Bama ML is a trap I'm guessing to lose our WC weekend winnings

[KingHawkins]

does anyone have paid SportsInsights to share where the $ is at on this game?
Also, any opinions from anyone on props?
I like Lawrence under 262.5 passing yards. And Tua over 297.5.
On the Under 59 already but thinking of buying out there, maybe live early hoping to see low/mid 50's. But a score in the first 3/4 mins and I'll have potentially lost my shot to buy out.

[shocka1212]

Ran two models.. got 42-13 and 45-17 Bama on both

[RiverDog21]

Ran two models.. got 42-13 and 45-17 Bama on both

Models? Lmfao 😂 can’t make this shit up lol

[shocka1212]

been capping the game all night.... Clemson spread is the odds play. Under also.

down to 56.5

[shocka1212]

Models? Lmfao  can’t make this shit up lol

I do risk assessment for work. a high school student could do it honestly

[shocka1212]

If you are considering putting your winnings on Bama money line then you’re looking for an excuse to lose them. No disrespect meant but the obvious play is clemson and the points though they will win straight up.

how often is the obvious bet the right one? whole point of this thread.

[RiverDog21]

I do risk assessment for work. a high school student could do it honestly

Like I said no disrespect. I’m sure your models can be effective sometimes. But the easiest play tonight is Clemson +7.5 (-148). I like clemson to win straight but if I’m wrong about that there’s no way they lose by more than a TD and I don’t need a model for that because I’ve watched every play of every game they’ve played this season and while most people don’t realize how special of a team this is they will after the game.

[sandman0713]

hope u all at least took the points if on clemson. i can't stand bama, but no way they are losing. a freshman qb and a d line missing talent against bama...not a good recipe.

[RiverDog21]

how often is the obvious bet the right one? whole point of this thread.

Not all that often. It seems like you’re still trying to make up your mind. Take my advice and take the points even if you think Bama will win. You won’t regret it.

[shocka1212]

Like I said no disrespect. I’m sure your models can be effective sometimes. But the easiest play tonight is Clemson +7.5 (-148). I like clemson to win straight but if I’m wrong about that there’s no way they lose by more than a TD and I don’t need a model for that because I’ve watched every play of every game they’ve played this season and while most people don’t realize how special of a team this is they will after the game.

Took the under at 57.5.. kicking myself for not taking 58.5 last night because was trying to see if it would hit 59 again but no cigar. holding out to see if I can grab Bama live again like last year.

[shocka1212]

Not all that often. It seems like you’re still trying to make up your mind. Take my advice and take the points even if you think Bama will win. You won’t regret it.

appreciate the advice but I'm going to lay off unless I see something I really like during the game. won't be large though being as my book has my live bets capped

[RiverDog21]

appreciate the advice but I'm going to lay off unless I see something I really like during the game. won't be large though being as my book has my live bets capped

Mine are capped too that sucks but it’s probably for the best in the long run as live bets are usually tougher for me than pre game bets. The player props for tee Higgins yards over and Justyn Ross yards over look pretty good to me. They are both real deal nfl caliber receivers. If clemson wins they’ll be an integral part and if clemson loses they’ll still be passing late.

[shocka1212]

Mine are capped too that sucks but it’s probably for the best in the long run as live bets are usually tougher for me than pre game bets. The player props for tee Higgins yards over and Justyn Ross yards over look pretty good to me. They are both real deal nfl caliber receivers. If clemson wins they’ll be an integral part and if clemson loses they’ll still be passing late.

won more props this weekend than I have ever.. wouldn't be surprised if I can't bet more than $100 now. BOL to you man.

[RiverDog21]

won more props this weekend than I have ever.. wouldn't be surprised if I can't bet more than $100 now. BOL to you man.

Haha yeah I got lucky to hit 2 Nick Foles props late in that game yesterday myself. I usually bet the games fairly and the props small. Thanks and good luck to you too.

[shocka1212]

Haha yeah I got lucky to hit 2 Nick Foles props late in that game yesterday myself. I usually bet the games fairly and the props small. Thanks and good luck to you too.

just spoke to two people I take very seriously... both on Clemson. Knowing them, I like your chances here

[RiverDog21]

just spoke to two people I take very seriously... both on Clemson. Knowing them, I like your chances here

Thanks for letting me know. I was already loving them. I made a big bet for me on them +7.5 (-148) for $900 plus 3 $100 player props plus I have them as the last leg of a parlay and the last leg of a teaser so I really want to hit this one. But this game means than money to me as I’m a life time Clemson fan.

[JIBBBY]

Does seem like a trap. Bama hype is to much.

Clemson and the points for me.. May even sprinkle a little on the ML..

Shocka looking like genius with the trap call.

I'm on Clemson hope this trap shiiit holds up..

[shocka1212]

just spoke to two people I take very seriously... both on Clemson. Knowing them, I like your chances here

good friend of mine had 12k on the spread and another 2500 on the ML.. absurd.

[jtoler]

people always say that but those people dont know what their talking about. bama loses to qbs that can pass from the pocket. a running qb is just that a running qb who isnt a passer like an option styled qb just because you can run doesnt make you a running qb. when manziel beat them yes he had 90 something yds rushing but it was his 24 completions and 253 yds passing and 2tds that beat them when he almost beat them the next year losing 49-42 he had 464 yds passing and 5tds. when chad kelly beat them he had 341 yds passing and 3tds he only had 21 yds rushing on 8 carries. when trevor knight beat them he had 32 completions 348 yds passing 4tds and only 7 yds rushing. when deshawn watson beat them he had 36 completions 420 yds passing and 3tds and averaged 2 yds a rush. its the the guys that are able to pass the ball from the pocket and perhaps scramble some that beat bama only a@m eclipsed the 100 yd mark rushing in any of those losses. when cam beat them he threw for 3tds and only averaged 1.8 yds a carry, when bo wallace beat them he threw for 3tds and when uga almost beat them twice we know fromm isnt a running qb. you also need a team that can get some stops clemson is well equipped to beat bama whether or not the frosh qb can get it done is another story

Lawrence 347 yds passing 3tds
Tigers easy money

[shocka1212]

Models? Lmfao  can’t make this shit up lol

Ran two models.. got 42-13 and 45-17 Bama on both

say what you want.. I had the game flow right.. just capped the sides incorrectly.

[Wrongside]

This was a good call