UFC Fight NIGHT: Alverez Vs. Poirier

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  • Fire in da hole
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 09-29-10
    • 6262

    #1
    UFC Fight NIGHT: Alverez Vs. Poirier
    Alverez vs. Poirier
    Joanna vs. Torres
    Aldo vs. Stephens

    We got us a fkn card tonight boys

    Take Joanna to the bank
    Aldo over stephens
    Poirier over Alverez

    See you mutha fuckas at the cage

  • Mackballs
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 12-01-16
    • 5810

    #2
    On the same

    Little suspect on JJ though. Still think she hasn't learned much from both those losses to 🌹. She tends to have trouble with shorter, more compact fighters because they're able to get in on her since she likes to stay at range with long strikes. Claudia and Andrade both had success in their fights. Gotta go with her though.
    Comment
    • Fire in da hole
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 09-29-10
      • 6262

      #3
      I’m not completely sold on JJ overall, but I don’t think about Tores’ striking like she did in her two losses. I don’t think Torres can knock JJ out, so for that, I’m going with JJ

      Poirier is just in a roll and is a complete fighter. Alvarez is no slouch, but just going with the hot hand.

      i don’t think Stephens has fought as good comp as Aldo
      Comment
      • Beantownmatt
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 06-30-18
        • 842

        #4
        good luck tonight fellas
        Comment
        • Chi_archie
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 07-22-08
          • 63172

          #5
          Matt, you related to Jim?
          Comment
          • KVB
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 05-29-14
            • 74817

            #6
            Money update.

            These fights commanding more volume that CFL games..lol.

            Torres/Edrzej has from my samples and sources, more bets on Edrzej but more money is on Torres. Surprisingly, this is not really reflected in the line as, even though there were -400's out there, this line really stayed in the 270's , after opening around 275 or 285.

            Books may be hiding the money here.

            As I typed this, I see the money getting more even and the line moving to around -280, at least at 5 D.

            The money is pretty split now, with what looks like more bets on Edrezej.
            Comment
            • KVB
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 05-29-14
              • 74817

              #7
              For Steph/Aldo, it's heavily bet from what I can see. Tickets are on Stephens and the money looks to be on Aldo.

              This money conditioned flipped with the moneyline crossing 0.

              In excess volume, the books have attracted money on each dog. Stephens was legitimately bet up, with transactions to become the favorite but as that occurred, the money came in on Aldo as the Dog.

              We could easily, with this volume, have the some groups holding both fighters as dogs.

              Nice spot for them...


              Comment
              • SilverSpoon111
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 07-20-18
                • 545

                #8
                Originally posted by KVB
                Money update.

                These fights commanding more volume that CFL games..lol.

                Torres/Edrzej has from my samples and sources, more bets on Edrzej but more money is on Torres. Surprisingly, this is not really reflected in the line as, even though there were -400's out there, this line really stayed in the 270's , after opening around 275 or 285.

                Books may be hiding the money here.

                As I typed this, I see the money getting more even and the line moving to around -280, at least at 5 D.

                The money is pretty split now, with what looks like more bets on Edrezej.
                Comment
                • KVB
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 05-29-14
                  • 74817

                  #9
                  Finally, for Alvarez/Poirier, money and tickets showing on Poirier and it is reflected in the line movement.

                  I wouldn't be surprised if this fight went Under, but as we get closer to fight time, the picture will be more clear. I think some Total information is old and it is delayed industry wide for the books.

                  Bastards.

                  Comment
                  • BIGDAY
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 02-17-10
                    • 48245

                    #10
                    Aldo could suck here.

                    Mein should win with ease.
                    Comment
                    • KVB
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 05-29-14
                      • 74817

                      #11
                      Yeah, right now the books are content to take Aldo dog money.

                      This could go over the 2.5 rounds, and it is juiced that way.
                      Comment
                      • SilverSpoon111
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 07-20-18
                        • 545

                        #12
                        Originally posted by BIGDAY
                        Aldo could suck here.

                        Mein should win with ease.
                        I agree no way i could take Aldo here unless he was back on the roids because hes been on a steep decline and not getting younger and taking a beating last 3 fights he could easily get mopped in the first round here Stephens is no push over.
                        Comment
                        • KVB
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 05-29-14
                          • 74817

                          #13
                          Originally posted by SilverSpoon111
                          I agree no way i could take Aldo here unless he was back on the roids because hes been on a steep decline and not getting younger and taking a beating last 3 fights he could easily get mopped in the first round here Stephens is no push over.
                          Line really moved against him, that's for sure and the books content right now.

                          I agree, my forecat freaks out at the thought of Aldo...

                          Comment
                          • BIGDAY
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 02-17-10
                            • 48245

                            #14
                            Comment
                            • SilverSpoon111
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 07-20-18
                              • 545

                              #15
                              Originally posted by BIGDAY

                              That's what i like to see spreadsheets with actualy real numbers! Well done so far sir!
                              Comment
                              • Fire in da hole
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 09-29-10
                                • 6262

                                #16
                                Bigday buying the Stephens hype

                                guy hasn’t fought anything but second rate comp
                                Comment
                                • BIGDAY
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 02-17-10
                                  • 48245

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Fire in da hole
                                  Bigday buying the Stephens hype

                                  guy hasn’t fought anything but second rate comp
                                  Watch n learn suhn.
                                  Comment
                                  • Fire in da hole
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 09-29-10
                                    • 6262

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by BIGDAY
                                    Watch n learn suhn.
                                    I’m taking notes

                                    loser drops their pants and jumps in the nugget pool butt ass naked

                                    lets go Bigday, man up
                                    Comment
                                    • BIGDAY
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 02-17-10
                                      • 48245

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Fire in da hole
                                      I’m taking notes

                                      loser drops their pants and jumps in the nugget pool butt ass naked

                                      lets go Bigday, man up
                                      Cake Walk.
                                      Comment
                                      • KVB
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 05-29-14
                                        • 74817

                                        #20
                                        Comment
                                        • Fire in da hole
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 09-29-10
                                          • 6262

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by BIGDAY
                                          Cake Walk.
                                          So you agreeing to the bet?
                                          Comment
                                          • SilverSpoon111
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 07-20-18
                                            • 545

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by Fire in da hole
                                            So you agreeing to the bet?
                                            Comment
                                            • KVB
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 05-29-14
                                              • 74817

                                              #23
                                              Fire is on a roll with side bets BigDay, watch out!!

                                              He schooled me out of a hundred points last night.

                                              Comment
                                              • Fire in da hole
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 09-29-10
                                                • 6262

                                                #24
                                                He skerd
                                                Comment
                                                • Fire in da hole
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 09-29-10
                                                  • 6262

                                                  #25
                                                  Bigday hiding under the bed right now
                                                  Comment
                                                  • BIGDAY
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 02-17-10
                                                    • 48245

                                                    #26
                                                    Thought I already agreed?
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Fire in da hole
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 09-29-10
                                                      • 6262

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by BIGDAY
                                                      Thought I already agreed?
                                                      It was one of those agree if you win, but deny if you lose type of agreements

                                                      now we have it in stone

                                                      dont do me wrong here Aldo
                                                      Comment
                                                      • KVB
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 05-29-14
                                                        • 74817

                                                        #28
                                                        I'm on Alvarez/Poirier UNDER 2.5 (-120)

                                                        Comment
                                                        • KVB
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 05-29-14
                                                          • 74817

                                                          #29
                                                          Books just taking that Aldo plus money. I would imagine we see more like -120 than -125 here.

                                                          The line should drop, if not...uh oh Aldo.

                                                          And Fire...

                                                          Comment
                                                          • Fire in da hole
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 09-29-10
                                                            • 6262

                                                            #30
                                                            1-0

                                                            take notes boys

                                                            going 3-0 tonight
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Fire in da hole
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 09-29-10
                                                              • 6262

                                                              #31
                                                              If lightning strikes and Aldo loses I’m going to troll his ass on Twitter and Facebook for weeks
                                                              Comment
                                                              • SilverSpoon111
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 07-20-18
                                                                • 545

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by KVB
                                                                Books just taking that Aldo plus money. I would imagine we see more like -120 than -125 here.

                                                                The line should drop, if not...uh oh Aldo.

                                                                And Fire...

                                                                Big late money in UFC is "usually" smart money.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • SilverSpoon111
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 07-20-18
                                                                  • 545

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Especially when odds are as close as they have been.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • KVB
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 05-29-14
                                                                    • 74817

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by SilverSpoon111
                                                                    Big late money in UFC is "usually" smart money.
                                                                    Not really big and late, been coming in all day, books just freezing the line. The "late" move, in my opinion, wasn't a late play, just the market build up releasing.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • SilverSpoon111
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 07-20-18
                                                                      • 545

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by SilverSpoon111
                                                                      Big late money in UFC is "usually" smart money.
                                                                      Comment
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