So you think winning long term is impossible?

**Alfa1234** · 02-18-19, 06:46 AM

Originally posted by cashin81

How much cash are u up?

Working in units here, not giving my exact bet amounts. Limits range from 250 to several k on these games.

**Alfa1234** · 02-18-19, 07:24 AM

Cracovia VS Jastrzebie Hockey U4.5 at 2.0
Oswiecim VS Katowice Hockey U6.5 at 1.99

**cashin81** · 02-18-19, 07:38 AM

Originally posted by Alfa1234

Working in units here, not giving my exact bet amounts. Limits range from 250 to several k on these games.

Damn well done.

**Alfa1234** · 02-18-19, 07:46 AM

Plzen VS Boleslav U21 2 at 2.0

**Alfa1234** · 02-18-19, 07:58 AM

Caykur Rizespor VS Yeni 1 at 2.55

**Alfa1234** · 02-18-19, 08:15 AM

Goztepe VS Trabzonspor 1 at 2.78

**Alfa1234** · 02-18-19, 08:40 AM

Falkirk VS St Mirren Reserves 1 at 2.05

**Alfa1234** · 02-18-19, 09:13 AM

Dukla Prague VS Sparta Prague 2 at 1.62

**Alfa1234** · 02-18-19, 09:40 AM

Mouscron VS St Truiden Reserves X2 at 1.86

**Alfa1234** · 02-18-19, 11:06 AM

Tampa Bay VS Columbus U1.5 1st P at 1.59

**Alfa1234** · 02-18-19, 01:52 PM

Originally posted by Alfa1234

Tampa Bay VS Columbus U1.5 1st P at 1.59

This was obviously O1.5, not under.

**leovegas** · 02-18-19, 02:20 PM

Originally posted by Alfa1234

This was obviously O1.5, not under.

1.49 still value for this one?

**Alfa1234** · 02-18-19, 03:17 PM

Originally posted by leovegas

1.49 still value for this one?

Nope don't take it below 1.55

**Alfa1234** · 02-18-19, 03:28 PM

Originally posted by Alfa1234

Most should be available. I bet all of them and then post a few minutes, maybe 10-15mins after betting them.

That The Magic line was the opening line for a bunch of bookies, you'll see Bet365 had not even put the market up at the time I took it. Bookies adjusted very late on that one and the line was available for hours actually.

Will post tickets Friday or so as I haven't picked them up yet.

I forgot to post these. Tickets:

Gyazo

https://gyazo.com/85210b6f5eb867e651d9dc0786053355

**SportsMushroom** · 02-18-19, 04:33 PM

dude you rule

**lonegambler23** · 02-18-19, 04:57 PM

Originally posted by SportsMushroom

dude you rule

lol

**Alfa1234** · 02-20-19, 05:19 AM

Back at it Wednesday 20 feb.

Reyes VS Hadzovic MMA UFC 2 at 2.17

**Alfa1234** · 02-20-19, 05:33 AM

Ethnikos Achnas VS Polemidion 1 at 2.95

**Alfa1234** · 02-20-19, 05:49 AM

GOG Svendborg VS Kif Kolding HB 2 (3-way) at 13.0

**Alfa1234** · 02-20-19, 07:25 AM

Suceava VS Baia Mare Handbal 1 (3-way) 1 at 2.0

**Alfa1234** · 02-20-19, 08:19 AM

Erzgebirge Aue VS Cologne 2 at 1.85

**Alfa1234** · 02-20-19, 09:26 AM

Schalke VS Manchester City, City wins by 1 at 4.15

**Alfa1234** · 02-20-19, 10:18 AM

Red Wings VS Blackhawks 1st P O1.5 at 1.6

**SportsMushroom** · 02-26-19, 10:40 PM

hey alfa, i am bad at this gambling thing, will you be my mentor

**Alfa1234** · 02-28-19, 07:45 AM

Originally posted by SportsMushroom

hey alfa, i am bad at this gambling thing, will you be my mentor

Build a simple model, nothing too fancy and then check every single big game out there. Then check all smaller games. If your model is accurate enough by say 5% compared to the closing odds, start finding outlier odds and bet them. Early openers are your best bet. Nothing else to it. Thousands of games every week, I guarantee books are not accurate in at least 10 to 20 of them every day. That's all you need.

Your main problem will be getting the money on, not finding bets.

I was off for the week by the way, back working tomorrow. Will post an update later today.

**Alfa1234** · 02-28-19, 08:34 AM

Update:

Up 158.34 units now with 1 game still to be played this weekend. Total bets placed is now 1303 bringing the ROI to 12.15% (including voids). Average odd placed is 2.6387. My "To win" ROI is now 10.38% so odds > 2.0 remain those with the highest ROI.

February was a slow month due to a skiïng vacation and some more housing renovations going on here. Back at it full time in March.

1/feb	Pittsburg VS Ottawa 1min2,5	3,31	-1
	Fribourg VS Lausanne BSB 1min16,5	1,85	-1
	Vienna Timberwolves VS Traiskirchen BSB 1	1,9	0,9
	Club Aurora VS Destroyers 1	1,86	0,86
	Heat VS City Thunder 2	1,57	0,57
	Royal Pari VS Jorge Wilstermann 2	4,57	3,57
	Bangor Celtic VS Bluebell United 2	2,3	-1
	Serra VS Noroeste U2,5	2,11	-1
	Monza VS Sambenedettese 2	3,38	-1
	Levadia Talinn VS Tammeka Tartu X2	4,15	-1
	Bradford VS Leamington 1 Postponed	1,92	0
	South Africa VS Pakistan Cricket 2	2,05	-1
2/feb	akhisar VS Basaksehir U10,5 Corners	1,62	0,62
	Ostrava VS Opava BSB 1	1,53	-1
	Tottenham VS Newcastle, Tottenham wins by 1	3,8	2,8
	Birmingham VS Leeds U23 2	2,73	-1
	Mega Vizura VS Zadar BSB O174,5	2,4	1,4
	Wisla Krakau VS Zilina 2	2,41	-1
	Arhavi VS Afyonkarahisar Volley 2	3,55	2,55
	Manacor VS Rio Duero San Jose Volley 1	2,48	1,48
	Aris Thessaloniki VS Panionios BSB 1min10,5	1,8	0,8
	Pardubice VS Kolin BSB 1min16,5	1,84	-1
	Crystal Palace VS Fulham U4,5 Bookings	1,65	-1
	East Riffa VS Manama 1	3,26	2,26
	Herediano VS Universidad Costa Rica 2	6,33	5,33
	Free State VS Polokwane Postponed	2,7	0
	Juventus VS Parma, Juve wins by 1	4,3	-1
11/feb	Mertens VS Siniakova U9,5 1st set	1,84	-1
	Zulte Waregem VS Eupen Reserves 1	1,6	0,6
	Akwa VS Kada X2	3,95	-1
	Bruges VS Standard Reserves 1X	1,49	-1
	Lokeren VS Antwerp Reserves 1X	2,6	1,6
	Kortrijk VS Ostend Reserves X2	3,4	-1
	Anderlecht VS Genk Reserves X2	3,4	-1
	Lisy VS Altay Hockey O8,5	2,44	-1
	Nottingham VS Sheffield U23 1	2,25	1,25
	Crewe VS Barnsley U23 2	2,63	1,63
	Sarmaty Orenburg VS Barsy Astana Hockey 2	1,85	-1
13/feb	Atletico Huila VS Cortulua 1min1,5	3,6	-1
	Marathon VS Vida 1	1,52	0,52
	Raja Casablanca VS Otoho BTSN	1,39	0,39
	St Pauli VS Ingolstadt 2	4,45	-1
	Senegal VS South Africa U20 1min1,5	3,3	-1
	Envigado VS Jaguares 1min1,5	3,65	-1
	MAC Budapest VS Nitra Hockey 2min1,5	2,17	1,17
	Wattens VS Odd U2,5	1,96	-1
15/feb	Bou Saada VS Saida X2	2,98	-1
	Pau Lacq Orthez VS Paris BSB 1min8,5	1,8	-1
	Monfils VS Dzumhur 1min4,5	2,24	1,24
	Karachi Kings VS Multa Sultans Cricket 2	1,95	-1
	Al Hamriyah VS Al Urooba 2	2,81	-1
	Hanvikens VS Hammarby Hockey 1	2,8	-1
	Plzen VS Pirati Chomutov Hockey 1min2,5	2,03	-1
	Bath VS Newcastle Rugby 1min9,5	1,87	0,87
	Jesenice VS Sterzing Hockey 1	1,65	0,65
	Querrey VS Jung 1min4,5	2,3	-1
	Nurnberg VS Dortmund U3,5	1,75	0,75
	Barnsley VS Nottingham U23 1	2,3	-1
	Vive Kielce VS Montpellier Handbal 2	3,55	2,55
	Innsbruck VS Orli Hockey U6,5	2,49	-1
	Minnesota Wild VS New Jersey Devils 1min2,5	3,56	-1
	Winnipeg VS Ottawa 1min2,5	3,41	-1
	Deggendorf VS Bad Nauheim Hockey 2min1,5	2,28	-1
16/feb	Anadolu Efes VS Besiktas BSB 2+8,5	1,85	0,85
	zilina VS Trnava X2	3	2
	Rot Weiss Essen VS Herkenrath 1st half O1,5	2,12	-1
	Vienna Timberw. VS Oberwart Gunners BSB 2min9,5		2,16	-1
	Hacken VS Brage 1min2,5	2,55	1,55
	Zira VS Neftchi Baku 2	1,72	-1
	Tusker VS Kakamega 2 VOID	4,26	0
	Woking VS Weston BTSY	1,87	0,87
	Dulwich VS Hemel 1	2	-1
	Piracicaba VS Sao Bernardo 1	1,88	0,88
	Caracas VS Aragua 1min1,5	3,05	-1
	Osmanlispor VS Karabukspor U2,5	3,27	-1
	Municipal VS Chiantla 1min1,5	3,05	-1
17/feb	Opelka VS Schnur, Tie break 1st set Yes	2,8	-1
	Apollon Larissa VS Aiginiakos 1	1,97	0,97
	Rad Belgrade VS Zemun 1	1,8	-1
	Apollon Larissa VS Aiginiakos O2,5	1,78	0,78
	Maliye Milli VS Halkbank Ankara Volley 1	2,9	-1
	Slask Wroclaw VS Zaglebie Lubin 1	2,5	1,5
	Tromsdalen VS Alta X2	3,15	2,15
	Malmo VS Degerfors X2	5,55	-1
	Sparti VS Panachaiki 2	1,6	0,6
	Gibraltr Phoenix VS St Joseph 2	2	1
	Cesarense VS Gafanha 1	2,3	-1
	Stuttgart VS Hannover 1	2,05
	Dyn. Moscow VS Traktor Chelyabinsk Hockey U3,5	2,66	1,66
	Doxa Katokopias VS Ermis Aradippou U2,5	2,03	1,03
	Baerum VS Froya BSB 1min9,5	1,85	0,85
	Leverkusen VS Dusseldorf O3,5	2,13	-1
18/feb	Slovan Liberec VS Dukla Praha U21 1	1,57	0,57
	Flames VS Coyotes 1min2,5	3,39	2,39
	Queen of the South VS Ross Reserves 1	6,52	-1
	Cracovia VS Jastrzebie Hockey U4,5	2	1
	Oswiecim VS Katowice Hockey U6,5	1,99	-1
	Plzen VS Boleslav U21 2	2	1
	Caykur Rizespor VS Yeni 1	2,55	1,55
	Goztepe VS Trabzonspor 1	2,78	-1
	Falkirk VS St Mirren Reserves 1	2,05	1,05
	Dukla Prague Vs Sparta Prague 2	1,62	0,62
	Mouscron VS St Truiden Reserves X2	1,86	0,86
	Tampa Bay Vs Columbus O1,5 1st Period	1,59	0,59
20/feb	Reyes VS Hadzovic MMA UFC 2	2,17	1,17
	Ethnikos Achnas VS Polemidion 1	2,95	-1
	GOG Svendborg VS Kif Kolding HB 2 (3-way)	13	-1
	Suceava VS Baia Mare Handbal 1 (3-way)	2	1
	Erzgebirge Aue Vs Cologne 2	1,85	0,85
	Schalke VS Manchester City, City wins by 1	4,15	3,15
	Red Wings VS Blackhawks 1st P O1,5	1,6	0,6



		2,638703	158,34

**Alfa1234** · 03-01-19, 05:35 AM

Back at it, Friday 1 March:

Toronto VS Buffalo Sabres, 1min2.5 at 3.46
Karakopru Belediyespor VS Hopaspor 1 at 2.2

**Alfa1234** · 03-01-19, 06:05 AM

Poblense VS Binissalem X2 at 3.75

**Alfa1234** · 03-01-19, 06:09 AM

Tira VS Ironi Nesher 1 at 1.8

**Alfa1234** · 03-01-19, 06:38 AM

Tampa Bay VS Ottawa Senators 1min2.5 at 2.65

**Alfa1234** · 03-01-19, 07:09 AM

Bath VS Harlequins Rugby 1min6.5 at 1.8

**Alfa1234** · 03-01-19, 07:20 AM

Al Hilal Riyadh VS Al Faisaly BTSY at 2.2

**Alfa1234** · 03-01-19, 08:22 AM

Trungelliti VS Pella 2min4.5 at 2.15

**Alfa1234** · 03-01-19, 08:34 AM

Valerengen VS Bodo/Glimt U2.5 at 2.03

**Alfa1234** · 03-01-19, 10:33 AM

Stade Francais VS Toulouse Rugby 2+3.5 at 1.87