Does anybody actually do badly enough to fade over the long term?

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  • bettingman6
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 12-21-18
    • 626

    #1
    Does anybody actually do badly enough to fade over the long term?
    Does the law of averages bring everybody to 50%+/- 2.38% over time?

    If somebody was doing badly enough to fade, would they stop posting their plays?
  • SEAHAWKHARRY
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 11-29-07
    • 26068

    #2
    Seaweed is our Savior
    Comment
    • Easy-Rider 66
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 02-14-12
      • 36109

      #3
      Originally posted by SEAHAWKHARRY
      Seaweed is our Savior
      Weed has visions. Some hit most do not. Let's see what he comes up with for the big game come FEB 3rd?
      Comment
      • danshan11
        SBR MVP
        • 07-08-17
        • 4101

        #4
        unfortunately no because 99% of bettors are flipping coins and therefore in the end they end up at 50%ish which is paying the juice, if you could be bad it actually would make you really good!
        Comment
        • Otters27
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 07-14-07
          • 30759

          #5
          If you made my money line plays. You will be good
          Comment
          • Big Bear
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 11-01-11
            • 43253

            #6
            Not going to lie sometimes I fade Lakerboy

            but sometimes I tail him too

            he runs either hot or cold.
            Comment
            • TheMoneyShot
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 02-14-07
              • 28672

              #7
              Bettingman... plenty of people to fade at SBR. Enjoy.
              Comment
              • gauchojake
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 09-17-10
                • 34113

                #8
                tailing or fading posters will make you broke either way. make your own plays. then when you go broke you can only blame yourself.
                Comment
                • DiggityDaggityDo
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 11-30-08
                  • 81450

                  #9
                  I am on a 3-21 run right now (12.5%)
                  Comment
                  • rm18
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 09-20-05
                    • 22291

                    #10
                    I am insanely bad at fav MLs too I just rarely bet them.
                    Comment
                    • bettingman6
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 12-21-18
                      • 626

                      #11
                      Originally posted by DiggityDaggityDo
                      I am on a 3-21 run right now (12.5%)
                      Seriously?

                      Are you betting underdog moneylines, or is that all bets against the spread?
                      Comment
                      • bettingman6
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 12-21-18
                        • 626

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Otters27
                        If you made my money line plays. You will be good
                        Your moneyline parlays are all on -9000 favorites, which when combined make the parlay about -900.

                        I'm sure you win most of your parlays, but you have a ridiculously small return on each win. You'd have to win 90% of your parlays just to break even.
                        Comment
                        • DiggityDaggityDo
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 11-30-08
                          • 81450

                          #13
                          Originally posted by bettingman6
                          Seriously?

                          Are you betting underdog moneylines, or is that all bets against the spread?
                          Fade me and get RICH.


                          Comment
                          • Big Bear
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 11-01-11
                            • 43253

                            #14
                            Originally posted by DiggityDaggityDo
                            I am on a 3-21 run right now (12.5%)
                            penetrate a fat bitch. Works everytime.
                            Comment
                            • DiggityDaggityDo
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 11-30-08
                              • 81450

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Big Bear
                              penetrate a fat bitch. Works everytime.
                              Bear, I’ve been trying to find one.

                              But as an SBR Pro, only 9’s and 10’s want a piece of this.
                              Comment
                              • funnyb25
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 07-09-09
                                • 39663

                                #16
                                Comment
                                • jjgold
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 07-20-05
                                  • 388179

                                  #17
                                  Not really the vig gets you, everybody comes back to between 48 and 52%
                                  Comment
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