Tuesday Tennis breakdown

Chi_archie · 01-09-18, 07:22 PM

get em

Kiddpokerr · 01-09-18, 08:33 PM

Flipkens didnt show up, scratch that oyster.

BChrisB · 01-09-18, 08:44 PM

Is there some sort of strategy with this Tennis betting. Here is all I know:

First of all: I know absolutely NOTHING
Secondly: I don't know one player from another

What I do know late out of pure boredom I bet tennis in live play and it is nothing more than a video game to me. Tennis however seems to be the ONLY thing I win on as of late. My football and basketball handicapping is purely nothing as joke lately. So I'm just wondering, if I can win at tennis knowing ABSOLUTELY NOTHING, then with some kind of strategy I should be able to master this, RIGHT??? I just don't see how you can handicap nothing more than two people hitting the ball back and forth. Sure I know some players are better than others, therefor have better odds to win the overall game. However, in live play it's really nothing more than one person on one end trying to get a point off the other. There has to be more to this. I just don't know what it is.

jjgold · 01-09-18, 08:45 PM

Still a lot of matches going to wait till later in the week best of luck poker

jtoler · 01-10-18, 02:40 AM

Niculescu will win.

Honeybadger44 · 01-10-18, 09:37 AM

Originally posted by BChrisB

Is there some sort of strategy with this Tennis betting. Here is all I know:

First of all: I know absolutely NOTHING
Secondly: I don't know one player from another

What I do know late out of pure boredom I bet tennis in live play and it is nothing more than a video game to me. Tennis however seems to be the ONLY thing I win on as of late. My football and basketball handicapping is purely nothing as joke lately. So I'm just wondering, if I can win at tennis knowing ABSOLUTELY NOTHING, then with some kind of strategy I should be able to master this, RIGHT??? I just don't see how you can handicap nothing more than two people hitting the ball back and forth. Sure I know some players are better than others, therefor have better odds to win the overall game. However, in live play it's really nothing more than one person on one end trying to get a point off the other. There has to be more to this. I just don't know what it is.

yeah there's definitely more to this then two players hitting the ball back and forth. I'd say that if you know what you're doing, handicapping tennis the right way can give you significant edge against the bookmakers lines.
There are just so many different things that you can factor into your final decision. Like form, playing style of the players and how they match up against each other, surface, playing conditions and influence of the weather on them, market perception on those players and determining weather it is correct or incorrect...

For example, I placed a Wager on Sabalenka to win today vs Tsurenko at +106. If I'd have a traditional power ranking for all the players, like the ones that bettors have for other sports like NBA or others. I'd probably have Tsurenko ranked higher, as I think overall, she is a better player then Sabalenka at the moment. But when I took into consideration some of the other factors, I concluded that fair line for Sabalenka is somewhere between -115 and -120. And that is because I think she has a favorable match up here. She is a first strike player. And when those type of tennis players are in form like she is now, they can put opponent under a lot of pressure from the first shot in the point.
What Tsurenko does well is playing close to the baseline, and hitting precise groundstrokes from both wings. Basically controlling the rally, forcing her opponent to move a lot and match her baseline play, which they usually find difficult to do. But against Sabalenka, she should struggle maintaining her usual, close to the baseline position. That is because Aryna will probably push her back with her power, and once she is playing from there, he game will lose its usual efficiency.
Her second serve is vulnerable as well. Putintseva couldn't do anything about it, because she simply doesn't have the power to punish it, but with Sabalenka it will be different story. It will consequently put pressure on her first serve as well, knowing that she has no chance with 2nd.

Anyway, I might be completely wrong on this one, just so you know. Only wanted to show with example how in depth a tennis handicapping can be if you are willing to put the work in. Good luck!

EyesWideShut · 01-10-18, 09:47 AM

Kid...ill be tailing your picks.

However i don't have access to live tennis bets. Once it's in, it's in

Wesley · 01-10-18, 10:22 AM

GL

Kiddpokerr · 01-10-18, 10:23 AM

Originally posted by EyesWideShut

Kid...ill be tailing your picks.

However i don't have access to live tennis bets. Once it's in, it's in

Look for Max Tampoon bets usually very early in the morning or my daily threads for each individual tournament, cheers bud.

BChrisB · 01-10-18, 11:12 AM

Originally posted by Honeybadger44

yeah there's definitely more to this then two players hitting the ball back and forth.!

Great insight, thanks

jjgold · 01-10-18, 11:14 AM

Kid has a clue tennis

PharaohUB · 01-10-18, 06:43 PM

Originally posted by BChrisB

Is there some sort of strategy with this Tennis betting. Here is all I know:

First of all: I know absolutely NOTHING
Secondly: I don't know one player from another

What I do know late out of pure boredom I bet tennis in live play and it is nothing more than a video game to me. Tennis however seems to be the ONLY thing I win on as of late. My football and basketball handicapping is purely nothing as joke lately. So I'm just wondering, if I can win at tennis knowing ABSOLUTELY NOTHING, then with some kind of strategy I should be able to master this, RIGHT??? I just don't see how you can handicap nothing more than two people hitting the ball back and forth. Sure I know some players are better than others, therefor have better odds to win the overall game. However, in live play it's really nothing more than one person on one end trying to get a point off the other. There has to be more to this. I just don't know what it is.

Tennis is probably the best sport to bet live if you can get a feel on people. It sounds like you might just have a skill for reading body language, momentum, and game situation. Honestly I would stick with what is working for you. Do not cloud what's working with other information, until you start losing. That's what I would do. Good luck!

jjgold · 01-10-18, 08:46 PM

Just so many injuries now in tennis making it very hard to handicap, the woman’s game is an absolute suckers game now

ikid2groove415 · 01-10-18, 10:14 PM

I gave up betting live tennis on Bookmaker - got buried lol

jtoler · 01-10-18, 11:39 PM

Originally posted by ikid2groove415

I gave up betting live tennis on Bookmaker - got buried lol

They made it into a casino pretty much.

BChrisB · 01-10-18, 11:40 PM

Originally posted by PharaohUB

Tennis is probably the best sport to bet live if you can get a feel on people. It sounds like you might just have a skill for reading body language, momentum, and game situation. Honestly I would stick with what is working for you. Do not cloud what's working with other information, until you start losing. That's what I would do. Good luck!

Good advice, so far it's working so I'll just stick with knowing nothing. As stated, its like a video game to me where it just seems so easy to predict the outcome on any giving serve, I can't explain it but I just see where momentum is going as it's happening.