Wake Forest +4.5 and ML +175

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  • t-wizzle
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 12-18-09
    • 38099

    #1
    Wake Forest +4.5 and ML +175
    Like the Demon Deacons in this spot. NC State knocked off Duke and rode that wave to a victory over Clemson but came back to earth with a 17 point loss to Virginia. Look for Wake to get hot from the perimeter tonight and pick up the W.

    Wake Forest +4.5 -110 (2x); ML +175 (1x)
  • Hman
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-04-17
    • 21429

    #2
    GL t-wiz
    Comment
    • KDF500
      SBR MVP
      • 02-05-13
      • 2465

      #3
      Very interesting. Line movement so far suggests you’re on the right track, although the pack do some of their best work at home. Going to look into this further
      Comment
      • KDF500
        SBR MVP
        • 02-05-13
        • 2465

        #4
        Thoughts on wazzou getting 8 on the rd to the buffs?? Don’t think Colorado justifies getting nearly double digits at home...
        Comment
        • t-wizzle
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 12-18-09
          • 38099

          #5
          Originally posted by KDF500
          Thoughts on wazzou getting 8 on the rd to the buffs?? Don’t think Colorado justifies getting nearly double digits at home...
          Possible letdown spot for Colorado after winning at UCLA.
          Comment
          • Shutup
            SBR MVP
            • 12-15-17
            • 2435

            #6
            Hate small road dogs. Home faves generally are the way to go. But this seems right
            Comment
            • survive
              SBR MVP
              • 01-08-11
              • 2388

              #7
              Originally posted by KDF500
              Thoughts on wazzou getting 8 on the rd to the buffs?? Don’t think Colorado justifies getting nearly double digits at home...
              Wazzu hasn’t covered on the road
              Comment
              • element113xx
                SBR Sharp
                • 12-31-17
                • 463

                #8
                T wizzle I was told you are the best capper on this board. What are your secrets?
                Comment
                • KDF500
                  SBR MVP
                  • 02-05-13
                  • 2465

                  #9
                  Thanks gentlemen
                  Comment
                  • 2daBank
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 01-26-09
                    • 88966

                    #10
                    I looked really hard at this one and was pretty close to playing wake but couldn't do it, so they probably win easily, lol. Gl Wizzle.
                    Comment
                    • 2daBank
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 01-26-09
                      • 88966

                      #11
                      Originally posted by survive
                      Wazzu hasn’t covered on the road
                      They been dog shit, odd cause they showed so well in that tourney early in the season knocking off 3 quality teams by playing amazing in the second halves. Been all down hill from there, since then they only have 3 wins vs god awful teams and bunch of ugly ass losses. Wouldn't be shocked if buffs beat them by double digits. Not touching it tho.
                      Comment
                      • t-wizzle
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 12-18-09
                        • 38099

                        #12
                        This line has held pretty steady after initially dropping from 5 to 4.5.
                        Comment
                        • t-wizzle
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 12-18-09
                          • 38099

                          #13
                          Originally posted by t-wizzle
                          Like the Demon Deacons in this spot. NC State knocked off Duke and rode that wave to a victory over Clemson but came back to earth with a 17 point loss to Virginia. Look for Wake to get hot from the perimeter tonight and pick up the W.

                          Wake Forest +4.5 -110 (2x); ML +175 (1x)
                          Adding:

                          Georgia Tech +7.5 -110 (2x); ML +290 (0.5x)
                          Comment
                          • firedawg
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 10-08-08
                            • 39219

                            #14
                            Gl laker
                            Comment
                            • BigDofBA
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 09-30-09
                              • 19313

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Shutup
                              Hate small road dogs. Home faves generally are the way to go. But this seems right
                              Same.

                              In college teams freak out when they're only down 3-4 points and start jacking threes way too early. Then they continue to foul, foul, foul until they're down by like double digits. Happens all the time.

                              Tonight Wake Forest lead much of the second half and was winning the game with 2 minutes left....then they procedeed to lose by 9 points. NC State actually missed 4 free throws in the final two minutes or this would have been a 11-13 point win after they were losing the game near the end of regulation.

                              It's unreal.

                              In the NBA, teams are much smarted and more efficient in the final minute. Even when NBA teams are down like 6-7 in the final minute, they don't start that fouling crap. The fouling doesn't start until they absolutely have to (ex. when the shot clock is turned off). I'm not sure why college kids will foul down 3 with 42 seconds left and crap like that.
                              Comment
                              • jayc88
                                Restricted User
                                • 12-30-07
                                • 6785

                                #16
                                Originally posted by BigDofBA
                                Same.

                                In college teams freak out when they're only down 3-4 points and start jacking threes way too early. Then they continue to foul, foul, foul until they're down by like double digits. Happens all the time.

                                Tonight Wake Forest lead much of the second half and was winning the game with 2 minutes left....then they procedeed to lose by 9 points. NC State actually missed 4 free throws in the final two minutes or this would have been a 11-13 point win after they were losing the game near the end of regulation.

                                It's unreal.

                                In the NBA, teams are much smarted and more efficient in the final minute. Even when NBA teams are down like 6-7 in the final minute, they don't start that fouling crap. The fouling doesn't start until they absolutely have to (ex. when the shot clock is turned off). I'm not sure why college kids will foul down 3 with 42 seconds left and crap like that.
                                well maybe the shot clock is almost 40 seconds and none of these kids can hit 2 free throws in a row . Add to that possibility of 1 and 1 situations and it’s obvious why fouls occur more frequent and earlier.
                                if you don’t foul down 3 with 42 seconds on the clock you are making a huge mistake.
                                still sucks to lose a bet this way, but it all evens out in the long run anyway.
                                Comment
                                • Regul8er
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 11-06-07
                                  • 10666

                                  #17
                                  1 and 1 in the last few minutes a game is pretty much non existent anymore. Most games, Im seeing teams in the double bonus with 13 minutes to go in the half. Refs really making these games difficult to watch.
                                  Comment
                                  • 2daBank
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 01-26-09
                                    • 88966

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by jayc88
                                    well maybe the shot clock is almost 40 seconds and none of these kids can hit 2 free throws in a row . Add to that possibility of 1 and 1 situations and it’s obvious why fouls occur more frequent and earlier.
                                    if you don’t foul down 3 with 42 seconds on the clock you are making a huge mistake.
                                    still sucks to lose a bet this way, but it all evens out in the long run anyway.
                                    Down 3 with 42 seconds it makes no sense to start the foul game, play defense and get the ball back with 12-20 seconds on the clock only down 3. Why foul and let them push the lead to more than one possession?
                                    Comment
                                    • BigDofBA
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 09-30-09
                                      • 19313

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by 2daBank
                                      Down 3 with 42 seconds it makes no sense to start the foul game, play defense and get the ball back with 12-20 seconds on the clock only down 3. Why foul and let them push the lead to more than one possession?
                                      That’s what I’m saying. It’s a 30 second shot clock now.

                                      Most college players can’t take the shot clock down to 1 second and create their own shot so most of the time they’re not going to run the entire 30 seconds off the clock anyway.

                                      Reglu8er is right. Most teams are in the double bonus with like 8 minutes to go.

                                      You don’t play the foul game until you absolutely have to. You don’t jack contested threes when you don’t need them.

                                      A team is more likely to make free throws than they are a pressure jump shot as time is running down.

                                      Just my opinion.
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