Insane value on the cardinals today

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  • 2daBank
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-26-09
    • 88966

    #1
    Insane value on the cardinals today
    Beautiful day for baseball in stl, pads throwing out a pitcher who throws a lot of average fastballs, cards should tee off. More importantly I think wacha past shoulder struggles that have appear to been handled (shoulder was fine when he went down w some fluke thing last year) have made him underrated, his numbers when his shoulder is healthy are boarder line elite, he was the only cards starter who put up a good showing vs milw and his change looked as filthy as ever. He has almost posted better numbers in day games and had a excellent record in his career at home.

    You don’t hear me say this with favs real often (2days ago w atl and yesterday w Dodgers) but tons of value in this number. I got -115 but anything in the -120 range a bargain!!

    Cards -115
    FF -.5 +125
    Rl +170

    Gl everyone
  • JAKEPEAVY21
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 03-11-11
    • 29299

    #2
    Originally posted by 2daBank
    Beautiful day for baseball in stl, pads throwing out a pitcher who throws a lot of average fastballs, cards should tee off. More importantly I think wacha past shoulder struggles that have appear to been handled (shoulder was fine when he went down w some fluke thing last year) have made him underrated, his numbers when his shoulder is healthy are boarder line elite, he was the only cards starter who put up a good showing vs milw and his change looked as filthy as ever. He has almost posted better numbers in day games and had a excellent record in his career at home.

    You don’t hear me say this with favs real often (2days ago w atl and yesterday w Dodgers) but tons of value in this number. I got -115 but anything in the -120 range a bargain!!

    Cards -115
    FF -.5 +125
    Rl +170

    Gl everyone
    you couldn't be more off base if you tried..paddack has electric stuff. There's a reason the line is where it is, Paddack is the real deal.
    Comment
    • Sam Odom
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 10-30-05
      • 58063

      #3
      Two SBR Sharps on opposite sides
      Comment
      • lakerboy
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 04-02-09
        • 94379

        #4
        Lean SD. No play though. Good luck bank
        Comment
        • Heltah Skeltah
          SBR MVP
          • 12-05-17
          • 3499

          #5
          Padres look good to me..Paddack is no bum
          Comment
          • KVB
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 05-29-14
            • 74817

            #6
            Contrarian Fund leans SD here as well.

            The line opened high then moved into what appeared to be value on St. Louis, which was quickly snapped up, but then the dog was taken back pretty quickly on that move.

            Line is pretty sharp here but SD +120 or more might be the market play.

            Of course, anything can happen on the field.

            Good Luck Banker, not in this one.

            Comment
            • JAKEPEAVY21
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 03-11-11
              • 29299

              #7
              Originally posted by Sam Odom
              Two SBR Sharps on opposite sides
              Stl might win but to say Paddack has an average fastball is not accurate.
              Comment
              • LT Profits
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 10-27-06
                • 90963

                #8
                Padres +110 for me (I bet it early).
                Comment
                • 2daBank
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 01-26-09
                  • 88966

                  #9
                  Originally posted by JAKEPEAVY21
                  Stl might win but to say Paddack has an average fastball is not accurate.
                  Maybe not average but it sits around 94 and he throws it 62% of the time. Get ready to see 3 cards bombs, just hope guys on base which a issue for them.
                  Comment
                  • 2daBank
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 01-26-09
                    • 88966

                    #10
                    You let cards all or nothing hitters sit dead red they gonna send a few over the fence on a nice day like today. Paddack could certainly turn into a very good pitcher but wacha already is. Cards win this game more often than odds suggest, that is all.
                    Comment
                    • 2daBank
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 01-26-09
                      • 88966

                      #11
                      Anyways I’m hesded down town. Gl everyone
                      Comment
                      • KVB
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 05-29-14
                        • 74817

                        #12
                        Good Luck Banker!

                        Comment
                        • krk1030
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 08-13-08
                          • 17610

                          #13
                          Paddack put up video game numbers in the minors and had a food first start.

                          Although it was against the giants so really still minor leagues
                          Comment
                          • RudyRuetigger
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 08-24-10
                            • 65084

                            #14
                            Cross Promoting again.... If you're an RX Member, give this one a try. Sign up if you're not.

                            http://www.therxforum.com/showthread...1#post12839376



                            guys, go try to win $100
                            they need it to fill up
                            Comment
                            • jjgold
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 07-20-05
                              • 388179

                              #15
                              When banker talks we listen
                              Comment
                              • eaglesfan371
                                SBR MVP
                                • 01-08-19
                                • 4079

                                #16
                                Originally posted by jjgold
                                When banker talks we listen
                                Cards are his team though, he could be a bit bias. Don’t get me wrong 2dabank is one of the best mlb cappers but this one screams no play when you got LT and several other +ev cappers on padres. It’s first month baseball more +EV plays on dogs.
                                Comment
                                • 2daBank
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 01-26-09
                                  • 88966

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by krk1030
                                  Paddack put up video game numbers in the minors and had a food first start.

                                  Although it was against the giants so really still minor leagues
                                  I was obviously harsh in my initial post, he clearly a strong prospect who has a very highly rated change up, actually has a scouting report I’d say is pretty similar to wacha’s was when he was coming up. He will learn as wacha did he is gonna have to develop at least one more serviceable pitch to be able to consistently get thru lineups the 2nd and 3rd time. Wacha has a cutter and a curve that has starting to be more a weapon than the liability it was when he 1st started throwing it.

                                  My comments weren’t really meant to be discouraging of him, just that a young 2 pitch guy who throws a ton of 4 seamers is very likely to give up few jacks to this cards lineup. He probably strike out 10 tho!! I just think at these points in their careers wacha has put it all together and the only thing that can prevent him from being a all star level pitcher is injury. While this youngster still has some learning needs another plus pitch to reach that level.,
                                  Comment
                                  • RudyRuetigger
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 08-24-10
                                    • 65084

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by jjgold
                                    When banker talks we listen
                                    one of the best around bro
                                    Comment
                                    • 2daBank
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 01-26-09
                                      • 88966

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by eaglesfan371
                                      Cards are his team though, he could be a bit bias.

                                      You got LT and several other +ev cappers on padres. It’s first month baseball more +EV plays on dogs.
                                      If you have followed me over the years I’m am not biased when it comes to betting cards games. I would never make a bet or post it just being a homer, sure I’m a cards fan but above all I’m a fan of myself and my money!! You will see me against them plenty when I feel the price warrants it., everyone loses at least 60 games a season, no biggie., in playoffs yea I turn into a homer and make it clear.
                                      Comment
                                      • ThaWoj
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 03-09-10
                                        • 6761

                                        #20
                                        I'ma huge cards fan myself and went very large on an all STL home parlay. Hoping wacha gets it done for the Busch faithful today. Hopefully hungry blues won't be asleep after putting up 7 on philly. I'd love to be on 14th and Clark right about now.
                                        Comment
                                        • eaglesfan371
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 01-08-19
                                          • 4079

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by 2daBank
                                          If you have followed me over the years I’m am not biased when it comes to betting cards games. I would never make a bet or post it just being a homer, sure I’m a cards fan but above all I’m a fan of myself and my money!! You will see me against them plenty when I feel the price warrants it., everyone loses at least 60 games a season, no biggie., in playoffs yea I turn into a homer and make it clear.
                                          I’ve followed and you’re def one of the best, no doubts there. Good to hear you’re not bias. Just feel like it screams huge public play and several sharps here + other side on padres.
                                          Comment
                                          • dawg58kahn
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 08-19-18
                                            • 2106

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by lakerboy
                                            Lean SD. No play though. Good luck bank
                                            cards it is
                                            Comment
                                            • JAKEPEAVY21
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 03-11-11
                                              • 29299

                                              #23
                                              neither pitcher looking sharp today, umpire calling a tight strike zone as well.
                                              Comment
                                              • dawg58kahn
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 08-19-18
                                                • 2106

                                                #24
                                                what a moment for the cards
                                                Comment
                                                • 2Shirts
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 03-11-11
                                                  • 4402

                                                  #25
                                                  Time to give it all back
                                                  Comment
                                                  • 2daBank
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 01-26-09
                                                    • 88966

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by eaglesfan371
                                                    I’ve followed and you’re def one of the best, no doubts there. Good to hear you’re not bias. Just feel like it screams huge public play and several sharps here + other side on padres.
                                                    That “sharp/square” shit has never meant jack to me. Some best values you find in this sport is being against the saber geeks
                                                    Comment
                                                    • 2daBank
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 01-26-09
                                                      • 88966

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by JAKEPEAVY21
                                                      neither pitcher looking sharp today, umpire calling a tight strike zone as well.
                                                      Dunno bout tight, inconsistent as shit more accurate. I’ve seen him squeeze both guys on edges then call strikes on pitches 2 inches low or high.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • 2daBank
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 01-26-09
                                                        • 88966

                                                        #28
                                                        Shildt really annoys me when he lets his starter bat in a great rbi spot when the starter not sharp and wasn’t gonna go more than 1 more inning anyways. Cards coulda busted the game open when bases were juiced in bottom 4th and that reliever could only get a meatball fastball over for a strike yet he let wacha bat.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • 2daBank
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 01-26-09
                                                          • 88966

                                                          #29
                                                          Ozuna finally does something and Shildt pilled him out of game, lol
                                                          Comment
                                                          • ThaWoj
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 03-09-10
                                                            • 6761

                                                            #30
                                                            Same fukking story as last year. Andrew Miller sucks. Another year of no playoffs for the best franchise in baseball.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • bballs84
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 11-11-09
                                                              • 5461

                                                              #31
                                                              That pen really struggling
                                                              Comment
                                                              • pimike
                                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                • 03-23-08
                                                                • 37139

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by JAKEPEAVY21
                                                                you couldn't be more off base if you tried..paddack has electric stuff. There's a reason the line is where it is, Paddack is the real deal.
                                                                Those Padres are good.

                                                                Reds and Cards a disappointment .

                                                                Paddock will win 10+
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Sam Odom
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 10-30-05
                                                                  • 58063

                                                                  #33
                                                                  jake's , mike's & Sammy's Padres may be real
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • pimike
                                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                    • 03-23-08
                                                                    • 37139

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by Sam Odom
                                                                    jake's , mike's & Sammy's Padres may be real
                                                                    Amen!!!

                                                                    We need to hit the stadium boys’

                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • JAKEPEAVY21
                                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                      • 03-11-11
                                                                      • 29299

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by Sam Odom
                                                                      jake's , mike's & Sammy's Padres may be real
                                                                      not a gimme anymore.. young, talented and exciting squad
                                                                      Comment
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