So The Washington Wizards Have Gone 9 Straight OVERS....
And 12-2 last 14. Playing in Brooklyn tonight. Morning line was 236.5. Now up to 238. Thoughts.
magpie878
SBR MVP
10-04-18
1430
#2
Trends are tough to go against, but that feel like a high number... since the break, I keep seeing numbers I think are too high, though I don't know how much the under has hit overall.
The other night, Sixers looked way too high at 240.5, under hit. Last night, felt Denver was too high around 239 or so, under hit. Felt OKC team total was too high (117 or 117.5 I think), under hit. A few others too, can't remember offhand, wish I'd bet them, as I only actually bet two of the above, not usually a fan of unders.
I'd go under or pass on this one, personally, though the trend says take the over.
I *do* think the Spurs/Pistons OU is pretty low tonight.
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asiagambler
SBR Hall of Famer
07-23-17
6827
#3
Looks like Bobby Portis is Scott Brooks' choice to start at center. Portis should be offensive upgrade over Thomas Bryan but defense still horrible either way. Jabari Parker doesn't help matters either getting significant minutes off the bench.
Wizards recently overtook Cleveland for worst 3 point defense in the league and Brooklyn loves to shoot it from deep.
Different lineups but first 3 matchups were both around 220-227 so this is significant jump.
When total is 235 or higher, Wizards O/U is 2-4
This is first game for Nets with total this high. Nets played at a slow pace but they've been speeding it up lately and some of their guys returning have been shooting it well (Allen Crabbe)
I looked hard at over and Wizards +5 last night but ended up passing on both. Over has to be really public play at this point and this is a terrible matchup for Wizards but they do still have Beal the best player for either team.
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Hman
SBR Posting Legend
11-04-17
21429
#4
At one point that would be a ton of points in the NBA.
Guess not so much anymore.
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big joe 1212
SBR Posting Legend
06-01-08
19380
#5
Wow, that’s a big number.
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pimike
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
03-23-08
37139
#6
I’ll bite at under 239
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Bostongambler
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
02-01-08
35581
#7
I got in at over 236.5 & under 238. More heavier on the under.
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jjgold
SBR Aristocracy
07-20-05
388179
#8
every game a new game
never forget that despite trends
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USCPHILLYGUY
SBR Posting Legend
12-15-12
21746
#9
Gonna sit this one out.
Took Spurs OVER 220
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Coolcanuck79
SBR MVP
12-07-11
3189
#10
What was with all the fouls with 90 seconds to go with the Wizz up by 15+? The over was never in doubt.
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VegasStacker34
SBR Sharp
01-07-19
342
#11
Scored 42 points in last four minutes I believe. That is nuts! Someone sure wanted that game to over.
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intermission
SBR MVP
05-12-15
2499
#12
Yeap I had under 238, nets decided to play "hard" at the last 1mn lmao
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USCPHILLYGUY
SBR Posting Legend
12-15-12
21746
#13
Now at 10 straight and 13-2 last 15 In Boston tonight. Line currently at 232
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RudyRuetigger
SBR Aristocracy
08-24-10
65084
#14
hey philly when do you find this data?
is it before the lines move?
most seem to go with your trends
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USCPHILLYGUY
SBR Posting Legend
12-15-12
21746
#15
Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
hey philly when do you find this data?
is it before the lines move?
most seem to go with your trends
Big VSIN follower so this particular trend was discovered on twitter.
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RudyRuetigger
SBR Aristocracy
08-24-10
65084
#16
i mean, do you find the trend/they post the trend before the line moves or after?
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USCPHILLYGUY
SBR Posting Legend
12-15-12
21746
#17
Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
i mean, do you find the trend/they post the trend before the line moves or after?
Rudy I do recall seeing this initial trend the night before their 9th straight over as it was bet up from 221.5 to 227 vs. Indiana. As the streak has continued I just followed along. Most nba totals in NJ lines aren’t avail until the last games are played that night for the next day. Hope that helps.
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USCPHILLYGUY
SBR Posting Legend
12-15-12
21746
#18
Amazing. In 50 minutes now up to 234.5
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Hman
SBR Posting Legend
11-04-17
21429
#19
So what have we decided?
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magpie878
SBR MVP
10-04-18
1430
#20
I got crushed by taking that Spurs over the other night.
Also decided to put a little down on the Wizards under, and lost there too. With Boston's funk going on, Wizards are probably another good over (or team total over)....
And now that I've said that, it'll go under.
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USCPHILLYGUY
SBR Posting Legend
12-15-12
21746
#21
Boston 4th best record In overs. Didn’t get the best line but gonna ride the streak here.
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USCPHILLYGUY
SBR Posting Legend
12-15-12
21746
#22
Back at it tnite boys. Wizards riding a 5 straight home OVERS streak.
Grabbed the 232.
Good luck
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Hman
SBR Posting Legend
11-04-17
21429
#23
Thanks Philly
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clockwise1965
SBR Hall of Famer
10-01-13
6753
#24
They dropped 135 points on the Wolves the other night for an easy cover. I like the pick.
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jm8122
SBR Wise Guy
03-08-15
738
#25
On pace to go Over at the half lets finish this out with an easy over tonight
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USCPHILLYGUY
SBR Posting Legend
12-15-12
21746
#26
Easy OVER boys
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BigOrange
SBR Hall of Famer
08-13-09
6745
#27
I was too stubborn to bet it when it went to 233.5. Missed out on another easy one!
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jm8122
SBR Wise Guy
03-08-15
738
#28
They are on the road tonight, does this count?
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USCPHILLYGUY
SBR Posting Legend
12-15-12
21746
#29
Was looking at this earlier. Current line 233.5 Last time out total hit on 233. Only loss is this streak was at Boston I believe. Don’t see either team playing much D so let’s ride this one again
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asiagambler
SBR Hall of Famer
07-23-17
6827
#30
Highest total of the year tonight. Wizards @ Wolves
Opened 243. Currently 242.5
Public actually seems to like the under.
I personally don't think they can make this high enough. KAT could go for 50. But twolves don't play any defense either. I think this goes to 250.
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degennn
SBR MVP
11-26-18
1687
#31
Originally posted by asiagambler
Highest total of the year tonight. Wizards @ Wolves
Opened 243. Currently 242.5
Public actually seems to like the under.
I personally don't think they can make this high enough. KAT could go for 50. But twolves don't play any defense either. I think this goes to 250.
I like it. But can probably get a much nicer line by tipoff