NFL Wild Card Wknd: Which Dog Has Best Shot At The Upset

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  • Snowball
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 11-15-09
    • 30042

    #36
    Originally posted by Hman
    All ML?
    yep, Buffalo and Atlanta together are about 15-1
    add KC and NO - get 26-1.
    Comment
    • survive
      SBR MVP
      • 01-08-11
      • 2388

      #37
      Originally posted by lakerboy
      Lol. Falcons are not a live dog. They will look like the dogs Michael Vick used to kill. The line has already gone from-4.5 to -6.5. Rams will destroy them before freezing to death in Minnesota
      Yea I’m sure they’ll freeze to death in an indoor stadium
      Comment
      • dmncnlou
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 02-17-11
        • 924

        #38
        Carolina. They were just in the Super Bowl 2 years ago. How soon ya forget. Theyll crank it up.
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        • PAULYPOKER
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 12-06-08
          • 36585

          #39
          Originally posted by lakerboy
          Falcons will get blown out.

          Buffalo wins
          Comment
          • OTL
            SBR MVP
            • 03-08-10
            • 2433

            #40
            ATL struggles to score on the road... Carolina is the only live dog I see this weekend.
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            • PAULYPOKER
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 12-06-08
              • 36585

              #41
              Don't forget..

              Rams stadium gonna be full of
              Atlanta fans because the Rams have none.........
              Comment
              • PAULYPOKER
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 12-06-08
                • 36585

                #42
                With that being said I would love to see Buffalo pull off the upset
                because I do not like the Jax/Pitt match up for my Steelers.........
                Comment
                • Snowball
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 11-15-09
                  • 30042

                  #43
                  Originally posted by PAULYPOKER
                  With that being said I would love to see Buffalo pull off the upset
                  because I do not like the Jax/Pitt match up for my Steelers.........
                  I think both Falcons and Bills make a lot of sense
                  Falcons are dynamic and experienced
                  Bills are determined and physical with a heck of a running game.
                  not interested in the points, just ML.
                  Comment
                  • PAULYPOKER
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 12-06-08
                    • 36585

                    #44
                    Originally posted by Snowball
                    I think both Falcons and Bills make a lot of sense
                    Falcons are dynamic and experienced
                    Bills are determined and physical with a heck of a running game.
                    not interested in the points, just ML.
                    What I don't like about that is Public on Buff ATS......

                    Only dog public likes......

                    Game getting serious RLM..........
                    Comment
                    • hamburglar628
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 11-30-07
                      • 169

                      #45
                      Jax will crush the Bills.

                      They just have a hard time against the Titans...they are 0-2 this year averaging 13/game vs Tennessee. Last year they were 1-1, and only won the game because Mariota got hurt. Don’t let last week fool you about the Jags or Saints.
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                      • Statman
                        SBR MVP
                        • 12-04-10
                        • 1212

                        #46
                        Let's not forget that Carolina also beat NE and MINN during the season and those two teams are ranked 1 and 2 in terms of odds to win the Superbowl....

                        Originally posted by BreesIsTheGOAT
                        Lol this might be the dumbest rationale you’ll see for the week
                        Comment
                        • chargers4222
                          SBR MVP
                          • 01-16-10
                          • 4702

                          #47
                          Originally posted by Statman
                          Let's not forget that Carolina also beat NE and MINN during the season and those two teams are ranked 1 and 2 in terms of odds to win the Superbowl....
                          Let's not forget that the Memphis Grizzlies beat the Warriors and Rockets in consecutive games...
                          Comment
                          • SharpAngles
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 04-15-14
                            • 9467

                            #48
                            Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                            If Shady is ruled OUT...will that # hit -10?
                            More like if he’s upgraded the line goes to 6.5-7. My sources have Shadys ankle a serious concern, I’d say his absense is already factored into the current number.

                            For the dog most likely to bark this weekend, give me Carolina
                            Comment
                            • jjgold
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 07-20-05
                              • 388189

                              #49
                              Atlanta
                              Comment
                              • LT Profits
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 10-27-06
                                • 90963

                                #50
                                Originally posted by MinnesotaFats
                                Carolina.

                                Saints had a must win, blew it to TB despite winning TO battle at home....

                                Saints beat Carolina twice already I think...

                                Beating same guy 3 times not easy... I'm leaning towards ML on all dogs except Buffalo... go 2-1 make serious coin. Go 1-2 losses don't hurt so bad.
                                I would not say they "blew" it, note that they gave up losing touchdown soon after Rams lost. So they "won" back 4-seed to potentially draw Philadelphia instead of Minnesota next week.

                                Back on point, while I really do not like any of the 4 dogs to win outright, if forced to choose one it would be Atlanta. Also note that Carolina is the longest shot on the board to win NFC so Saints may actually be undervalued at -6.5
                                Comment
                                • Auto Donk
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 09-03-13
                                  • 43559

                                  #51
                                  Originally posted by survive
                                  Yea I’m sure they’ll freeze to death in an indoor stadium
                                  HEY, when you get old like me, you can literally freeze to death while under the covers in a 68 degrees bedroom......
                                  Comment
                                  • Harry N. Lloyd
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 03-26-08
                                    • 4810

                                    #52
                                    Originally posted by hamburglar628
                                    I think its between ATL and CAR, leaning towards ATL. The Saints have picked apart Carolina in both matchups this year with Kamara, Ingram, and Thomas having great numbers. The only thing scaring me is the fact that its not that its just hard to beat a team 3 times but, Cam has had two sub par games in a row. With how this year has been, Cam is absolutely overdue for a big game.

                                    ATL has the experience. ATL has only lost by 10 or more in two matchups this year so you know they will keep it close. Having a good kicker helps in close games, and the Rams lost the best kicker this year. It's going to be interesting to see the young Rams play on a big stage. I also think Vegas likes the Falcons more than the Panthers, from what I've seen ATL is 20-1 compared to CAR 30-1 to win it all at this point.

                                    ATL is my choice.
                                    I agree.
                                    Comment
                                    • JIBBBY
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 12-10-09
                                      • 83691

                                      #53
                                      Rams have been tough all year long, defense is outstanding... I'm changing my mind on this upset pic.. I think the Rams spank the Falcons... Falcons might have a hard time on the road going in to this playoff game..

                                      Rams just win games... The way Gurly is running the ball now is a very scary thought for the Falcons..
                                      Last edited by JIBBBY; 01-04-18, 02:19 PM.
                                      Comment
                                      • BigdaddyQH
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 07-13-09
                                        • 19530

                                        #54
                                        Lakerboy, you have to be the dumbest arse in here. Only a complete and total loser would not know which stadiums are domed. What a dumb fuuuck. As far as Atlanta is concerned, the Falcons are 10-0 when scoring over 17 points. They are 0-6 when scoring 17 or under. Do you really think that the Ram's defense will hold Atlanta to 17 points or less? They do not make them any dumber than you.
                                        Comment
                                        • SharpAngles
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 04-15-14
                                          • 9467

                                          #55
                                          Bills, Dolphins, Patriots, Panthers, Vikings and Saints held the Falcons to 17 or less, 3 of these in Atlanta btw.

                                          Which team here has a better defense than the Rams?
                                          Comment
                                          • navyblue81
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 11-29-13
                                            • 4143

                                            #56
                                            Don’t see Buffalo winning in Jax without McCoy. Not against that pass defense. I actually think JACksonville kills them and are the best bet of the weekend. No McCoy=no chance. And him at 50% is basically the same as no McCoy.

                                            Atlanta has the best shot. I don’t see any of the other underdogs having a great chance at winning or covering, although Carolina maybe can keep it close. But they stunk last time in NO.
                                            Comment
                                            • Snowball
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 11-15-09
                                              • 30042

                                              #57
                                              Originally posted by navyblue81
                                              Don’t see Buffalo winning in Jax without McCoy. Not against that pass defense. I actually think JACksonville kills them and are the best bet of the weekend. No McCoy=no chance. And him at 50% is basically the same as no McCoy.

                                              Atlanta has the best shot. I don’t see any of the other underdogs having a great chance at winning or covering, although Carolina maybe can keep it close. But they stunk last time in NO.
                                              this is why i've held back so far
                                              Bills a threat regardless of his input
                                              Comment
                                              • bigjah15
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 12-20-10
                                                • 1437

                                                #58
                                                i believe titans pull off the upset.
                                                Comment
                                                • JIBBBY
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 12-10-09
                                                  • 83691

                                                  #59
                                                  Originally posted by SharpAngles
                                                  Bills, Dolphins, Patriots, Panthers, Vikings and Saints held the Falcons to 17 or less, 3 of these in Atlanta btw.

                                                  Which team here has a better defense than the Rams?
                                                  Agreed Sharpie.. That's what I saw and thought about. I'm going with the Rams... Rams defense is no joke.. They are mostly rested and will be ready as they sat out during that last throw away game of the season..

                                                  I think they get to Ryan and pressure the shiiiit out of him.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • PAULYPOKER
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 12-06-08
                                                    • 36585

                                                    #60
                                                    Originally posted by BigdaddyQH
                                                    Lakerboy, you have to be the dumbest arse in here. Only a complete and total loser would not know which stadiums are domed. What a dumb fuuuck. As far as Atlanta is concerned, the Falcons are 10-0 when scoring over 17 points. They are 0-6 when scoring 17 or under. Do you really think that the Ram's defense will hold Atlanta to 17 points or less? They do not make them any dumber than you.

                                                    Oh fukk!,this pos wishing for death 24/7/365 loser has just cursed ATL...........!!

                                                    No joke...

                                                    ATL doesn't have a goddamned snowball's chance in Hell to survive...........!!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • PAULYPOKER
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 12-06-08
                                                      • 36585

                                                      #61
                                                      Originally posted by bigjah15
                                                      i believe titans pull off the upset.
                                                      That wouldn't be an upset.......

                                                      KC and Tenn. are the weakest links in the AFC after Buffalo....
                                                      Comment
                                                      • JIBBBY
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 12-10-09
                                                        • 83691

                                                        #62
                                                        Originally posted by PAULYPOKER
                                                        That wouldn't be an upset.......

                                                        KC and Tenn. are the weakest links in the AFC after Buffalo....
                                                        Well said... Agreed..
                                                        Comment
                                                        • jizay
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 08-07-09
                                                          • 975

                                                          #63
                                                          Don't understand the Bills love in this thread. They are the worst playoff team by a wide margin. Most likely they get trucked.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • JIBBBY
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 12-10-09
                                                            • 83691

                                                            #64
                                                            Originally posted by jizay
                                                            Don't understand the Bills love in this thread. They are the worst playoff team by a wide margin. Most likely they get trucked.
                                                            Eagles might actually be now without Wentz....
                                                            Comment
                                                            • DISTROYA
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 04-26-12
                                                              • 2911

                                                              #65
                                                              ATL....defending nfc champs getting almost a td (that 6.5 very important as LAR dont even have a legit kicker)
                                                              Thought line would be -3 highest. A team not in playoffs for 1.5 decades laying 6 with a no kicker, just doesnt make sense.
                                                              If Im a sucker so be it, will go down with ATL. Its my only play of the 1st round, points and on the money.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Sam Losco
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 12-03-16
                                                                • 3858

                                                                #66
                                                                atlanta may be only team to cover spread, let alone win
                                                                Comment
                                                                • hamburglar628
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 11-30-07
                                                                  • 169

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Originally posted by bigjah15
                                                                  i believe titans pull off the upset.
                                                                  The titans and bills are frauds...even though I hate the Ravens, they should have made it. Take a look at KC at home starting Week 1 to Week 16 (their last home game).

                                                                  20- Eagles
                                                                  20- Redskins
                                                                  19- Steelers
                                                                  19- Broncos
                                                                  16- Bills
                                                                  15- Raiders
                                                                  13- Chargers (THEY WERE RED HOT)
                                                                  13- Dolphins

                                                                  KC has a fantastic matchup at home. The Titans are just not good, you got a hurt QB, with a second year RB, with a bunch of mediocre playmakers traveling to a COLD Kansas City (going to feel like 20 degree there). KC hasn't gave up more than 20 points this year at home! Vegas is predicting KC to score around 27 points.G
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • PAULYPOKER
                                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                    • 12-06-08
                                                                    • 36585

                                                                    #68
                                                                    ^San Diego would of did most damage as I'm sure nobody wanted to see them in post season
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                                                                    • hamburglar628
                                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                                      • 11-30-07
                                                                      • 169

                                                                      #69
                                                                      JAX vs Ravens and KC vs SD would have been 10x more interesting.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • arrgy
                                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                                        • 12-10-14
                                                                        • 162

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Originally posted by OTL
                                                                        ATL struggles to score on the road... Carolina is the only live dog I see this weekend.
                                                                        Atlanta had one away game where they didn't score at least 10...that was in New England. For the season they have scored on average one more point at home then they did on the road.

                                                                        The problem they have....the Rams have scored the most points on average at home then any other team..32.8 and that number should be higher when you consider they didn't give a crap about the last home game against the 49ers.
                                                                        Last edited by arrgy; 01-04-18, 05:48 PM.
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