LA Chargers +3(-115)/ML(+145)

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  • mdunlap3
    SBR MVP
    • 02-18-13
    • 1847

    #1
    LA Chargers +3(-115)/ML(+145)
    Simple handicap here men. Many of you have seen me use this logic in the past, or a variation of it. Betting a higher rated team on the road, after they dropped home field earlier in the season as a favorite to pk. The chargers lost to the Ravens a few weeks ago in what was seemingly a great spot for the Chargers. The Ravens were coming off of short rest in the last matchup, but still found a way to cover the number and win the game outright. This week I have the Chargers getting their revenge. Even though it’s an early start for the Chargers(10 am pacific), I don’t think it matters as much because it is a playoff game, and they will both have maximum motivation. I don’t like that the Ravens have had to essentially win all of their last few games fighting against Pittsburgh for a playoff spot, while the Chargers have been coasting so to speak for the last three to four weeks. The Ravens and Lamar have proven a lot of people wrong and have made their backers a lot of money, however, I think there’s something to be said for the Chargers getting an opportunity to adjust their gameplan and learn lessons from the previous matchup. Love LAC here.

    3.75 unit LAC +3
    1.25 unit LAC ML
    5 unit Chargers +9/Colts +8
  • lakerboy
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 04-02-09
    • 94383

    #2
    Good luck. I want to but there is a huge xfactor that can not be ignored.


    🐐
    Comment
    • mdunlap3
      SBR MVP
      • 02-18-13
      • 1847

      #3
      Originally posted by lakerboy
      Good luck. I want to but there is a huge xfactor that can not be ignored.


      🐐
      What’s that?
      Comment
      • Yankfan4life2
        SBR MVP
        • 01-15-17
        • 2275

        #4
        I love the chargers as well but something tells me to lay off. Ravens shouldn't be winning with a qb who can't throw the ball and a practice squad RB but I got a bad feeling they just might. GL dunlap hope your bets hit
        Comment
        • HilltopTony
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 01-09-10
          • 767

          #5
          I see too many people on various forums calling for LAC ML. I'm not sure it's going to go that way. Baltimore probably wins and advances. Too much love for Super Chargers!
          Comment
          • Hman
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 11-04-17
            • 21429

            #6
            GL with the plays
            Comment
            • jts1207
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 12-15-16
              • 8011

              #7
              On Chargers as well. Rivers gets it done.
              Comment
              • mikmik
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 05-13-12
                • 5457

                #8
                Doesn’t add up , ravens as favs with lj and gus
                Comment
                • JIBBBY
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 12-10-09
                  • 83686

                  #9
                  In on Da Chargers as well!!! In Phillip Rivers we kinda trust ...
                  Comment
                  • Joey Vigs
                    SBR MVP
                    • 06-10-18
                    • 1425

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Yankfan4life2
                    I love the chargers as well but something tells me to lay off. Ravens shouldn't be winning with a qb who can't throw the ball and a practice squad RB but I got a bad feeling they just might. GL dunlap hope your bets hit
                    Same here, love them something is telling me it’s a dead stone cold loser. Might just live bet the game.
                    Comment
                    • Winning oasis
                      SBR MVP
                      • 06-14-11
                      • 1244

                      #11
                      Stats from Bleacher Report.

                      Since 2002, rookie QB's are 1-5 SU and 2-4 ATS in playoff games.

                      Chargers are 7-1 SU and ATS on the road this season.
                      Chargers are 5-1 ATS in their last six games in the playoffs as road underdogs.
                      Ravens are 1-5 ATS in their last six games at home.
                      Ravens are 7-0 ATS in their last seven playoff games.

                      Somethings gotta give. Lol. I teased Colts/Chargers +9 and Bears PK/Chargers +9.

                      ALSO first half under 20.5 and Ravens -1. (Since 2002, teams from Pacific and Mountain time zones have been outscored 202-56 in the first half of all 1:00pm playoff contests)

                      Good luck on your plays!
                      Comment
                      • seaborneq
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 09-08-06
                        • 22556

                        #12
                        I'm on the Chargers
                        Comment
                        • mdunlap3
                          SBR MVP
                          • 02-18-13
                          • 1847

                          #13
                          Should have pounded LAC 1H lol.
                          Comment
                          • mdunlap3
                            SBR MVP
                            • 02-18-13
                            • 1847

                            #14
                            Curtains?
                            Comment
                            • seaborneq
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 09-08-06
                              • 22556

                              #15
                              Originally posted by mdunlap3
                              Curtains?
                              hopefully
                              Comment
                              • mdunlap3
                                SBR MVP
                                • 02-18-13
                                • 1847

                                #16
                                Originally posted by seaborneq
                                hopefully
                                That should do it. Huge win for me. Don’t mean to gloat, but I really feel like I was spot on in my handicap. Chargers figured out Lamar, clearly.
                                Comment
                                • Yankfan4life2
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-15-17
                                  • 2275

                                  #17
                                  Great call dunlap. Told myself I would go all-in on whoever the ravens faced once they beat the browns but pussied out smh. awesome win bro
                                  Comment
                                  • mdunlap3
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 02-18-13
                                    • 1847

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Yankfan4life2
                                    Great call dunlap. Told myself I would go all-in on whoever the ravens faced once they beat the browns but pussied out smh. awesome win bro
                                    Thx man. I had a strong feeling about this one. By far my biggest bet of the weekend.
                                    Comment
                                    • lakerboy
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 04-02-09
                                      • 94383

                                      #19
                                      Congratulations. I chickened out
                                      Comment
                                      • mdunlap3
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 02-18-13
                                        • 1847

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by lakerboy
                                        Congratulations. I chickened out
                                        No worries. I know we are gonna ride them next week. Pounded the 5.5 before the Ravens game ended lol.
                                        Comment
                                        • MrSink
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 12-30-08
                                          • 8087

                                          #21
                                          great calls and reasoning
                                          Comment
                                          • cankid
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 08-22-08
                                            • 7253

                                            #22
                                            Nice going
                                            Comment
                                            • mdunlap3
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 02-18-13
                                              • 1847

                                              #23
                                              Thanks men. I have a pretty nice hold on these teams this year.
                                              Comment
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