So The Washington Wizards Have Gone 9 Straight OVERS....

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  • USCPHILLYGUY
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 12-15-12
    • 21746

    #1
    So The Washington Wizards Have Gone 9 Straight OVERS....
    And 12-2 last 14. Playing in Brooklyn tonight. Morning line was 236.5. Now up to 238. Thoughts.
  • magpie878
    SBR MVP
    • 10-04-18
    • 1430

    #2
    Trends are tough to go against, but that feel like a high number... since the break, I keep seeing numbers I think are too high, though I don't know how much the under has hit overall.

    The other night, Sixers looked way too high at 240.5, under hit. Last night, felt Denver was too high around 239 or so, under hit. Felt OKC team total was too high (117 or 117.5 I think), under hit. A few others too, can't remember offhand, wish I'd bet them, as I only actually bet two of the above, not usually a fan of unders.

    I'd go under or pass on this one, personally, though the trend says take the over.

    I *do* think the Spurs/Pistons OU is pretty low tonight.
    Comment
    • asiagambler
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 07-23-17
      • 6827

      #3
      Looks like Bobby Portis is Scott Brooks' choice to start at center. Portis should be offensive upgrade over Thomas Bryan but defense still horrible either way. Jabari Parker doesn't help matters either getting significant minutes off the bench.

      Wizards recently overtook Cleveland for worst 3 point defense in the league and Brooklyn loves to shoot it from deep.

      Different lineups but first 3 matchups were both around 220-227 so this is significant jump.

      When total is 235 or higher, Wizards O/U is 2-4

      This is first game for Nets with total this high. Nets played at a slow pace but they've been speeding it up lately and some of their guys returning have been shooting it well (Allen Crabbe)

      I looked hard at over and Wizards +5 last night but ended up passing on both. Over has to be really public play at this point and this is a terrible matchup for Wizards but they do still have Beal the best player for either team.
      Comment
      • Hman
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 11-04-17
        • 21429

        #4
        At one point that would be a ton of points in the NBA.

        Guess not so much anymore.
        Comment
        • big joe 1212
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 06-01-08
          • 19380

          #5
          Wow, that’s a big number.
          Comment
          • pimike
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 03-23-08
            • 37139

            #6
            I’ll bite at under 239
            Comment
            • Bostongambler
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 02-01-08
              • 35581

              #7
              I got in at over 236.5 & under 238. More heavier on the under.
              Comment
              • jjgold
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 07-20-05
                • 388179

                #8
                every game a new game

                never forget that despite trends
                Comment
                • USCPHILLYGUY
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 12-15-12
                  • 21746

                  #9
                  Gonna sit this one out.

                  Took Spurs OVER 220
                  Comment
                  • Coolcanuck79
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-07-11
                    • 3189

                    #10
                    What was with all the fouls with 90 seconds to go with the Wizz up by 15+? The over was never in doubt.
                    Comment
                    • VegasStacker34
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 01-07-19
                      • 342

                      #11
                      Scored 42 points in last four minutes I believe. That is nuts! Someone sure wanted that game to over.
                      Comment
                      • intermission
                        SBR MVP
                        • 05-12-15
                        • 2499

                        #12
                        Yeap I had under 238, nets decided to play "hard" at the last 1mn lmao
                        Comment
                        • USCPHILLYGUY
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 12-15-12
                          • 21746

                          #13
                          Now at 10 straight and 13-2 last 15 In Boston tonight. Line currently at 232
                          Comment
                          • RudyRuetigger
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 08-24-10
                            • 65084

                            #14
                            hey philly when do you find this data?

                            is it before the lines move?

                            most seem to go with your trends
                            Comment
                            • USCPHILLYGUY
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 12-15-12
                              • 21746

                              #15
                              Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
                              hey philly when do you find this data?

                              is it before the lines move?

                              most seem to go with your trends
                              Big VSIN follower so this particular trend was discovered on twitter.
                              Comment
                              • RudyRuetigger
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 08-24-10
                                • 65084

                                #16
                                i mean, do you find the trend/they post the trend before the line moves or after?
                                Comment
                                • USCPHILLYGUY
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 12-15-12
                                  • 21746

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
                                  i mean, do you find the trend/they post the trend before the line moves or after?
                                  Rudy I do recall seeing this initial trend the night before their 9th straight over as it was bet up from 221.5 to 227 vs. Indiana. As the streak has continued I just followed along. Most nba totals in NJ lines aren’t avail until the last games are played that night for the next day. Hope that helps.
                                  Comment
                                  • USCPHILLYGUY
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 12-15-12
                                    • 21746

                                    #18
                                    Amazing. In 50 minutes now up to 234.5
                                    Comment
                                    • Hman
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 11-04-17
                                      • 21429

                                      #19
                                      So what have we decided?
                                      Comment
                                      • magpie878
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 10-04-18
                                        • 1430

                                        #20
                                        I got crushed by taking that Spurs over the other night.

                                        Also decided to put a little down on the Wizards under, and lost there too. With Boston's funk going on, Wizards are probably another good over (or team total over)....

                                        And now that I've said that, it'll go under.
                                        Comment
                                        • USCPHILLYGUY
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 12-15-12
                                          • 21746

                                          #21
                                          Boston 4th best record In overs. Didn’t get the best line but gonna ride the streak here.
                                          Comment
                                          • USCPHILLYGUY
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 12-15-12
                                            • 21746

                                            #22
                                            Back at it tnite boys. Wizards riding a 5 straight home OVERS streak.
                                            Grabbed the 232.

                                            Good luck
                                            Comment
                                            • Hman
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 11-04-17
                                              • 21429

                                              #23
                                              Thanks Philly
                                              Comment
                                              • clockwise1965
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 10-01-13
                                                • 6753

                                                #24
                                                They dropped 135 points on the Wolves the other night for an easy cover. I like the pick.
                                                Comment
                                                • jm8122
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 03-08-15
                                                  • 738

                                                  #25
                                                  On pace to go Over at the half lets finish this out with an easy over tonight
                                                  Comment
                                                  • USCPHILLYGUY
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 12-15-12
                                                    • 21746

                                                    #26
                                                    Easy OVER boys
                                                    Comment
                                                    • BigOrange
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 08-13-09
                                                      • 6745

                                                      #27
                                                      I was too stubborn to bet it when it went to 233.5. Missed out on another easy one!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • jm8122
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 03-08-15
                                                        • 738

                                                        #28
                                                        They are on the road tonight, does this count?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • USCPHILLYGUY
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 12-15-12
                                                          • 21746

                                                          #29
                                                          Was looking at this earlier. Current line 233.5 Last time out total hit on 233. Only loss is this streak was at Boston I believe. Don’t see either team playing much D so let’s ride this one again
                                                          Comment
                                                          • asiagambler
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 07-23-17
                                                            • 6827

                                                            #30
                                                            Highest total of the year tonight. Wizards @ Wolves

                                                            Opened 243. Currently 242.5

                                                            Public actually seems to like the under.

                                                            I personally don't think they can make this high enough. KAT could go for 50. But twolves don't play any defense either. I think this goes to 250.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • degennn
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 11-26-18
                                                              • 1687

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by asiagambler
                                                              Highest total of the year tonight. Wizards @ Wolves

                                                              Opened 243. Currently 242.5

                                                              Public actually seems to like the under.

                                                              I personally don't think they can make this high enough. KAT could go for 50. But twolves don't play any defense either. I think this goes to 250.
                                                              I like it. But can probably get a much nicer line by tipoff
                                                              Comment
                                                              • jm8122
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 03-08-15
                                                                • 738

                                                                #32
                                                                Back 2 back games on the road, hmmm
                                                                Comment
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