330 to win 1058: Cubs & Over 7.5 Parlay

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  • flakeandbake
    SBR MVP
    • 06-21-10
    • 3672

    #1
    330 to win 1058: Cubs & Over 7.5 Parlay
    #kidsback
  • jjgold
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 07-20-05
    • 388179

    #2
    Love these guys
    Comment
    • grease lightnin
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 10-01-12
      • 16015

      #3
      I have these plays both individually

      GL to us
      Comment
      • .pm.
        SBR Rookie
        • 01-23-17
        • 45

        #4
        Cubs 7 strikeouts through 3 innings

        Good bet
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        • d2bets
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 08-10-05
          • 39995

          #5
          Why would anyone parlay the home team and the over?
          Comment
          • .pm.
            SBR Rookie
            • 01-23-17
            • 45

            #6
            Originally posted by d2bets
            Why would anyone parlay the home team and the over?
            Especially when the home team is facing the best pitcher in the NL and the wind is blowing in, LOL
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            • ikid2groove415
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 01-08-18
              • 11981

              #7
              Typical bitches / comes in here after the game is in the 8th inning and throw shades -_-zZz
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              • d2bets
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 08-10-05
                • 39995

                #8
                Originally posted by ikid2groove415
                Typical bitches / comes in here after the game is in the 8th inning and throw shades -_-zZz
                Nah. I posted when I saw it awhile ago. But it's pretty basic: you NEVER parlay the home team and the over. Hard enough to find edges gambling, you don't give them away.
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                • Joey Vigs
                  SBR MVP
                  • 06-10-18
                  • 1425

                  #9
                  Did this win? Would be a nice haul
                  Comment
                  • d2bets
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 08-10-05
                    • 39995

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Joey Vigs
                    Did this win? Would be a nice haul
                    Nope. Cubs/under would have been a good way to go.
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                    • TheMoneyShot
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 02-14-07
                      • 28672

                      #11
                      Joey Vigs Nice profile photo
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                      • flakeandbake
                        SBR MVP
                        • 06-21-10
                        • 3672

                        #12
                        Originally posted by d2bets
                        Nah. I posted when I saw it awhile ago. But it's pretty basic: you NEVER parlay the home team and the over. Hard enough to find edges gambling, you don't give them away.
                        This might be the dumbest thing I've ever heard honestly in my life. "Never parlay a home team with the over"?? If anything I would say never parlay an over/under with the same team in the same parlay - bc you're basically cutting your odds in half (50% x 50% = 25%). On the flip side, taking an over and a home team has nothing to do with each other besides that they are tied together in a parlay
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                        • matt711
                          SBR MVP
                          • 07-09-12
                          • 2285

                          #13
                          In College a Football people would say to bet home team and over or dog and under.....It used to wrk, didn’t track it last year
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                          • d2bets
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 08-10-05
                            • 39995

                            #14
                            Originally posted by flakeandbake
                            This might be the dumbest thing I've ever heard honestly in my life. "Never parlay a home team with the over"?? If anything I would say never parlay an over/under with the same team in the same parlay - bc you're basically cutting your odds in half (50% x 50% = 25%). On the flip side, taking an over and a home team has nothing to do with each other besides that they are tied together in a parlay
                            Think through the later part of a baseball game, you'll realize your error and then you'll admit your error. I can help you if you really need it, but it will be embarrassing.

                            Otherwise, there is nothing inherently wrong with parlaying a baseball side and a total, meaning Road/Over or Home/Under.
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                            • d2bets
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 08-10-05
                              • 39995

                              #15
                              Originally posted by flakeandbake
                              This might be the dumbest thing I've ever heard honestly in my life. "Never parlay a home team with the over"?? If anything I would say never parlay an over/under with the same team in the same parlay - bc you're basically cutting your odds in half (50% x 50% = 25%). On the flip side, taking an over and a home team has nothing to do with each other besides that they are tied together in a parlay
                              How many innings are typically played when the home team wins? 8.5. That's one less frame to score runs toward hitting the over. And one fewer frame if you're trying to stay under.

                              Moreover, in an extra innings game, once the home team scores 1, it's ballgame. But if it's the road team that scores, they keep going. Those extra runs could score the over.

                              That stuff matters.

                              I think you can now see how road/over and home/under are correlated and the opposite is anti-correlated.
                              It's hard enough to find an edge, you never willingly play against one. So you never ever ever parlay the home/over or road/under. The opposite is sharp. Especially if you have a home starter you like to dominate, home/under can be really good.
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                              • flakeandbake
                                SBR MVP
                                • 06-21-10
                                • 3672

                                #16
                                Originally posted by d2bets
                                Think through the later part of a baseball game, you'll realize your error and then you'll admit your error. I can help you if you really need it, but it will be embarrassing.
                                Maybe I don't notice bc I rarely play overs and rarely have a home team and the over in a parlay (especially a big favorite). So in that case idk and I still don't fuckinn care lol . I don't see your point unless you're trying to point out the most obvious thing in the world - which is that 8.5 innings are played if the home team wins without walking off omgomgomg Einstein has spoken. No shit if you parlay only home teams with the over it will not make mathematical sense over a long-term analysis. But besides that you have no basis in arguing "never parlay a home team with the over". That is some religious psycho shit you must've picked up in GA class or something
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