Wildcard Saturday

[2daBank]

Well, I was going to place my bet first thing tomorrow morning, but it looks like I may have to wait until the last possible minute.

The moneyline move will tell me what to do.

It opened at -145 and it already dropped to anywhere from -125 to -140.

If it comes back up and goes up really high on Dallas, then I will tease Dallas.

If it drops any further or stays where it is, then Seattle it is.

Man say it ain’t so. You seem far too solid to let your play be based of what the line does!!! I have never for a second believed where a line moves has any predictive qualities. Game played on the field a nobody knows wtf gonna happen before it played!!

[2daBank]

Seattle has better QB
Better run game
Better big play ability
They are also great at handling the football
Last 4 games Dallas defence hasnt been that good soooo....

In Russ I Trust.

Ill take them to squash the cowgirls, but next game ill fade em most likely. Dallas just looks better cause their division is so bad.

Lmfao. Other than qb none of that is any more than your assumptions which mostly wrong., I do love that everyone seems to love Seattle, works for me. Same with chargers. Colts too but I’m not touching anything other than colts teased up over a td as i think that a lock., might as well throw Philly in there too. Bizarro world where the average squares all like the road dogs. Home Favs prob go 3-1

[DJK]

Man say it ain’t so. You seem far too solid to let your play be based of what the line does!!! I have never for a second believed where a line moves has any predictive qualities. Game played on the field a nobody knows wtf gonna happen before it played!!

It's not the spread movement I'm going to rely on to make my decision.

It's the moneyline movement instead.

From what I've seen, when the moneyline gets really expensive, the team that's favored covers more often than not. At the same, the opposite is true where when the moneyline gets really cheap, the team that's favored loses SU.

The way I see it, the books are making the moneyline expensive for the favorites who are most likely to win and cover and thus make it harder for people to take ML.

But when the books think that the favorite can lose SU, they will make the ML cheap enough to suck people into buying it.

You don't believe that logic?

[DJK]

I haven't check the ML movements as much to see how it affected the ATS covers since I've checked it only sporadically.

For both Houston and Dallas, their ML's have gone down.

For Baltimore, it has stayed the same.

For Chicago, it has gone up.

It will be interesting to see where the ML's move to by the kick offs and see how it co-relates to the ATS covers.

[DJK]

Also, one might say that ML movement should be in relation to the spread movement, but it's not the case for Dallas.

Dallas opened at -2.5 and it went down before making a come back to -2.5.

Their ML went down from the opening ML and it stayed down even though the spread came back up.

[WildCelticsFan]

Lmfao. Other than qb none of that is any more than your assumptions which mostly wrong., I do love that everyone seems to love Seattle, works for me. Same with chargers. Colts too but I’m not touching anything other than colts teased up over a td as i think that a lock., might as well throw Philly in there too. Bizarro world where the average squares all like the road dogs. Home Favs prob go 3-1

My assumptions? What did i say there that is wrong?

[WildCelticsFan]

Seattle: #1 turnover differential

Dallas defence last 4 games:
26th in points allowed
29th in yards allowed

What i said was facts banker just saying

[DJK]

Seattle: #1 turnover differential

Dallas defence last 4 games:
26th in points allowed
29th in yards allowed

What i said was facts banker just saying

I wouldn't rely on the stats for the last 4 games for Dallas as not all starters played in their game against NY where NY scored a lot and gained a lot of yards.

Maybe just the last 3 excluding NY.

[Venom72]

Lmfao. Other than qb none of that is any more than your assumptions which mostly wrong., I do love that everyone seems to love Seattle, works for me. Same with chargers. Colts too but I’m not touching anything other than colts teased up over a td as i think that a lock., might as well throw Philly in there too. Bizarro world where the average squares all like the road dogs. Home Favs prob go 3-1

Dallas hasnt won a playoff game in god knows how long, with better teams than they have at the moment, dont see that trend changing today vs a better team with a far better qb, dallas is only even in this because their divison is absolute trash

[shocka1212]

fukin walkin on egg shells over here with these two games.. both plays are not large for the record.. teasing Houston/dallas/ravens to cover my ass

[lakerboy]

Dallas hasnt won a playoff game in god knows how long, with better teams than they have at the moment, dont see that trend changing today vs a better team with a far better qb, dallas is only even in this because their divison is absolute trash

What?

That division produced 2 playoff teams.

[shocka1212]

Man, you need to stick your gun and go with your first picks.

That would be Indy and Seattle.

or I could just do whatever I want.. that works too ya know

[lakerboy]

or I could just do whatever I want.. that works too ya know

You seem testy these days. I always considered you a nice person.

[shocka1212]

You seem testy these days. I always considered you a nice person.

you're right. I have a lot on these bets today.. more than I should some would argue.. BOL to you

[shocka1212]

Indy ML-102
Cowboys ML -127 (banker talked me into capping the game deeper and Seahawks have never won in the playoffs as a road dog).....


Had a lean on Colts/Texans over 48 but the fact that these teams know each other so well, I'm going to pass.

Bruh