North Carolina to win it all at +800 Has Value

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • thomorino
    Restricted User
    • 06-01-17
    • 45842

    #1
    North Carolina to win it all at +800 Has Value
    If North Carolina had beaten Duke in the ACC championship game and gotten the #1 overall seed the odds would be much lower.

    UNC has a solid path, Auburn has no size and likes to play fast, Auburn plays UNC after having to sit for 4 days not while they were shooting well.

    The UNC-Duke ACC championship game was misleading, Duke was the much more motivated team since they lost to UNC twice already and they still barely won the game.

    UNC is a better team than Virginia, the UNC-Virginia game UNC lost by 7 was misleading because UNC was winning late before Cam Johnson got hurt, Virginia shot 55% from the 3 point line and was still losing the game in the second half before Johnson went out, UNC only shot 30% from the 3 point line.


    UNC should be fine against Houston, Kentucky, or Tennesee, all good teams but a tier below the top ACC teams.

    At +800 if UNC gets to the national championship game there will be opportunities to hedge, UNC-Duke or UNC-Gonzaga lines will likely be pick'em.
  • t-wizzle
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 12-18-09
    • 38099

    #2
    They ain’t winning.
    Comment
    • johnnyvegas13
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 05-21-15
      • 27897

      #3
      Agree

      Duke would b small favs

      Everyone else UNC favs
      Comment
      • Hman
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 11-04-17
        • 21429

        #4
        Agree
        Comment
        • johnnyvegas13
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 05-21-15
          • 27897

          #5
          The thing I like about UNC is the seniors

          Most other contenders mostly freshmen
          Comment
          • unde0087
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 03-27-08
            • 28952

            #6
            Originally posted by thomorino
            If North Carolina had beaten Duke in the ACC championship game and gotten the #1 overall seed the odds would be much lower.

            UNC has a solid path, Auburn has no size and likes to play fast, Auburn plays UNC after having to sit for 4 days not while they were shooting well.

            The UNC-Duke ACC championship game was misleading, Duke was the much more motivated team since they lost to UNC twice already and they still barely won the game.

            UNC is a better team than Virginia, the UNC-Virginia game UNC lost by 7 was misleading because UNC was winning late before Cam Johnson got hurt, Virginia shot 55% from the 3 point line and was still losing the game in the second half before Johnson went out, UNC only shot 30% from the 3 point line.


            UNC should be fine against Houston, Kentucky, or Tennesee, all good teams but a tier below the top ACC teams.

            At +800 if UNC gets to the national championship game there will be opportunities to hedge, UNC-Duke or UNC-Gonzaga lines will likely be pick'em.
            if unc got to the title game against zags there would be no reason to hedge because they would curb stomp those frauds again
            Comment
            • Fade2Win
              SBR Sharp
              • 12-16-18
              • 344

              #7
              braindead johnny and morono agree tough decision
              Comment
              • DR225
                SBR MVP
                • 02-24-11
                • 2010

                #8
                I like North Carolina to win the region +125 a lot better.
                Comment
                • johnnyvegas13
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 05-21-15
                  • 27897

                  #9
                  Originally posted by DR225
                  I like North Carolina to win the region +125 a lot better.
                  Really if they win the region they should b in the finals imo
                  Comment
                  • johnnyvegas13
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 05-21-15
                    • 27897

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Fade2Win
                    braindead johnny and morono agree tough decision
                    I've been on UNC since pre tourney they r my only future

                    Only one u need ...
                    Comment
                    • thomorino
                      Restricted User
                      • 06-01-17
                      • 45842

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Fade2Win
                      braindead johnny and morono agree tough decision
                      Fuk off
                      Comment
                      • RM Logic
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 12-09-13
                        • 847

                        #12
                        Agree with North Carolina winning it all. They are actually playing decent defense which has been their past weakness. I think Sparty is another team that might be worth a play.
                        Comment
                        • 2daBank
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 01-26-09
                          • 88966

                          #13
                          Originally posted by johnnyvegas13
                          The thing I like about UNC is the seniors

                          Most other contenders mostly freshmen
                          They have a really good mix of experience and the freshman pg who gonna be a lotto pick.
                          Comment
                          • Booya711
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 12-20-11
                            • 27329

                            #14
                            The only value here is you losing consistently
                            Comment
                            • thomorino
                              Restricted User
                              • 06-01-17
                              • 45842

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Booya711
                              The only value here is you losing consistently
                              Fuk off
                              Comment
                              • BeatTheJerk
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 08-19-07
                                • 31794

                                #16
                                Virginia or Gonzaga for me
                                Comment
                                • johnnyvegas13
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 05-21-15
                                  • 27897

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by 2daBank
                                  They have a really good mix of experience and the freshman pg who gonna be a lotto pick.
                                  The fresh pg is only thing that worries me but they have the senior guard to go w him

                                  And if cam Johnson counts as a guard they have the best backcourt in the country
                                  Comment
                                  • teecee
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 09-18-09
                                    • 6298

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by RM Logic
                                    Agree with North Carolina winning it all. They are actually playing decent defense which has been their past weakness. I think Sparty is another team that might be worth a play.
                                    The Spartans at +1469 @ Bookmaker seems like the best value play, here. I know they'd likely have to go through Duke, but I'd say those two are pretty evenly matched squads.
                                    Comment
                                    • unde0087
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 03-27-08
                                      • 28952

                                      #19
                                      i love how the same motherfukers talk shit about UNC every time they are a #1 seed but Roy just keeps winning championships every fukin time
                                      Comment
                                      • thomorino
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 06-01-17
                                        • 45842

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by teecee

                                        The Spartans at +1469 @ Bookmaker seems like the best value play, here. I know they'd likely have to go through Duke, but I'd say those two are pretty evenly matched squads.
                                        15-1 has no value, MSU's best scorer is out with injury and MSu would be at least a 3-1 dog to Duke and 2-1 dog to Duke and whoever they play in the national championship.
                                        Comment
                                        • Cuse0323
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 12-09-09
                                          • 30169

                                          #21
                                          I got Houston taking them down, but that may be a pipe dream. If Auburn stays hot then they may go down before that. Two tough games to get to the FF. If they make it there then they have as good a shot as any, though I have Virginia cutting down the nets. Good luck on your plays this weekend. Helluva slate of games lined up.
                                          Comment
                                          • thomorino
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 06-01-17
                                            • 45842

                                            #22
                                            UNC has been overlooked all year because of Duke and because UNC doens't have elite NBA talent like Zion or Barret.
                                            Comment
                                            • ThaTopMoron
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 04-30-10
                                              • 27020

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by unde0087
                                              if unc got to the title game against zags there would be no reason to hedge because they would curb stomp those frauds again
                                              lol you call winning by less than 8 and only pulling away late with a few easy scores made off of defensive plays curb stomping? UNC shot 4/27 from 3 and all 4 were made by Berry who made 4/13 and the rest of the team went 0/14 including 0/9 from Justin Jackson... who at least came through with some timely 2 pt scores on offense and defense

                                              they only won that game because Zags had 10 more turnovers than UNC who only had 4

                                              remember I am a big time Heel fan
                                              Comment
                                              • RudyRuetigger
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 08-24-10
                                                • 65084

                                                #24
                                                clown show thread

                                                nothing to see here

                                                and it has nothing to do with whether they win it all or not

                                                horrible value at +800 4 games left
                                                Comment
                                                • thomorino
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 06-01-17
                                                  • 45842

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
                                                  clown show thread

                                                  nothing to see here

                                                  and it has nothing to do with whether they win it all or not

                                                  horrible value at +800 4 games left
                                                  Fuk off
                                                  Comment
                                                  • thomorino
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 06-01-17
                                                    • 45842

                                                    #26
                                                    This line should drop after how bad Virginia has looked, if UNC's path looks better
                                                    Comment
                                                    • 2daBank
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 01-26-09
                                                      • 88966

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by thomorino
                                                      This line should drop after how bad Virginia has looked, if UNC's path looks better
                                                      That doesn’t make much sense, uva always looks bad, that the secret for them giving unc a hard time, lol. Had ducks won I’d agree but uva looking bad has no impact on how a uva/unc game will go, I do think unc will beat them, just don’t see why uva playing typical uva style would impact unc odds right now?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • goduke
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 02-17-10
                                                        • 11580

                                                        #28
                                                        It has no value. 100 percent loss tomorrow to Auburn
                                                        Comment
                                                        • JIBBBY
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 12-10-09
                                                          • 83686

                                                          #29
                                                          I wouldn't be surprised if Purdue wins it all after that emotional OT win tonight..

                                                          Although Virginia and the Zags both looked pretty dominate also..

                                                          These are the current props up on the board now on Dimes..


                                                          NCAA Tournament - East Region
                                                          Sun 3/31 11501 Duke wins East Region -145
                                                          12:00PM 11502 Field wins East Region +125
                                                          Sun 3/31 11503 Michigan State wins East Region +280
                                                          12:00PM 11504 Field wins East Region -340
                                                          Sun 3/31 11505 LSU wins East Region +1150
                                                          12:00PM 11506 Field wins East Region -1800
                                                          Sun 3/31 11507 Virginia Tech wins East Region +700
                                                          12:00PM 11508 Field wins East Region -1100
                                                          Sun 3/31 11509 VA Tech or Duke wins East Region -245
                                                          12:00PM 11510 LSU or Michigan St. wins East Region +205
                                                          Sun 3/31 11511 Duke or LSU wins East Region -207
                                                          12:00PM 11512 V.Tech or Michigan St. wins East Region +174
                                                          Sun 3/31 11513 V.Tech or LSU wins East Region +440
                                                          12:00PM 11514 Duke or Michigan St. wins East Region -580
                                                          NCAA Tournament - East Region Final - Exact Result
                                                          Sun 3/31 11521 Virginia Tech beats LSU +1483
                                                          12:00PM 11522 Any other result -2915
                                                          Sun 3/31 11523 Virginia Tech beats Michigan State +1272
                                                          12:00PM 11524 Any other result -2068
                                                          Sun 3/31 11525 Duke beats LSU +418
                                                          12:00PM 11526 Any other result -530
                                                          Sun 3/31 11527 Duke beats Michigan State +130
                                                          12:00PM 11528 Any other result -150
                                                          Sun 3/31 11529 LSU beats Virginia Tech +2550
                                                          12:00PM 11530 Any other result -5200
                                                          Sun 3/31 11531 LSU beats Duke +1655
                                                          12:00PM 11532 Any other result -3310
                                                          Sun 3/31 11533 Michigan State beats Virginia Tech +595
                                                          12:00PM 11534 Any other result -890
                                                          Sun 3/31 11535 Michigan State beats Duke +561
                                                          12:00PM 11536 Any other result -821
                                                          Sun 3/31 11537 Virginia Tech loses East Region Final +497
                                                          12:00PM 11538 Any other result -693
                                                          Sun 3/31 11539 Duke loses East Region Final +438
                                                          12:00PM 11540 Any other result -575
                                                          Sun 3/31 11541 LSU loses East Region Final +323
                                                          12:00PM 11542 Any other result -395
                                                          Sun 3/31 11543 Michigan State loses East Region Final +101
                                                          12:00PM 11544 Any other result -121
                                                          NCAA Tournament - East Region Final Matchup
                                                          teams must meet in East Region final for action
                                                          Sun 3/31 11551 Virginia Tech -185
                                                          12:00PM 11552 LSU +160
                                                          teams must meet in East Region final for action
                                                          Sun 3/31 11553 Virginia Tech +190
                                                          12:00PM 11554 Michigan State -230
                                                          teams must meet in East Region final for action
                                                          Sun 3/31 11555 Duke -500
                                                          12:00PM 11556 LSU +400
                                                          teams must meet in East Region final for action
                                                          Sun 3/31 11557 Duke -330
                                                          12:00PM 11558 Michigan State +270
                                                          NCAA Tournament - Midwest Region
                                                          Sun 3/31 11701 North Carolina wins Midwest Region +145
                                                          12:00PM 11702 Field wins Midwest Region -165
                                                          Sun 3/31 11703 Kentucky wins Midwest Region +250
                                                          12:00PM 11704 Field wins Midwest Region -300
                                                          Sun 3/31 11705 Houston U wins Midwest Region +380
                                                          12:00PM 11706 Field wins Midwest Region -475
                                                          Sun 3/31 11707 Auburn wins Midwest Region +500
                                                          12:00PM 11708 Field wins Midwest Region -700
                                                          Sun 3/31 11709 Auburn or UNC wins Midwest Region -129
                                                          12:00PM 11710 Houston or Kentucky wins Midwest Region +109
                                                          Sun 3/31 11711 UNC or Houston wins Midwest Region -154
                                                          12:00PM 11712 Auburn or Kentucky wins Midwest Region +134
                                                          Sun 3/31 11713 Auburn or Houston wins Midwest Region +181
                                                          12:00PM 11714 UNC or Kentucky wins Midwest Region -221
                                                          NCAA Tournament - Midwest Region Final - Exact Result
                                                          Sun 3/31 11721 Auburn beats Houston U +1304
                                                          12:00PM 11722 Any other result -2170
                                                          Sun 3/31 11723 Auburn beats Kentucky +794
                                                          12:00PM 11724 Any other result -1235
                                                          Sun 3/31 11725 North Carolina beats Houston U +437
                                                          12:00PM 11726 Any other result -573
                                                          Sun 3/31 11727 North Carolina beats Kentucky +292
                                                          12:00PM 11728 Any other result -352
                                                          Sun 3/31 11729 Houston U beats Auburn +891
                                                          12:00PM 11730 Any other result -1360
                                                          Sun 3/31 11731 Houston U beats North Carolina +658
                                                          12:00PM 11732 Any other result -1015
                                                          Sun 3/31 11733 Kentucky beats Auburn +653
                                                          12:00PM 11734 Any other result -1005
                                                          Sun 3/31 11735 Kentucky beats North Carolina +456
                                                          12:00PM 11736 Any other result -611
                                                          Sun 3/31 11737 Auburn loses Midwest Region Final +381
                                                          12:00PM 11738 Any other result -476
                                                          Sun 3/31 11739 North Carolina loses Midwest Region Fina +252
                                                          12:00PM 11740 Any other result -303
                                                          Sun 3/31 11741 Houston U loses Midwest Region Final +320
                                                          12:00PM 11742 Any other result -390
                                                          Sun 3/31 11743 Kentucky loses Midwest Region Final +186
                                                          12:00PM 11744 Any other result -226
                                                          NCAA Tournament - Midwest Region Final Matchup
                                                          teams must meet in Midwest Region final for action
                                                          Sun 3/31 11751 Auburn +130
                                                          12:00PM 11752 Houston U -150
                                                          teams must meet in Midwest Region final for action
                                                          Sun 3/31 11753 Auburn +110
                                                          12:00PM 11754 Kentucky -130
                                                          teams must meet in Midwest Region final for action
                                                          Sun 3/31 11755 North Carolina -175
                                                          12:00PM 11756 Houston U +155
                                                          teams must meet in Midwest Region final for action
                                                          Sun 3/31 11757 North Carolina -160
                                                          12:00PM 11758 Kentucky +140
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Big Bear
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 11-01-11
                                                            • 43253

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by t-wizzle
                                                            They ain’t winning.
                                                            This
                                                            Comment
                                                            • thomorino
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 06-01-17
                                                              • 45842

                                                              #31
                                                              Not that I care Virginia is perceived as the biggest threat to UNC even though I think Auburn is a bigger threat, Virginia looking bad will move the line.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • thomorino
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 06-01-17
                                                                • 45842

                                                                #32
                                                                UNC down to +600 at most books
                                                                Comment
                                                                • thomorino
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 06-01-17
                                                                  • 45842

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by 2daBank

                                                                  That doesn’t make much sense, uva always looks bad, that the secret for them giving unc a hard time, lol. Had ducks won I’d agree but uva looking bad has no impact on how a uva/unc game will go, I do think unc will beat them, just don’t see why uva playing typical uva style would impact unc odds right now?
                                                                  Not that I care but Virginia does not always look bad, they were the best team in the ACC against the spread, and UNC has had a lot of success against them even though they slow the pace the last several years. It took Virginia shooting 55% from 3 point range to beat UNC last game and that was a 2 point game with 2 minutes left, Cam Johnson got hurt late too.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • goduke
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 02-17-10
                                                                    • 11580

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by goduke
                                                                    It has no value. 100 percent loss tomorrow to Auburn
                                                                    Like i said
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • BigOrange
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 08-13-09
                                                                      • 6745

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Heels were Morino'd!
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      SBR Contests
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Working...