BODY-BAG PLAY 2018 #3 (back to winning)

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  • ThaTopMoron
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 04-30-10
    • 27020

    #1
    BODY-BAG PLAY 2018 #3 (back to winning)
    First one hit easy with Pats -10 vs Colts (faded my own team, i knew them and the situation and won)

    Tried a second one in baseball during playoffs (not my strong suit) with the brewers dodgers game and got burned by the Dodgers who got lucky with some HR that night.

    I've waited over 5 weeks to post one again.
    Time to get back to winning. Or else the body-bag plays will end up in a trash bag themselves... never to be seen again.


    I'm once again fading one of the teams that I know best in sports.

    The play is Michigan -3 vs North Carolina

    Let's see how long UNC stays in the game before Michigan turns up the pressure and then turns defense into instant, easy offense.

    Let's see how long it takes Roy to call a timeout to stop the bleeding. He likes to let his guys "figure it out themselves on the court" before he finally steps in. He does it all the time. You can't do that with these young players. When he waits too long and then finally stops play and UNC is down 14 after being down 1 just minutes earlier... they already feel beaten. They will play hurried, rushed offense and end up with bad shots/forced shots and turnovers... and the deficit my just continue to grow as Roy continues to tell them to play faster... as the other team grows more confident by the second on offense.

    I've seen this story time and time again from UNC when playing great defensive teams. The script for this young Carolina team is already written for tonight.

    The only thing that can keep them in it is if someone goes off and scores 30+... that was the only thing that kept UNC close to Texas (only L for UNC so far) in the 2nd half. They still lost by 3 and that was with someone hitting a late 3 with 5 seconds to go down 5 and then Texas going 1/2 from the FT line.

    Michigan -3
  • Chi_archie
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 07-22-08
    • 63172

    #2
    okay
    Comment
    • ThaTopMoron
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 04-30-10
      • 27020

      #3
      Originally posted by Chi_archie
      okay
      would you enjoy a post that said nothing besides I have 100 units of air on Michigan -3 so that it felt more like a typical SBR pt post???


      game starts soon...
      Comment
      • ThaTopMoron
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 04-30-10
        • 27020

        #4
        17-2 run by Michigan after a hot start for UNC for a 21-11 lead... which Michigan erased with a 11-0 run

        23-28 now



        It's like watching exactly what I saw happening unfold right before my eyes

        instead of calling a timeout... Roy has his hands on his head and he's screaming
        Comment
        • Slipknot26
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 07-17-15
          • 5046

          #5
          I noticed he did exactly that , arms crossed like WTF is going on , just getting eat alive on the first night run .
          Comment
          • ThaTopMoron
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 04-30-10
            • 27020

            #6
            Originally posted by Slipknot26
            I noticed he did exactly that , arms crossed like WTF is going on , just getting eat alive on the first night run .
            Yup
            I've been watching Roy coach the Heels since he was hired. I still love him tho, 4 national title games and with 3 wins and 1 epic loss that came after having an epic comeback from being down 10 to Nova in 16. He gets enough wins vs Duke to keep the fans happy as well.
            Comment
            • Housemoney
              SBR MVP
              • 09-17-09
              • 3912

              #7
              On UNC, if they lose it should be close.
              Comment
              • ThaTopMoron
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 04-30-10
                • 27020

                #8
                Originally posted by Housemoney
                On UNC, if they lose it should be close.
                Coby may keep them in it late if he has to... he did that in the Texas loss. He's holding them together right now while Michigan is a little cold again.
                Comment
                • ThaTopMoron
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 04-30-10
                  • 27020

                  #9
                  these teams really struggling to hit the first half over
                  Comment
                  • ThaTopMoron
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 04-30-10
                    • 27020

                    #10
                    michigan up 39-35 after trailing 11-21

                    28 to 14 run... doubled them up

                    run started for Michigan when they picked up the effort on defense... leading to offense and a couple wide open 3's on the 11-0 run

                    game going exactly like i envisioned so far

                    perfect halftime line... UNC Michigan probably a PK at half

                    74 pts scored in a game that has a game total of 148.... books almost spot on
                    Comment
                    • ThaTopMoron
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 04-30-10
                      • 27020

                      #11
                      Michigan -1 2nd half has -119 juice on BM right now


                      edit: now it went back to -1 -110
                      Comment
                      • Ph q all
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 09-18-17
                        • 705

                        #12
                        Excellent analysis thus far. Bring this one home kid!
                        Comment
                        • 2daBank
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 01-26-09
                          • 88966

                          #13
                          On this one too, think we in good shape here, once they figured out heels pace they pretty much took over late in the half.
                          Comment
                          • ThaTopMoron
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 04-30-10
                            • 27020

                            #14
                            Michigan has hit a couple 3's and all UNC does is go faster and faster after each make by Michigan... playing hurried and frantic like i expected which just leads to quick misses on offense and even more open shots on the other end

                            Michigan now -745 Live ML

                            -9 live spread
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                            • ThaTopMoron
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 04-30-10
                              • 27020

                              #15
                              Originally posted by 2daBank
                              On this one too, think we in good shape here, once they figured out heels pace they pretty much took over late in the half.
                              not surprised you picked the correct side, win or lose
                              Comment
                              • 2daBank
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 01-26-09
                                • 88966

                                #16
                                Originally posted by ThaTopMoron
                                Michigan has hit a couple 3's and all UNC does is go faster and faster after each make by Michigan... playing hurried and frantic like i expected which just leads to quick misses on offense and even more open shots on the other end

                                Michigan now -745 Live ML

                                -9 live spread
                                If anyone wasn’t sure before game started I thought was pretty damn obvious at half and gm was still close enough to get decent second half line id guess (didn’t look since I was on full gm -3 as well).,
                                Comment
                                • ThaTopMoron
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 04-30-10
                                  • 27020

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by 2daBank
                                  If anyone wasn’t sure before game started I thought was pretty damn obvious at half and gm was still close enough to get decent second half line id guess (didn’t look since I was on full gm -3 as well).,
                                  yep. they had all momentum. i forgot to mention that Michigan lost @UNC last year by a good margin. Kind of a revenge game even though UNC has a new team minus Maye. But I'm sure Michigan players remember the double digit L
                                  Comment
                                  • ThaTopMoron
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 04-30-10
                                    • 27020

                                    #18
                                    Michigan is on a 47-21 run since being down 11-21
                                    Comment
                                    • ThaTopMoron
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 04-30-10
                                      • 27020

                                      #19
                                      Michigan up 20...TIME TO GET THE BODY BAGS FOR UNC
                                      Comment
                                      • 2daBank
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 01-26-09
                                        • 88966

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by ThaTopMoron
                                        yep. they had all momentum. i forgot to mention that Michigan lost @UNC last year by a good margin. Kind of a revenge game even though UNC has a new team minus Maye. But I'm sure Michigan players remember the double digit L
                                        I looked at the nova gm earlier in season as Michigan’s big revenge gm but yea that little fact unc whipped them last year wasn’t lost on me.

                                        Michigan looks great this season. I really like Nebraska too. Big 10 strong.
                                        Comment
                                        • ThaTopMoron
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 04-30-10
                                          • 27020

                                          #21
                                          fading a team you know and love is a business decision when it comes to gambling

                                          a tough one

                                          not many teams can do this to UNC


                                          Michigan not only covered -3... they went up by as many as 22 and won by 17. Michigan even hit the final shot of the game to get the total from 148 to 151 to cash bets for full game OVER backers

                                          Body-Bag plays now 2-1 and back on track. I put the pressure on myself to win this one or retire them.

                                          Congrats to anyone who had Michigan tonight!
                                          Comment
                                          • jolyolyolyman
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 01-17-18
                                            • 602

                                            #22
                                            Didn’t have it, but loved the thread and commentary. Good stuff man! Keep em coming
                                            Comment
                                            • jjgold
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 07-20-05
                                              • 388179

                                              #23
                                              good call

                                              Michigan one of top coached teams in America
                                              Comment
                                              • SEAHAWKHARRY
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 11-29-07
                                                • 26068

                                                #24
                                                Great call
                                                Comment
                                                • Housemoney
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 09-17-09
                                                  • 3912

                                                  #25
                                                  Nice call, I took a beating last night
                                                  Comment
                                                  • swordsandtequila
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 02-23-12
                                                    • 9757

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by ThaTopMoron
                                                    Yup
                                                    I've been watching Roy coach the Heels since he was hired. I still love him tho, 4 national title games and with 3 wins and 1 epic loss that came after having an epic comeback from being down 10 to Nova in 16. He gets enough wins vs Duke to keep the fans happy as well.
                                                    Pretty much sums up the feelings of 'Heels fans everywhere. Can't argue with Championships, but in the moment the timeout issues are maddening.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • gauchojake
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 09-17-10
                                                      • 34114

                                                      #27
                                                      When do we get a sweep the leg play??? Nice call btw
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Grivas_Digeni
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 05-08-15
                                                        • 5307

                                                        #28
                                                        Retired 10-15-2018?

                                                        Originally posted by ThaTopMoron
                                                        fading a team you know and love is a business decision when it comes to gambling

                                                        a tough one

                                                        not many teams can do this to UNC


                                                        Michigan not only covered -3... they went up by as many as 22 and won by 17. Michigan even hit the final shot of the game to get the total from 148 to 151 to cash bets for full game OVER backers

                                                        Body-Bag plays now 2-1 and back on track. I put the pressure on myself to win this one or retire them.

                                                        Congrats to anyone who had Michigan tonight!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • ThaTopMoron
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 04-30-10
                                                          • 27020

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by jolyolyolyman
                                                          Didn’t have it, but loved the thread and commentary. Good stuff man! Keep em coming
                                                          Originally posted by jjgold
                                                          good callMichigan one of top coached teams in America
                                                          Originally posted by SEAHAWKHARRY
                                                          Great call
                                                          Originally posted by Housemoney
                                                          Nice call, I took a beating last night
                                                          Originally posted by gauchojake
                                                          When do we get a sweep the leg play??? Nice call btw
                                                          Originally posted by Grivas_Digeni
                                                          Retired 10-15-2018?
                                                          thanks guys

                                                          you'll get it back Housemoney

                                                          yeah, Grivas... I didn't stay retired for long
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Grits n' Gravy
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 06-10-10
                                                            • 13024

                                                            #30
                                                            Congrats!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • 19th Hole
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 03-22-09
                                                              • 18953

                                                              #31
                                                              In The Bag!



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