Chargers at Pat's - Pick

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  • thomorino
    Restricted User
    • 06-01-17
    • 45842

    #1
    Chargers at Pat's - Pick
    I think the value is on the under at 45.5.

    Pat's offense hasn't been as strong this year, Gordon is gone, gronk hasn't been consistent, Edelman has had issues with drops. Chargers offense has struggled the last several weeks despite their winning streak. The chargers defensive coaches had a great game plan for Baltimore and should be ready here. Charger are built defend the pass with bossa and Ingram, James should matchup well with Gronk. Pat's will want to run with Michel and Burkhead health, use wuick short passes against pass Rush.Pats Gilmore should be able to limit Allen and Gordon still isn't healthy, chargers receivers outside of Allen are below average.Pata defense is better this year with hightower healthy, more talent on defensive line.Wind should be 10 to 15 and Rivers hasn't been as good in cold weather.
  • House
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 09-04-11
    • 7088

    #2
    Pats 8-0 at home this year . Rivers has never beaten Brady in his house and its gonna be snowing in NE .. Rivers record is dog shit in Jan also . Gordon is banged up . Bellichick and Brady won't lose this game .....
    Comment
    • 2daBank
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 01-26-09
      • 88966

      #3
      Originally posted by thomorino
      I think the value is on the under at 45.5.

      Pat's offense hasn't been as strong this year, Gordon is gone, gronk hasn't been consistent, Edelman has had issues with drops. Chargers offense has struggled the last several weeks despite their winning streak. The chargers defensive coaches had a great game plan for Baltimore and should be ready here. Charger are built defend the pass with bossa and Ingram, James should matchup well with Gronk. Pat's will want to run with Michel and Burkhead health, use wuick short passes against pass Rush.Pats Gilmore should be able to limit Allen and Gordon still isn't healthy, chargers receivers outside of Allen are below average.Pata defense is better this year with hightower healthy, more talent on defensive line.Wind should be 10 to 15 and Rivers hasn't been as good in cold weather.
      Chargers wrs outside of Allen are most certainly not below average. Mike Williams was a incredibly high draft pick and had his rookie season ruined by injury. Think it becoming quite clear he could be at worst a excellent #2 and could very well turn out being a top 20 type wr in this league., The other Williams is also dangerous.


      None that means it won’t go under, def agree pats gonna be running the ball like crazy here. Chargers have to respect the pass this week so would expect Michel to have a big game., both teams offenses at their best are shortening the game with long drives..
      Comment
      • jjgold
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 07-20-05
        • 388179

        #4
        The sexy pick is Chargers but how do you bet against Brady??
        Comment
        • ikid2groove415
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 01-08-18
          • 11981

          #5
          Patriots 8-0 in the Fox - hole - bet accordingly- they have look bad on the road - not at home
          Comment
          • Mackballs
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 12-01-16
            • 5810

            #6
            Chargers 8-1 on the road this year with some excellent wins
            Comment
            • ikid2groove415
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 01-08-18
              • 11981

              #7
              The best coach ever is not losing 2 a QB he owns 7-0- after a bye at home - ridiculous / Chargers will get ambush
              Comment
              • 44 Mag
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 10-14-13
                • 34490

                #8
                Originally posted by House
                Pats 8-0 at home this year . Rivers has never beaten Brady in his house and its gonna be snowing in NE .. Rivers record is dog shit in Jan also . Gordon is banged up . Bellichick and Brady won't lose this game .....
                I live here, there is no snow in the forecast for Sunday.....
                Comment
                • SEAHAWKHARRY
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 11-29-07
                  • 26068

                  #9
                  Mags you live in Mass... cool love that area was stationed in Groton Ct for submarine school and Duty Went to Boston a lot. Also NH and New York it's so different traveling to those states it takes a col hours for each one. Here in Calif I trail 2-3 hours in still in So.Cal lol
                  Comment
                  • lonegambler23
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 06-22-16
                    • 9760

                    #10
                    gordons playing
                    Comment
                    • SEAHAWKHARRY
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 11-29-07
                      • 26068

                      #11
                      Originally posted by lonegambler23
                      gordons playing
                      Is he?
                      Comment
                      • 44 Mag
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 10-14-13
                        • 34490

                        #12
                        Originally posted by SEAHAWKHARRY
                        Mags you live in Mass... cool love that area was stationed in Groton Ct for submarine school and Duty Went to Boston a lot. Also NH and New York it's so different traveling to those states it takes a col hours for each one. Here in Calif I trail 2-3 hours in still in So.Cal lol
                        Yes sir. Suburb 7 miles north of Boston. 10 minutes from Logan with no traffic. Next time in town, stop by.
                        Comment
                        • thomorino
                          Restricted User
                          • 06-01-17
                          • 45842

                          #13
                          Not that I care, some stupid and inaccurate info here, Gordon is currently on the pup/injured reserve, Mike Williams barely had 600 yards , he's nothing special yet and is mostly a deep threat, not a reliable #2.
                          Comment
                          • thomorino
                            Restricted User
                            • 06-01-17
                            • 45842

                            #14
                            Pats defense has been much better at home, given up 13 points or less last 3 in foxboro.
                            Comment
                            • thomorino
                              Restricted User
                              • 06-01-17
                              • 45842

                              #15
                              Originally posted by lonegambler23
                              gordons playing
                              I'm talking about Josh not melvin
                              Comment
                              • thomorino
                                Restricted User
                                • 06-01-17
                                • 45842

                                #16
                                I"m adding Pats -3 1H, Pats defense is much better at home, Chargers don't have much of a running game with both running backs banged up
                                Comment
                                • lakerboy
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 04-02-09
                                  • 94379

                                  #17
                                  Take over
                                  Comment
                                  • Fred The Hammer
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 08-13-13
                                    • 11581

                                    #18
                                    Has there ever been a team undefeated at home with a bye and only favored by 3.5 over a wildcard team? Thats crazy imo. Not that they can't win but just the line being so low.
                                    Comment
                                    • pavyracer
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 04-12-07
                                      • 82839

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Fred The Hammer
                                      Has there ever been a team undefeated at home with a bye and only favored by 3.5 over a wildcard team? Thats crazy imo. Not that they can't win but just the line being so low.
                                      I don't ever remember Patriots being -3.5 home regular season or playoffs with Brady at QB. Something is up.
                                      Comment
                                      • thomorino
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 06-01-17
                                        • 45842

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by Fred The Hammer
                                        Has there ever been a team undefeated at home with a bye and only favored by 3.5 over a wildcard team? Thats crazy imo. Not that they can't win but just the line being so low.
                                        Charger road record is the main reason but the chargers were extremely lucky against pittbsurgh and KC on the road, I don see them as a great road team, their running game is very average right now because of injuries
                                        Comment
                                        • Fred The Hammer
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 08-13-13
                                          • 11581

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by thomorino
                                          Charger road record is the main reason but the chargers were extremely lucky against pittbsurgh and KC on the road, I don see them as a great road team, their running game is very average right now because of injuries
                                          Yeah...I bet them in London and they didn't cover vs Tenn. I think they won by 1 point but didn't look good. They stole the game in KC despite being outplayed for 3.5 quarters. Rivers just lollipops the ball for jump balls if the pass is over 20 yards. I like their D better then NEs but overall its a tough call and 3.5 is bad number. I like Under as well
                                          Comment
                                          • thomorino
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 06-01-17
                                            • 45842

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by Fred The Hammer
                                            Yeah...I bet them in London and they didn't cover vs Tenn. I think they won by 1 point but didn't look good. They stole the game in KC despite being outplayed for 3.5 quarters. Rivers just lollipops the ball for jump balls if the pass is over 20 yards. I like their D better then NEs but overall its a tough call and 3.5 is bad number. I like Under as well
                                            I think Rivers is overrated too, he's never won big games. This pats team isn't as good as previous Pats teams, but they've been great at home all year.
                                            Comment
                                            • Saluki09
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 12-30-08
                                              • 1003

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by thomorino
                                              I think Rivers is overrated too, he's never won big games. This pats team isn't as good as previous Pats teams, but they've been great at home all year.
                                              That’s bc they play the Jets, Bills, and Dolphins ever year. That’s almost half there home games lol. Brady’s home record is mostly against garbage teams
                                              Comment
                                              • thomorino
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 06-01-17
                                                • 45842

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by Saluki09
                                                That’s bc they play the Jets, Bills, and Dolphins ever year. That’s almost half there home games lol. Brady’s home record is mostly against garbage teams
                                                The Pat's home record has been great for years at home and past dominated at home, they didn't just win, the offense was far better at home.
                                                Comment
                                                • RavensFan2k3
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 08-18-12
                                                  • 17378

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by pavyracer
                                                  I don't ever remember Patriots being -3.5 home regular season or playoffs with Brady at QB. Something is up.
                                                  That’s what they were vs the Chiefs
                                                  Comment
                                                  • pilebuck13
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 05-15-15
                                                    • 17918

                                                    #26
                                                    As much as I literally just won’t bet against the patriots I absolutely will not bet this game. I’ll be rooting for rivers I like him and he deserves a fukin ring stellar guy....Brady has had his chances....seems books like chargers chances obviously....I have a feeling if pats lose tomorrow could bury people...and the saints eagles game....who knows lines suck tomorrow Chiefs was easiest play this weekend and it’s done....not betting NFL tomorrow good luck guy. Chargers got better players
                                                    Comment
                                                    • paco
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 05-07-09
                                                      • 62873

                                                      #27
                                                      Total at 47.5 now
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Saluki09
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 12-30-08
                                                        • 1003

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by thomorino
                                                        The Pat's home record has been great for years at home and past dominated at home, they didn't just win, the offense was far better at home.
                                                        The Jets, Bills, and Dolphins have been awful for the most part since Brady’s been in the league. His home record is an irrelevant stat considering his competition in the division
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Saluki09
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 12-30-08
                                                          • 1003

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by thomorino
                                                          The Pat's home record has been great for years at home and past dominated at home, they didn't just win, the offense was far better at home.
                                                          You also have to take into account Josh Gordon being gone. In the Chiefs game he was the most targeted receiver and a big reason why they won. Take the team more talent
                                                          Comment
                                                          • KiDBaZkiT
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 10-20-09
                                                            • 14962

                                                            #30
                                                            Guys need an avi so this isnt so obviously shill acct.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • thomorino
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 06-01-17
                                                              • 45842

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by KiDBaZkiT
                                                              Guys need an avi so this isnt so obviously shill acct.
                                                              Fuk off
                                                              Comment
                                                              • thomorino
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 06-01-17
                                                                • 45842

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by Saluki09
                                                                That’s bc they play the Jets, Bills, and Dolphins ever year. That’s almost half there home games lol. Brady’s home record is mostly against garbage teams
                                                                Pat's have had an easy home schedule, they also dominated at home for the most part, Ravens played 2 good passing offenses on the road in Pittsburgh and KC and should have lost both those games.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • thomorino
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 06-01-17
                                                                  • 45842

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by Saluki09
                                                                  You also have to take into account Josh Gordon being gone. In the Chiefs game he was the most targeted receiver and a big reason why they won. Take the team more talent
                                                                  Gordon had basically 40 yards receiving against KC, Patriots won be auae they could run the ball, Burkhead back has improved the running game too.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Saluki09
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 12-30-08
                                                                    • 1003

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by thomorino
                                                                    Gordon had basically 40 yards receiving against KC, Patriots won be auae they could run the ball, Burkhead back has improved the running game too.
                                                                    Aren’t you like the worst capper in this thread anyway? lol
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • pilebuck13
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 05-15-15
                                                                      • 17918

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Like white for a td prop idk haven’t seen it yet on bookmaker
                                                                      Comment
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