buying points make zero sense in basketball
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ive actually been selling points all year in nba. only 1 game out of about my 50 bets has landed on that 1 bad number, all the rest im averaging -100 lines instead of -110 so its already paying for itselfComment -
Ton of Overs with big favorites last night. I like to find those in college football where the favorite has a chance to almost cover the Over by themselves. Hoops wise....if you have a 150 total and the favorite could get 100 then that doesn't require much from the loser. Plus how tight is the defense going to be with a 35 point lead?
Indiana (only one I bet on) 104-55 (11.5 points Over)
Villanova 100-77 (27 points Over)
Rhode Island 97-63 (10.5 Over)
Wisconsin 85-63 (13.5 Over)
Minnesota 104-76 (18.5 Over)
LSU 94-63 (9 Over)
Gonzaga 120-79 (44.5 Over)
My thinking is that everyone wants to recruit and you're pretty limited if you play slow ass grind it out Virginia style. Even Wisconsin put up 85 last night. I'm sure they'll adjust the totals quickly like they have in the NBA, but its something to keep an eye on!Comment -
Marshall -9 vs. EKUComment -
I like marshall as well got them early at 8, was thinking under to 175 seems really high, what you thinkComment -
Both up tempo teams but damn 175 seems way too high. Just too early in season for me to figure out totalsOriginally posted by Mr HandsomeComment -
Good move pal. I’m not much into capping nba but this season I started selling half run/ful run on mlb totals (my guy BiffT idea not mine) and it got my typical price range between pk and +130. Turned handful of winners into pushes but the difference from paying -105 to -120 in previous years to paying no juice and getting mostly plus money made it well worth it!! I’m sure the same principal would apply in hoops! Certainly something worth tracking!!! Reason I love baseball is cause I bet almost exclusively dogs on sides, I’ve learned a long time ago I can hit 48-52% consistently (some years little higher) which is profit when getting plus money, and there little to no chance I can consistently hit the percentage required to profit when paying even -120!!!! These the kind of ideals and discussions we need more of around here!! Welcome aboard pal!!Originally posted by Penguin7Comment -
ya i saw bifft doing that in bases too and it seemed to be going well for him when i would look at his thread every couple of days. i also started doing this on football when its not key numbers and has worked actually the bestComment -
Wright State > W Carolina 96-73 (22 points Over)Originally posted by Fred The Hammer
I'm on Texas A&M/Savannah State with the same theory. I read where A&M is no longer playing grind it out style either. New coach wants to run more
53-37 at half!Pending 11/7/18 9:30pm College Extra Basketball 1111 Savannah State/Texas A&M Over 168½ -110* Comment -
Damn dom. That is a bad start. Had a feeling cinn was a trap yesterday. Ohio st is not this goodComment -
Yeah, rough start. Seems like I always start off this way. But, I always dig out and profit every season and I have every intention of continuing that trend of winning seasons.Originally posted by Itsamle
It took a rare Kyle Ahrens late 3, followed by two 1/2 trips to the FT line for KU, for me to lose by the 0.5 hook for a 4.2x swing.
2-5 -5.75xComment -
This was the kiss of death. Tough break Dom.Originally posted by GT21MegatronComment -
Oh wow. Mush couldn’t keep his trap shut until the final buzzer.Originally posted by GT21MegatronComment -
Siena +7 @ George WashingtonComment -
Indiana State +1.5 @ Green Bay
Northern Kentucky -4.5 @ Northern IllinoisComment -
Buffalo +11 @ West VirginiaComment -
I lean that way Dom but I came to the conclusion the over was a stronger play, I feel if Buffalo stays within the number it should sail into the 160s. Plus I could see wvu covering and still going over which why I choose over.. do think that the right side tho, gl!!Originally posted by DOM_TorettoComment -
If only Buffalo could make a wide open shot...or a dunk...Damn they matchup decent. Just need to make shots.Comment -
Now everything is a foul. This is absolutely brutal to watch.Comment -
Well now it’s pretty nice to watch... up 10 in OT while getting +11Comment -
Love what I’m watching right now! Good stuff manComment -
I played some ml In the sbr point book. Hit the over for biggest bet to date for real moneyOriginally posted by DOM_Toretto
nice call pal. Buffalo matched up so well here!!
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The matchup was great and the shots finally started falling late.Comment -
Great call on buffalo, I added on a few times live and made bankComment -
5-6 -3.85x
App State +13 @ Alabama
MSU -22 vs. FGCU
Florida State -14.5 @ Tulane
Vanderbilt +2 @ USCComment -
hanging in there early
avoid disastersComment -
8-7 -1.95Comment -
not bad so farComment -
SIU tonight.Originally posted by mackaveComment -
Illinois -6 vs. Georgetown
Rhode Island +2 @ COCComment -
Solid number on Illinois. Rose up quite quickly.Comment -
Any lean on the X game? Looks like rematch of the national championship tomorrow.
Can't wait til right after thanksgiving, some big time tourneys.Comment -
I’m gonna take Wiscy and Nova in those... I do NOT understand the line move on Wiscy-X. Opened up badgers -2 now it’s X -1.Originally posted by KRITComment -
Illinois vs GTown will be heavily dependent on if the Illinois guards can outweigh govan inside. I think they can. I'm an illini fan. But a realistic one. You got a good number at -6.
I wouldn't take it at the 8 it is now.
But Ayo and Trent are incredible guards and should put on a show per usual.Comment -
Wisconsin +1 @ XavierComment
