Why isn’t Loyola favored?

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  • t-wizzle
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 12-18-09
    • 38099

    #1
    Why isn’t Loyola favored?
    Don’t the advanced stats suggest they should be a slight fave?
  • DOM_Toretto
    Restricted User
    • 01-28-13
    • 9035

    #2
    K-State is simply way too average to make the final four here. And they’re a team that cannot fully take advantage of Loyola’s lack of size. Loyola in a good spot here IMO.
    Comment
    • magaman
      SBR MVP
      • 01-17-18
      • 1937

      #3
      Originally posted by t-wizzle
      Don’t the advanced stats suggest they should be a slight fave?
      I have no opinion on who is the better team... but assuming you are correct and loyola is the better team for this game... the answer is purely in public perception. It is the oddsmakers duty to find a balance in public opinion, NOT to find the true score differential
      Comment
      • KRIT
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 01-11-14
        • 12878

        #4
        Anyone got the Kenpom on this game? I also expected Loyola to be favored.
        Comment
        • t-wizzle
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 12-18-09
          • 38099

          #5
          Originally posted by magaman
          I have no opinion on who is the better team... but assuming you are correct and loyola is the better team for this game... the answer is purely in public perception. It is the oddsmakers duty to find a balance in public opinion, NOT to find the true score differential
          You’re absolutely right. Now having said that don’t you think the public will be all over Loyola regardless of the line?
          Comment
          • magaman
            SBR MVP
            • 01-17-18
            • 1937

            #6
            Originally posted by t-wizzle
            You’re absolutely right. Now having said that don’t you think the public will be all over Loyola regardless of the line?
            what? You just contradicted my statement. Oddsmakers made K-st the chalk because of public perception.... so NO, public will not be all over loyola... are you missing a chromosome?
            Comment
            • t-wizzle
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 12-18-09
              • 38099

              #7
              Originally posted by magaman
              what? You just contradicted my statement. Oddsmakers made K-st the chalk because of public perception.... so NO, public will not be all over loyola... are you missing a chromosome?
              Yep I’m missing a chromosome. Says the maga guy. Lol.

              Loyola is the public darling. If you don’t realize that then you’re not paying attention.
              Comment
              • KRIT
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 01-11-14
                • 12878

                #8
                For the most part I agree with Wiz. General public will look at two weak seeds and take the side of the popular cinderella team.
                Comment
                • texhooper
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 01-05-09
                  • 10001

                  #9
                  Originally posted by KRIT
                  Anyone got the Kenpom on this game? I also expected Loyola to be favored.
                  Loyola 64 K State 63

                  50%
                  Comment
                  • t-wizzle
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 12-18-09
                    • 38099

                    #10
                    Originally posted by KRIT
                    For the most part I agree with Wiz. General public will look at two weak seeds and take the side of the popular cinderella team.
                    Did books have this in mind when they made them +1 and not -1?
                    Comment
                    • magaman
                      SBR MVP
                      • 01-17-18
                      • 1937

                      #11
                      Originally posted by t-wizzle
                      Yep I’m missing a chromosome. Says the maga guy. Lol.

                      Loyola is the public darling. If you don’t realize that then you’re not paying attention.
                      I told you I have no opinion on this game.... but obviously you do. You want to take a shot at me, that's cool - I take that crap every day.

                      I'm just telling you that the public favors K-st
                      Comment
                      • Biff41
                        SBR MVP
                        • 07-23-14
                        • 1234

                        #12
                        Originally posted by t-wizzle
                        Yep I’m missing a chromosome. Says the maga guy. Lol.

                        Loyola is the public darling. If you don’t realize that then you’re not paying attention.
                        Look that Sister Jean thing was a nice feel good story but this is another day. KSt has talented physical aggressiveness. Stepping up on def may be a key here. Can't say I know for sure but KState is going to make the Ramblers pay for every basket. If KState can control the paint as well they have a chance. Easily see this as a one basket finish.
                        Comment
                        • jjgold
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 07-20-05
                          • 388179

                          #13
                          Kan St strong defense
                          Comment
                          • GzaTheGenius
                            SBR MVP
                            • 02-12-13
                            • 4181

                            #14
                            K State I would think is favored more by the general public

                            Same like Nevada,Tennessee and Miami were

                            I'm on Loyola personally, like the under too kinda but staying away
                            Comment
                            • DOM_Toretto
                              Restricted User
                              • 01-28-13
                              • 9035

                              #15
                              Vegasinsider:
                              Loyola Chicago 33%
                              Kansas State 67%

                              Oddsshark:
                              Loyola Chicago 49%
                              Kansas State 51%

                              cant find the link for SBRodds consensus info...
                              Comment
                              • Bostongambler
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 02-01-08
                                • 35581

                                #16
                                Here com s the K state money
                                Comment
                                • HurryUpAndDrink
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 08-23-13
                                  • 13017

                                  #17
                                  Im on Loyola ML myself... GL
                                  Comment
                                  • t-wizzle
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 12-18-09
                                    • 38099

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by magaman
                                    I told you I have no opinion on this game.... but obviously you do. You want to take a shot at me, that's cool - I take that crap every day.

                                    I'm just telling you that the public favors K-st
                                    Lol what? You literally took a shot at me questioning whether I’m missing a chromosome.
                                    Comment
                                    • t-wizzle
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 12-18-09
                                      • 38099

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by DOM_Toretto
                                      Vegasinsider:
                                      Loyola Chicago 33%
                                      Kansas State 67%

                                      Oddsshark:
                                      Loyola Chicago 49%
                                      Kansas State 51%

                                      cant find the link for SBRodds consensus info...
                                      Those %’s are to be taken with a grain of salt. I wouldn’t be surprised if the action was split for rec bettors but I think a lot of people are riding the Loyola train.
                                      Comment
                                      • DOM_Toretto
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 01-28-13
                                        • 9035

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by t-wizzle
                                        Those %’s are to be taken with a grain of salt. I wouldn’t be surprised if the action was split for rec bettors but I think a lot of people are riding the Loyola train.
                                        Haven’t seen one bit of information to think that the majority of people are riding the Loyola train
                                        Comment
                                        • BrickJames
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 05-05-11
                                          • 9749

                                          #21
                                          Took Loyola for as JJ would say eight eighty, eight eighty fukkin firm pal!
                                          Comment
                                          • BrickJames
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 05-05-11
                                            • 9749

                                            #22
                                            Got em at +1.5 too. Good spot
                                            Comment
                                            • HurryUpAndDrink
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 08-23-13
                                              • 13017

                                              #23
                                              Lets get this shit BrickJ
                                              Comment
                                              • BrickJames
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 05-05-11
                                                • 9749

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by HurryUpAndDrink
                                                Lets get this shit BrickJ
                                                Yeah buddy
                                                Comment
                                                • KVB
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 05-29-14
                                                  • 74817

                                                  #25
                                                  I went ahead and picked up Loyola on the moneyline.

                                                  I have them winning 65-63 and am rolling with my numbers.

                                                  My non predictive public gauge, a weighted amalgam of the publicly consumed ratings combined with recent performance, has K State winning by one point.

                                                  While Loyola seems to be a public darling, as was mentioned, it is my opinion that they really aren't when it comes to the base of backers that K State brings with them. Tournament or not, there's just too much of an established economy with K State and it's fringes that won't be deterred.

                                                  That may not be "market moving" money, but it is most certainly market support.

                                                  Good Luck everyone.

                                                  Comment
                                                  • t-wizzle
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 12-18-09
                                                    • 38099

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by DOM_Toretto
                                                    Haven’t seen one bit of information to think that the majority of people are riding the Loyola train
                                                    Depends how reliable you think the info is. I judge these things based off feel.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Plaza23
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 12-29-13
                                                      • 7392

                                                      #27
                                                      Loyola has lucked out 3 games in a row by very small margins. I think K State handles them tonight.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • t-wizzle
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 12-18-09
                                                        • 38099

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by Plaza23
                                                        Loyola has lucked out 3 games in a row by very small margins. I think K State handles them tonight.
                                                        Don’t think they lucked out at all last game. Clearly they were better than Nevada. No games were “lucky.”
                                                        Comment
                                                        • KRIT
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 01-11-14
                                                          • 12878

                                                          #29
                                                          I would guess public is pretty split, not that it really matters.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • pavyracer
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 04-12-07
                                                            • 82839

                                                            #30
                                                            Public loves Loyola. Ton of public money on Loyola. If they lose bookies are having a party.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • magaman
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 01-17-18
                                                              • 1937

                                                              #31
                                                              relax twiz... I took a shot at you because you are trying to defy logic


                                                              You have an opinion on this game? great make a bet. I don't argue

                                                              good luck
                                                              Comment
                                                              • magaman
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 01-17-18
                                                                • 1937

                                                                #32
                                                                my gut says K-state wins in a landslide
                                                                Comment
                                                                • cincinnatikid513
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 11-23-17
                                                                  • 45360

                                                                  #33
                                                                  i have a feeling this is going be an ugly game
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • t-wizzle
                                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                    • 12-18-09
                                                                    • 38099

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by magaman
                                                                    relax twiz... I took a shot at you because you are trying to defy logic


                                                                    You have an opinion on this game? great make a bet. I don't argue

                                                                    good luck
                                                                    “Defy logic.” Lol. You’re a beaut.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • magaman
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 01-17-18
                                                                      • 1937

                                                                      #35
                                                                      ok i'm a beaut

                                                                      K St -3.5 +133 alt line


                                                                      enjoy the game
                                                                      Comment
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