The Importance of Strength of Schedule ATS Wlldcard Weekend

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  • USCPHILLYGUY
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 12-15-12
    • 21748

    #1
    The Importance of Strength of Schedule ATS Wlldcard Weekend
    Interesting stats I heard from my good friend Teddy Covers. When using Sagarin Strength of Schedule wild card weekend just blindly tailing the team with the harder schedule is 41-17-2 since 2002 ATS. When that number is 10 points are more that team covers at a 80% clip. I’m trusting teddy on these numbers as did not research. Last year did go 2-2. Philly & Dallas are in the 10 point clip this weekend.
  • 2daBank
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-26-09
    • 88966

    #2
    Damn, pretty sick If accurate. Fits my liking of dallas. Not so much cause I like bears. Lol
    Comment
    • danshan11
      SBR MVP
      • 07-08-17
      • 4101

      #3
      that is what sucks about football betting, there is never enough data (41-17 is nothing) and the lines dont move enough!! I really think that NFL betting is so much fun but purely recreational, books kill it on football!
      Comment
      • 2daBank
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 01-26-09
        • 88966

        #4
        Originally posted by danshan11
        that is what sucks about football betting, there is never enough data (41-17 is nothing) and the lines dont move enough!! I really think that NFL betting is so much fun but purely recreational, books kill it on football!
        Without a doubt! I usually think this a really good weekend to use 6 point teasers. Lines generally pretty good and most these games look to be tight.
        Comment
        • shocka1212
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 10-06-12
          • 16788

          #5
          heavy teaser action this weekend.
          Comment
          • daneblazer
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 09-14-08
            • 27861

            #6
            Bears should have lost last week. Now they’ll get knocked out first round
            Comment
            • Art Vandelay
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 09-11-06
              • 6698

              #7
              Originally posted by daneblazer
              Bears should have lost last week. Now they’ll get knocked out first round
              Yep, they had the rare opportunity to choose their first round opponent. Can't believe they chose Philly over the pathetic Vikes!
              Comment
              • grease lightnin
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 10-01-12
                • 16015

                #8
                Originally posted by daneblazer
                Bears should have lost last week. Now they’ll get knocked out first round
                I will laugh my ass off if that happens.

                I thought they they would be smart about it last weekend and it cost me money...
                Comment
                • lakerboy
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 04-02-09
                  • 94383

                  #9
                  Bears did the right thing. Very hard to beat a division rival 3 straight games. Teams rest sometimes and lose there edge.
                  Comment
                  • jjgold
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 07-20-05
                    • 388179

                    #10
                    And Teddy covers is living out of a box that’s what you need to know
                    Comment
                    • USCPHILLYGUY
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 12-15-12
                      • 21748

                      #11
                      Originally posted by jjgold
                      And Teddy covers is living out of a box that’s what you need to know


                      Guy throws out actual stats and you try & bury him. He said on his twitter feed you were up his ass so much in Vegas he had to call security.
                      Comment
                      • RudyRuetigger
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 08-24-10
                        • 65084

                        #12
                        good info

                        another reason players talk is needed
                        Comment
                        • shocka1212
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 10-06-12
                          • 16788

                          #13
                          Originally posted by jjgold
                          And Teddy covers is living out of a box that’s what you need to know
                          Comment
                          • Chi_archie
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 07-22-08
                            • 63172

                            #14
                            its all about matchups and current status of a team

                            what happened in Sept is like light years away from what happens this weekend.

                            look at position groupings offensive vs defensive especially o line and d line
                            Comment
                            • USCPHILLYGUY
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 12-15-12
                              • 21748

                              #15
                              Brutal Dallas beat on this but other pick a winner
                              Comment
                              • daneblazer
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 09-14-08
                                • 27861

                                #16
                                Guess teddy can move out of his box
                                Comment
                                • gauchojake
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 09-17-10
                                  • 34121

                                  #17
                                  Hope it doesn't rain on his box
                                  Comment
                                  • gauchojake
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 09-17-10
                                    • 34121

                                    #18
                                    Comment
                                    • USCPHILLYGUY
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 12-15-12
                                      • 21748

                                      #19
                                      Why all the Teddy Hate? Met the guy in Costa Rica was very cordial
                                      Comment
                                      • daneblazer
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 09-14-08
                                        • 27861

                                        #20
                                        Not hating. This is good stuff
                                        Comment
                                        • BigOrange
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 08-13-09
                                          • 6745

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by USCPHILLYGUY
                                          Brutal Dallas beat on this but other pick a winner
                                          He should have won with Dallas. It was -1 or -1.5 for several days.

                                          That being said, Teddy Never Covers is never a follow. Fade or pass only!
                                          Comment
                                          • grease lightnin
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 10-01-12
                                            • 16015

                                            #22
                                            I met the guy in Vegas, he introed himeself as Teddy Covers and I introed myself as greaser, and he says “what’s your name?” like greaser wasn’t good enough. It must say Teddy Covers on his birth certificate???
                                            Comment
                                            • leovegas
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 09-03-17
                                              • 2543

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by grease lightnin
                                              I met the guy in Vegas, he introed himeself as Teddy Covers and I introed myself as greaser, and he says “what’s your name?” like greaser wasn’t good enough. It must say Teddy Covers on his birth certificate???
                                              that's funny

                                              Is he even a 'Teddy'?
                                              Comment
                                              • RudyRuetigger
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 08-24-10
                                                • 65084

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by grease lightnin
                                                I met the guy in Vegas, he introed himeself as Teddy Covers and I introed myself as greaser, and he says “what’s your name?” like greaser wasn’t good enough. It must say Teddy Covers on his birth certificate???
                                                Hopefully you said Grease Lightnin
                                                Comment
                                                • USCPHILLYGUY
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 12-15-12
                                                  • 21748

                                                  #25
                                                  I’m obviously fascinated by numbers. Here’s an amazing one. Chicago was +2 in the turnover dept. yest. Home teams that were +2 in the playoffs in the past 40 years were 112-4
                                                  Comment
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