Are oddsmakers this bad?

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  • MinnesotaFats
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 12-18-10
    • 14758

    #1
    Are oddsmakers this bad?
    Seriously

    Couldn't be more off this year in college FB

    Got questions for those day 3 bash interview peoples.....
  • Chi_archie
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 07-22-08
    • 63172

    #2
    did they split the consensus in betting pretty well?
    Comment
    • CWD
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 01-22-12
      • 7665

      #3
      Mediocre teams all around dogs might be barking this year
      Comment
      • jjgold
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 07-20-05
        • 388179

        #4
        It’s just that there’s a lot of parity in all sports now it’s all you need to know
        Comment
        • KVB
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 05-29-14
          • 74817

          #5
          Originally posted by MinnesotaFats
          Seriously

          Couldn't be more off this year in college FB

          Got questions for those day 3 bash interview peoples.....


          What do you mean they couldn't be more off?

          I don't understand but if you explain or get specific I may have some input. Remember, it was only week 1.

          Comment
          • MinnesotaFats
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 12-18-10
            • 14758

            #6
            Originally posted by KVB


            What do you mean they couldn't be more off?

            I don't understand but if you explain or get specific I may have some input. Remember, it was only week 1.

            Well.... perhaps it's just the games I bet but in this week I've had:

            Navy ml
            E Car ml
            NMSU +21.5
            Mia ML
            ND ML but Mich live
            FAU + 20.5
            Texas ML

            Last week Col state ML vs HA

            I mean seriously, these lines are off 3 scores + let alone the ML. I was up over $4500 in Vegas alone, about $11k for the year, until college football started. Now I'm down.
            Comment
            • 2daBank
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 01-26-09
              • 88966

              #7
              If are so off wouldn’t that be beneficial? You took navy ml minus what maybe -450ish and somehow books are off? Seems like your compass might be broken pal, if they have hamburgers laying that kind of juice on a loser they are winning don’t ya think??
              Comment
              • KVB
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 05-29-14
                • 74817

                #8
                So are you saying the line was supposed to represent the final score?

                Also, The books will profit more when there are upsets, usually. I can explain this if you need.

                Remember, the book is trying to get acceptable action on certain sides of bets, not necessarily predict the scores.

                I think the books did a good job considering the public perceptions they had to deal with in some games.
                Comment
                • KVB
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 05-29-14
                  • 74817

                  #9
                  If we see lines move significantly, then it's possible the originators screwed up and the book had to adjust.

                  That's one of the only signs that they are bad or made a mistake and week 1 is tough as lines are hung for a long time.

                  Mistakes, I will tell you, don't happen often; even if they appear to.
                  Comment
                  • RangeFinder
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 10-27-16
                    • 8041

                    #10
                    The numbers are not going to predict a score

                    They split action

                    That is all
                    Comment
                    • ChuckyTheGoat
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 04-04-11
                      • 37477

                      #11
                      Fats, game are tough to predict day b4 game. Everything is crystal-clear day after.

                      And each game has Variance. Not unusual for games to not play close to the #.
                      Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                      Comment
                      • KVB
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 05-29-14
                        • 74817

                        #12
                        Yeah, also, these markets will tighten a bit about week 5.
                        Comment
                        • JayDr3am
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 05-06-14
                          • 18260

                          #13
                          Originally posted by MinnesotaFats
                          Seriously

                          Couldn't be more off this year in college FB

                          Got questions for those day 3 bash interview peoples.....
                          early on is the best time to take advantage of them.. they literally dont know shit. theres too many games for them to be pinpoint.
                          Comment
                          • Louisvillekid1
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 10-17-07
                            • 52143

                            #14
                            Lol

                            oddsmakers sharpest people in world

                            they got people flipping coins 60/40
                            Comment
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