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TY
MinnesotaFats
SBR Posting Legend
12-18-10
14781
#2
Give us a winner
Comment
acquavallo
SBR Sharp
03-16-18
352
#3
Originally posted by MinnesotaFats
Give us a winner
Sorry, I missed this.
There are no prime bets in this card.
Taking a flyer on Woo Choi +375 & Under 1½ +142 DUTCHED would be $34/$67 or $1/2 ratio
Comment
acquavallo
SBR Sharp
03-16-18
352
#4
One more flyer.
Amedovski +195 & Under 1½ +142 DUTCHED = $45/55 RATIO
Comment
acquavallo
SBR Sharp
03-16-18
352
#5
From betting standpoint lousy card.
--Most O/U instead of @2½, are @1½ & fairly even odds- much easier to beat Alternate Lines like No Decision @ + odds or Starts Round 2 @ + odds. So taking Over 1½ @ minus odds very unpalatable.
--Favorites are a bunch of Khabib-style humpers but without his finishing abilities. So can't even take Alternate Line of Favorite Inside Distance to improve odds.
--Underdog odds not paying high enough / more likely outcomes underlayed.
--Fighters hard to compare without common organizations / opponents.
There are no live underdogs @ over +300, very few ko artists, very few 2½ o/u @ over +200, not even perceived locks at bettable odds.
Even the Headliner is no guaranteed lock or hedge. A fit Overeem should blast Oleinik immediately, but at -250...and with any stamina question or if he nicked something during training, he may run a lot early. O/U @ 1½ -110 for a 5 round fight...but, Oleinik can submit very early. Either lose or win a small profit, no thanks.