Danshan or another analytic lover, help finding this stat on possible correlation?

Collapse
X
Collapse
 
  • Page of 1
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
Previous template Next
  • eaglesfan371
    SBR MVP
    • 01-08-19
    • 4079
    #1
    Danshan or another analytic lover, help finding this stat on possible correlation?
    Saw a parlay on Nitrogen while in chat last night. Guy had Clippers ATS + over total.

    From watching a lot of NBA, I have this theory that the 4Q generally does not have a ton of points when fav is up a ton. However playoffs could very well be different. Would like to see analytics on this.

    I am interested in knowing if there is a correlation between dog ATS + over and/or favorite ATS + under.

    How often does the over/under hit when the fav covers? Dog covers?

    NBA playoffs past 5-20 years (however long possible).

    Thank you for this.
    Tags: None
    • Louisvillekid1
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 10-17-07
      • 52143
      #2
      Are you talking playoffs , if so

      Not my area

      but would think you’d wanna have 2 separate #’s

      one for elimination games

      I can pretty much promise there will be a different finding
        Comment
        • eaglesfan371
          SBR MVP
          • 01-08-19
          • 4079
          #3
          Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
          Are you talking playoffs , if so

          Not my area

          but would think you’d wanna have 2 separate #’s

          one for elimination games

          I can pretty much promise there will be a different finding
          Good note. I also would be interested in knowing how often over/under hits for elimination games. Would imagine the public would hammer overs for such games.
            Comment
            • eaglesfan371
              SBR MVP
              • 01-08-19
              • 4079
              #4
              Bump.

              The exact scenario happened tonight. Raptors, the fav, covered and was up a ton, leading to a low scoring 4Q. Fav + under...there are a few books that allow these parlays which is why I ask...
                Comment
                • rm18
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 09-20-05
                  • 22291
                  #5
                  Everyone allows this parlay, a few books will give better odds like 2.8+
                    Comment
                    • danshan11
                      SBR MVP
                      • 07-08-17
                      • 4101
                      #6
                      20443-0 (12.00, 100.0%)
                      14502-5365-576 (5.22, 73.0%) avg line: -6.8
                      10025-10026-392 (0.37, 50.0%) avg total: 197.8

                      8755-0 (8.57, 100.0%)
                      8755-0-0 (13.33, 100.0%) avg line: 4.8
                      4246-4336-173 (0.43, 49.5%) avg total: 197.2
                        Comment
                        • danshan11
                          SBR MVP
                          • 07-08-17
                          • 4101
                          #7
                          13-0 (9.85, 100.0%)
                          13-0-0 (13.77, 100.0%) avg line: 3.9
                          5-8-0 (-2.58, 38.5%) avg total: 189.8
                            Comment
                            • danshan11
                              SBR MVP
                              • 07-08-17
                              • 4101
                              #8
                              37-0 (14.49, 100.0%)
                              30-7-0 (7.99, 81.1%) avg line: -6.5
                              16-21-0 (-2.68, 43.2%) avg total: 191.5
                                Comment
                                • eaglesfan371
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-08-19
                                  • 4079
                                  #9
                                  Thank you for that. Surprising on the total result but good to know that there is no trend.
                                    Comment
                                    Previous template Next
                                    SBR Contests
                                    Collapse
                                    Contests Home
                                    Leaderboards
                                    Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                    Collapse
                                    Working...