Chris Sale for me tonight -$149

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  • jts1207
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 12-15-16
    • 8011

    #1
    Chris Sale for me tonight -$149
    Lowest number you'll see him at for a long time
  • 2daBank
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-26-09
    • 88966

    #2
    Pretty sure he wasn’t much more against twinks and berrios a few weeks ago. Can’t remeber but I was on twins and don’t think I got much more than +150.
    Comment
    • 2daBank
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 01-26-09
      • 88966

      #3
      He facing much better lineup tonight but also should get more run support against gray. Not sure the numbers but I’ve heard Sale hasn’t been getting much fun support this season.
      Comment
      • jts1207
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 12-15-16
        • 8011

        #4
        Thinking about your Cards tonight. What you got?
        Comment
        • RudyRuetigger
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 08-24-10
          • 65084

          #5
          this guy usually wins

          i am broke so would need to reload

          not sure yet
          Comment
          • 2daBank
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 01-26-09
            • 88966

            #6
            Originally posted by jts1207
            Thinking about your Cards tonight. What you got?
            Really like the over 9.

            Comment
            • 2daBank
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 01-26-09
              • 88966

              #7
              Don’t hate the cards but I think total stronger and it even money opposed to the -135 you gotta lay w cards.. weaver hasn’t been good, I think braves gonna score 4 here so for cards to win over gonna have to at least push imo. I think starters about a wash and believe it or not cards prob have the advantage late as other than hiccup yesterday our pen has been really good last few weeks while braves is springing leaks.
              Comment
              • pimike
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 03-23-08
                • 37140

                #8
                Sale seems to lose big games even when he pitches good.
                Comment
                • 2daBank
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 01-26-09
                  • 88966

                  #9
                  Originally posted by pimike
                  Sale seems to lose big games even when he pitches good.
                  Hasn’t been getting run support. You would think that should change against gray!
                  Comment
                  • pimike
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 03-23-08
                    • 37140

                    #10
                    Originally posted by 2daBank
                    Hasn’t been getting run support. You would think that should change against gray!
                    But after they take Sale out is usually where they lose when he starts.

                    Some dogs hitting today.
                    Comment
                    • 2daBank
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 01-26-09
                      • 88966

                      #11
                      Originally posted by pimike
                      But after they take Sale out is usually where they lose when he starts.

                      Some dogs hitting today.
                      Too steep for me anyways. I rarely play favs at all in mlb, won’t go over -130ish unless using in a parlay.
                      Comment
                      • winnersbyjuan
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 06-29-18
                        • 142

                        #12
                        I balked on Sale and hope I don't regret it. After the Indians lost both my parlays (rarely put same team twice but I liked their chances) I went with Phils and Carda par. GL with Sale.
                        Comment
                        • winnersbyjuan
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 06-29-18
                          • 142

                          #13
                          Originally posted by 2daBank
                          Too steep for me anyways. I rarely play favs at all in mlb, won’t go over -130ish unless using in a parlay.
                          Really? Why is that? I used to go with the 180's to 200's until I realized it's best to look for the -120's or dogs. Wokld like to know your thinking. Thanks.
                          Comment
                          • jtoler
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 12-17-13
                            • 30967

                            #14
                            lol @ Gray
                            Comment
                            • jts1207
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 12-15-16
                              • 8011

                              #15
                              Nice start here!
                              Comment
                              • pimike
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 03-23-08
                                • 37140

                                #16
                                Originally posted by winnersbyjuan
                                Really? Why is that? I used to go with the 180's to 200's until I realized it's best to look for the -120's or dogs. Wokld like to know your thinking. Thanks.
                                Over -170 is not wise. -150 is actually most cases now for me. But I’ll break my own rule if It meets a system.
                                Comment
                                • 2daBank
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 01-26-09
                                  • 88966

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by winnersbyjuan
                                  Really? Why is that? I used to go with the 180's to 200's until I realized it's best to look for the -120's or dogs. Wokld like to know your thinking. Thanks.
                                  I just feel like there plenty of dogs or plus money totals everyday that have a better chance of cashing than odds suggest.. I’m pretty confident in my ability to cap bases and I strongly doubt I’d be able to hit favs at the clip necessary to profit where as every year I am able to be in the 50-55% range playing mostly dogs and plus money totals.

                                  Not saying my way any more right or wrong, just what works best for me.. as I said I will do some round robins or 2 team parlays w favs but just won’t lay above the -130ish price on a straight bet in this sport. For the most part, there exceptions for everything and there are occations I see a bigger fav where I have their chances of winning even higher than line suggest but those are typically when I’ll put a parlay together (week or 2 back when Houston was in kc there was a game Houston was around -200 and unbelievably I thought it was short so used in several parlays).
                                  Comment
                                  • 2daBank
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 01-26-09
                                    • 88966

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by jts1207
                                    Nice start here!
                                    Big bomb by devers! Would have been devastating had they squandered that chance.
                                    Comment
                                    • jts1207
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 12-15-16
                                      • 8011

                                      #19
                                      Yepppppp
                                      Comment
                                      • 2daBank
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 01-26-09
                                        • 88966

                                        #20
                                        Big bomb by markakas puts us on track for over in stl. Dunno why cards bats not contributing shit but oh well! Lol
                                        Comment
                                        • jts1207
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 12-15-16
                                          • 8011

                                          #21
                                          EZ Cash
                                          Comment
                                          • 2daBank
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 01-26-09
                                            • 88966

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by jts1207
                                            EZ Cash
                                            Not exactly way I envisioned it going as thought cards could hit fried as well but whatever, I’ll take it!
                                            Comment
                                            • jts1207
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 12-15-16
                                              • 8011

                                              #23
                                              Cheers bro
                                              Comment
                                              • Shute
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 03-20-17
                                                • 11835

                                                #24
                                                East Tennessee representing
                                                Comment
                                                • ikid2groove415
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 01-08-18
                                                  • 11981

                                                  #25
                                                  Not smart too bet against this fella
                                                  Comment
                                                  • jts1207
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 12-15-16
                                                    • 8011

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by Shute
                                                    East Tennessee representing
                                                    Waiting for BigB to show up. . He offered
                                                    Comment
                                                    • 2daBank
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 01-26-09
                                                      • 88966

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by jts1207
                                                      Cheers bro
                                                      Good call w sale.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • jts1207
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 12-15-16
                                                        • 8011

                                                        #28
                                                        Chicken dinner
                                                        Comment
                                                        • jjgold
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 07-20-05
                                                          • 388179

                                                          #29
                                                          JTS been hot

                                                          Nice work
                                                          Comment
                                                          • winnersbyjuan
                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                            • 06-29-18
                                                            • 142

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by pimike
                                                            Over -170 is not wise. -150 is actually most cases now for me. But I’ll break my own rule if It meets a system.
                                                            What's a good system to use? Mine is basic old school.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • pimike
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 03-23-08
                                                              • 37140

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by winnersbyjuan
                                                              What's a good system to use? Mine is basic old school.
                                                              It’s like grandma’s old receipts. I can’t give that away.
                                                              Comment
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