Originally posted by jjgold
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Getch13SBR Hall of Famer
- 07-13-18
- 6948
#36Agree, I just find them interesting. Good luck with your future plays.Comment -
Getch13SBR Hall of Famer
- 07-13-18
- 6948
#40TRENDS BY LINE RANGE
• Big home favorites get it done - Since the
start of the 2013 playoffs, NBA Finals favorites
of 5.5 points or more are 14-3 SU & 12-4-1 ATS.
This success level is similar to that from the
conference finals round if you recall. All of
these have been home favorites.
• Small home favorites have been vulnerable –
Again like the conference finals, the record of
the L8 small home favorites (-5 points or less)
in the NBA Finals is just 3-5 SU & ATS.
• Home underdogs’ bark is less than their bite –
Home underdogs in the NBA Finals have proven
to be overmatched recently, going just 1-5 SU &
ATS in their L6 opportunities.
• Games with vulnerable home teams have
meant OVER’s – Eight of the L12 NBA Finals’
games with home teams playing as underdogs
or favorites of 2 points or less have gone OVER
the total.Comment -
jjgoldSBR Aristocracy
- 07-20-05
- 388208
#41I love all these trends you got to pick the right one thoughComment -
Getch13SBR Hall of Famer
- 07-13-18
- 6948
#42WHAT WILL THE PACE AND SCORING
BE LIKE IN THIS SERIES?
Oddsmakers, and the market, do not seem to
expect much by the looks of it. For Game 1, the
total opened at 215 and moved down a half-point
the next day. It is quite the adjustment from what
bettors saw in the regular season. In two games
back in November and December bettors saw
totals of 223 and 226.5! Using that as a barometer,
there is some intrinsic value in betting this first
game over the total. That was then, so what about
now? In five games this postseason without Kevin
Durant, Golden State’s offensive rating is 114.9
which would have led the NBA this season. It is no
stretch to say that the Warriors will still be able to
score in this series, but what about Toronto? As
bettors watched Toronto slog through the length
and defensive prowess in their series against
Orlando, Philadelphia and Milwaukee, it was
forgotten this Raptors team was sixth in offensive
efficiency in the regular season. Part of their
offensive success came in transition, where they
ranked first in points added per possession in all
transition situations, and third in points added per
possession in transition off of steals. Toronto will
be able to take advantage of the Warriors’ habit
of turning the ball over (226 turnovers for Golden
State in the postseason) in this series. Expect some
scoring in the Finals.Comment -
Getch13SBR Hall of Famer
- 07-13-18
- 6948
#43HOW WILL TORONTO HANDLE
GOLDEN STATE’S SMALL-BALL LINEUPS?
In the sweep of Portland, Warriors head coach
Steve Kerr used three different starting lineups.
However, there was always one constant: Kevon
Looney always came off the bench, and played
more minutes than whoever started at center. With
Looney playing a prominent role for Golden State
that should allow Nick Nurse to leave Marc Gasol
in the starting lineup. However, Kerr did roll out a
small-ball starting unit in Game 4 which included
Jordan Bell at center and Alfonzo McKinnie in place
of Andre Iguodala. That sort of starting unit could
cause trouble for Toronto and Gasol. Bell spaces
the floor more consistently than Looney does (36
percent of Bell’s field goal attempts are mid-range
shots, compared to just 18 percent for Looney).
Should Kerr roll out a similar starting unit that could
mean Serge Ibaka will find his way into the starting
lineup at some point in this series. Ibaka started
both games at center in the regular season, and
was a combined plus-28 against Golden State. He
allows Toronto to switch, if necessary, and can get
up and down the floor if need be. He’s a big reason
why the Raptors outscored the Warriors 43-22 in
fast break points over those two contests.Comment -
jjgoldSBR Aristocracy
- 07-20-05
- 388208
#44Curry cannot keep
Hitting crazy shotsComment -
Getch13SBR Hall of Famer
- 07-13-18
- 6948
#45New York contestant “jobe_bx” won $1 million in@DraftKingsfantasy contest on last night's Game 1 of the NBA Finals off of a $25 entry.

Comment -
Getch13SBR Hall of Famer
- 07-13-18
- 6948
#46BOSTON vs St. LOUIS
Game 3's since 2005-06 (13 game 3's)
• home team has been favorite in all 13 games
• home team is 11-2 (84.6%) SU, winning last three
in a row
• home team has scored 3+ goals nine times
• road teams has reached the 3-goal mark just
four times
• only twice has there been OT
• the team that has scored first has won 10
contests
• the home team is 8-0 (100%) when scoring first
• the home team is 3-2-8 after the 1st period
and has not had the lead heading into the 1st
intermission in the last eight games (0-2-6)Comment -
jjgoldSBR Aristocracy
- 07-20-05
- 388208
#47All
Over BostonComment -
Getch13SBR Hall of Famer
- 07-13-18
- 6948
#48Alot of little tid-bits start showing up this time of year for the coming football season, like this so take note.
Do 18+ returning starters in college footballguarantee success?
There are FOUR teams that return 18 or 19 starters this season.
Since 2011 there have been 27 teams that ret'd 18 or more starters and SEVEN saw their record decrease.
Comment -
jjgoldSBR Aristocracy
- 07-20-05
- 388208
#49good statComment -
ekrazee33SBR Hustler
- 10-04-17
- 98
#50Goldengreek?Comment -
Getch13SBR Hall of Famer
- 07-13-18
- 6948
#51The Indians are now 1-10-3 the First 5 Innings their last 14 games!
The Twins are 10-3-2 the First 5 their last 15!

Comment -
jjgoldSBR Aristocracy
- 07-20-05
- 388208
#52I think I’m gonna take the Indians first fiveComment -
Getch13SBR Hall of Famer
- 07-13-18
- 6948
#53The stat did show up at a lot of places. Good LuckOriginally posted by jjgoldI think I’m gonna take the Indians first fiveComment -
Getch13SBR Hall of Famer
- 07-13-18
- 6948
#54Comment -
Getch13SBR Hall of Famer
- 07-13-18
- 6948
#55Comment -
Getch13SBR Hall of Famer
- 07-13-18
- 6948
#58Officials for Game 5: James Capers, Jason Phillips and Ed Malloy. Raptors are 9-1 in playoff games officiated by James Capers. Capers and Phillips both officiated in the Game 1 Raptors winComment -
Getch13SBR Hall of Famer
- 07-13-18
- 6948
-
KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74866
#60WV bettors already busted out?
Unreal.Comment -
jjgoldSBR Aristocracy
- 07-20-05
- 388208
#63That Apple article is interesting it’s going to bury peopleComment -
Getch13SBR Hall of Famer
- 07-13-18
- 6948
#64You got that right JJ, it will be interesting to see what happens next.Originally posted by jjgoldThat Apple article is interesting it’s going to bury peopleComment -
jjgoldSBR Aristocracy
- 07-20-05
- 388208
#65New Jersey’s lucky they have the websites, they can temporarily make it a mobile website until coding is readyComment -
Getch13SBR Hall of Famer
- 07-13-18
- 6948
#66For the new guys:
How To Find A Sportsbook’s Biggest Liabilities
Comment -
jjgoldSBR Aristocracy
- 07-20-05
- 388208
#67Good articleComment -
Getch13SBR Hall of Famer
- 07-13-18
- 6948
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