Chi Cubs at St. Louis Cardinals | Lester vs Wacha | Over 3.5 runs or Under 14.5 runs

[rake922]

This is one of the biggest games of the year and first pitch is around 2 hours from now

[rake922]

Don't forget to vote guys as this is a huge game which is televised nationally on MLB Network

[rake922]

I'm 36-1 on these alternative totals for national televised games since April 29th.... I don't bet them all but lately I have been making sure to get a bet in.

[rake922]

I'm 36-1 on these alternative totals for national televised games since April 29th.... I don't bet them all but lately I have been making sure to get a bet in.

The one loss occured on May 23rd when I bet over 3.5 runs in a game between Indians and Cubs at Wrigley.
Final score was Cle 1, Cubs 0

Lester was pitching and he has so much heart. I made a mistake and will try not to forget about that one loss

[rake922]

It's expected to be 88° F and with a 1% chance of rain and 8 MPH wind blowing right to left in St. Louis at 8:15 PM ET.

Friday night's NL Central matchup at Busch Stadium will feature partly cloudy skies and hot temperatures. A light breeze will blow across the diamond from right to left. Balls will carry extremely well in the warm air, so home run potential is high.

[rake922]

Michael Wacha has a 7.90 ERA over the last 3 years when facing the Cubs

Jon Lester has a 2.29 ERA over the last 3 years when facing St Louis

[Chi_archie]

over

[rake922]

over

Why Archie? John Lester has heart and we both know that

[Chi_archie]

yeah my model has Lester showing an avg June projection of 8.9 on the Heart scale

but just a 3.3 MPS rating

Moxie Per Start rating

Heart is great, but if you don't get the underlying Moxie..... you'll see a regression to mean on Bapip

[rake922]

oh. i see

[rake922]

poor participation in my thread

[Shute]

Got
Cubs
Rarely play totals
Good luck!!

[hotcross]

poor participation in my thread

ahh, just saw this

I picked the Over biggly in this game, but the standard 8.5 line being offered

As for why no participation, it's the avatar. You've had it awhile, I'm aware. But time for a change.

[2daBank]

Michael Wacha has a 7.90 ERA over the last 3 years when facing the Cubs

Jon Lester has a 2.29 ERA over the last 3 years when facing St Louis

Wacha a drastically different pitcher than last few years. Had good start against them earlier this year but cubs just gashed him for 3 in the 3rd. Don’t expect Lester to give up more than a few runs.. I sold the under down to u8 +110, didn’t see much point in the 8.5 as I thought only way I get beat is if they get tied up at 4. Now my only real worry is wacha not going deep and cards using our crappy pen guys since they down and gonna need 3+ innings from them probably.

[bigbubbafade]

I think Wacha is going for 9th win in a row. Guy is on fire.

Of course I don't know what the score is right now.... probably getting lit up.

[d2bets]

I think Wacha is going for 9th win in a row. Guy is on fire.

Of course I don't know what the score is right now.... probably getting lit up.

[d2bets]

Wacha's ERA taking a beating tonight.

[rake922]

over

What a sharp.

[2daBank]

Wacha's ERA taking a beating tonight.

Been coming, his peripherals bout a run better than his era. Hard hit percentage is about 10% higher than any other time in his career. He is doing some things tremendously well to offset that to a degree but kinda playing w fire. Dunno why matheny left him out there to rot so long? Guess cause he a freaking idiot.

[d2bets]

Been coming, his peripherals bout a run better than his era. Hard hit percentage is about 10% higher than any other time in his career. He is doing some things tremendously well to offset that to a degree but kinda playing w fire. Dunno why matheny left him out there to rot so long? Guess cause he a freaking idiot.

Doesn't matter. We may see some position player pitching coming.

[rake922]

16 runs so far.. wow... and it was 0-0 start of the 3rd