys and whether they have big/small/average kzone, that more important for my purposes. Not home tho and off top of my head cant think of him so he prob is close to nuetral.
                  Yeah 51-50 home/visitor record.

                  So far a neutral guy for sure.

                  Weather is decent too, unlike so many other parts of the country this week.

                  Good Luck Banker!

                  Comment
                  • 2daBank
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 01-26-09
                    • 88966

                    #44
                    I got the chisox/twinks ff under 5 at even money. That where I’m at.
                    Comment
                    • KVB
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 05-29-14
                      • 74817

                      #45
                      Looks like the game in KC is ppd.

                      Shit. Nothing worse than generating a winner in the market and having it get called off.

                      Comment
                      • 2daBank
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 01-26-09
                        • 88966

                        #46
                        Over 10 in stl. Cards finally moved carp out of leadoff spot. Fowler been getting on base at a great clip so should be guys on for godly (who needs to start being a star!), dejung and Ozuna., folty kind of guy we will smack around.. Mikolas gonna prob give us 6+ innings but will give up 4 or so vs Braves lineup. Hot today, ball should carry. I think we see 12 minimum here.
                        Comment
                        • jjgold
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 07-20-05
                          • 388179

                          #47
                          Looking like 2-1 with one left
                          Comment
                          • JIBBBY
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 12-10-09
                            • 83686

                            #48
                            Originally posted by JIBBBY
                            Dodgers and Twins for me.
                            Well bump and cash them both, logging in for second just to bump my shiiit Not great odds on both straights but I knew both teams would win.

                            Twinnies win all credit goes to BIGDAY!!! He's been calling this for weeks now.. TT overs I always ride with the hot teams especially at HOME as you boys know and that was me. This game is not over yet but this should cash...https://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/chicago...ins-390524109/

                            $100.00 $115.00 Pending 5/24/19 8:10pm MLB Baseball 966 Minnesota Twins Over 5½ +115* vs Chicago White Sox (R Lopez - R must Start J Berrios - R must Start)

                            $187.00 $100.00 Pending 5/24/19 8:10pm MLB Baseball 966 Minnesota Twins -187* vs Chicago White Sox (R Lopez - R must Start J Berrios - R must Start)


                            Dodgers easy money tonight in the rebound game.. They got embarrassed in the last game loss.. Came to play tonight.. I cheesed out in the TT over in this game and kicking myself for it.. Not sure what I was thinking??? https://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/los-ang...tes-390524123/

                            $196.00 $100.00 Win 5/24/19 7:05pm MLB Baseball 955 Los Angeles Dodgers -196* vs Pittsburgh Pirates (W Buehler - R must Start M Feliz - R must Start)
                            Comment
                            • BIGDAY
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 02-17-10
                              • 48245

                              #49
                              Originally posted by BIGDAY
                              My system has Twins winning 12-3
                              I’ll be tweeting my system a tad. 11-4 in stead...
                              Comment
                              • KVB
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 05-29-14
                                • 74817

                                #50
                                Twins took us to school again...

                                Originally posted by KVB
                                Dropped all four moneylines on Friday.

                                Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund after Friday, through 223 plays...

                                958 24-May PHI/MIL UNDER 9.5 (-115) -1
                                965 CHW +183 -1
                                968 BOS/HOU UNDER 8.5 (-105) 0.95
                                971 SEA +145 -1
                                976 TOR +110 -1
                                979 BAL +138 -1
                                Fri -4.05
                                Weeks 1-5 -1.32
                                Week 6 -5.13
                                Week 7 2.67
                                Week 8 6.2
                                Mon -2
                                Tue 1.38
                                Wed -5
                                Thu 5.1
                                Total -2.15
                                Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian RL Fund after Friday's cancellation, still down -8 units through 37 plays...

                                967 20-May CHW +1.5 (+115) -1
                                921 21-May CHW +1.5 (+166) -1
                                959 22-May PHI +1.5 (-125) -1
                                971 CHW +1.5 (+155) 1.55
                                920 23-May LAA +1.5 (-120) -1
                                970 24-May KC +1.5 (-115) -
                                Week 9 -2.45
                                Weeks 1-5 -4.92
                                Week 6 -1
                                Week 7 0.95
                                Week 8 -0.63
                                Total -8.05
                                ...
                                Comment
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