Purdue Laying 8 to Louisville

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  • KRIT
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 01-11-14
    • 12878

    #1
    Purdue Laying 8 to Louisville
    Kind of interesting line. Better team catching 8 points. Books expecting a Purdue blowout?

    Purdue is better than their record, but still wasn't expecting this high of a line.

    Lets get some discussion for this game, I think its Purdue or pass but not sure I can lay that many.
  • jtoler
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 12-17-13
    • 30967

    #2
    Louisville is the better team? Why wouldnt you take 8 pts with the better team.
    Comment
    • 2daBank
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 01-26-09
      • 88966

      #3
      Better team catching points? I think A pretty strong case can be made Purdue is the better team here despite the bogus rankings.

      I lean Purdue but little more than I want to lay and never love backing a team fresh off a island tourney. I do love fading teams like ville who been sitting home getting fat off cup cakes when they get their 1st taste of real competition, especially when it also their 1st game away from home.
      Comment
      • teecee
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 09-18-09
        • 6298

        #4
        I have Purdue by 10 max, so number looks less than advantageous on both sides.
        Comment
        • jjgold
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 07-20-05
          • 388179

          #5
          Louisville’s been struggling this year it’s a no play for a professional
          Comment
          • trytrytry
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 03-13-06
            • 23652

            #6
            purdue will destroy Louisville
            Comment
            • unde0087
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 03-27-08
              • 28959

              #7
              In any game that matters, especially against a good team, I wouldn't ever touch Purdue. Softest team in the country every season.
              Comment
              • DOM_Toretto
                Restricted User
                • 01-28-13
                • 9035

                #8
                Originally posted by teecee
                I have Purdue by 10 max, so number looks less than advantageous on both sides.
                Agree with this
                Comment
                • jtoler
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 12-17-13
                  • 30967

                  #9
                  Originally posted by unde0087
                  In any game that matters, especially against a good team, I wouldn't ever touch Purdue. Softest team in the country every season.
                  I kinda agree, I wouldnt trust Purdue to necessarily cover 8 either but Louisville may not be too ready for this game. Purdue looked kinda soft in tourney to me, they rely on the 3 so much, got outrebounded by Tenn. by about 10, W. Kentucky even outrebounded them.
                  Comment
                  • MinnesotaFats
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 12-18-10
                    • 14758

                    #10
                    Purdue 4-2 ATS early, Lou 1-3. Money is even on spread but 80% on over figure, moving it to 148.5.

                    Louisville undefeated, Purdue a pair of losses and some underwhelming showings.

                    Big10 not looking very good this year outside of MSU. My damn Gophers about blew a 20 point lead to Bama the other night, Wisky can't get to 40 (if they went to OT they still weren't pacing for 40), and teams that rely on 3s don't beat teams that can play D (See Florida vs Duke).

                    I'll take the 8.5 and watch the Lou D...if they slow this down might get a good 2nd half under play.
                    Comment
                    • NostraDanUS
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 12-02-09
                      • 665

                      #11
                      road team: Louisville : current rating = 65.71, last_4_delta = 0.00, ATS record: 1- 2, O/U: 1/ 2
                      home team: Purdue : current rating = 71.92, last_4_delta = + 1.30, ATS record: 5- 2, O/U: 5/ 2

                      Purdue is favored by 8.5
                      over/under: 148.5

                      ***

                      Louisville road ATS record: 0- 0
                      Purdue home ATS record: 3- 0

                      Louisville home sched rating: 48.45, ave MoV: 18.50
                      Louisville road sched rating: 56.71, ave MoV: 6.82 *

                      Purdue home sched rating: 40.01, ave MoV: 47.33
                      Purdue road sched rating: 59.77, ave MoV: 15.00

                      * - last season's values

                      Louisville home/road ratings: 65.80 / 0.00
                      Purdue home/road ratings: 88.32 / 80.21
                      Purdue neutral rating: 69.07

                      Louisville ave points for/against/combined: 81.75 / 63.25 / 145.00
                      Purdue ave points for/against/combined: 90.43 / 65.00 / 155.43

                      Louisville home points for/against/combined: 81.75 / 63.25 / 145.00
                      Louisville road points for/against/combined: 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
                      Purdue home points for/against/combined: 107.33 / 60.00 / 167.33
                      Purdue road points for/against/combined: 86.00 / 71.00 / 157.00
                      Comment
                      • 2daBank
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 01-26-09
                        • 88966

                        #12
                        I swooped on the under at 149.
                        Comment
                        • brock
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 01-07-08
                          • 8297

                          #13
                          I tried Purdue first half -4.5
                          Comment
                          • SEAHAWKHARRY
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 11-29-07
                            • 26069

                            #14
                            Originally posted by 2daBank
                            I swooped on the under at 149.
                            I have Purdue under 149.5 avail should I wait closer to tip as total seems to be taking some steam Banker?
                            Comment
                            • Leesinkickedme
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 08-29-17
                              • 134

                              #15
                              This is an insane line, Louisville guaranteed to cover that +8.. Probably not win outright tho
                              Comment
                              • KRIT
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 01-11-14
                                • 12878

                                #16
                                Purdue is the better team, but i swear their style of play usually creates close games. They aren't really going to run away from anyone which is why laying that many is tough with them. Which is why they always lose early in the tourney, they play through their bigs.
                                Comment
                                • 19th Hole
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 03-22-09
                                  • 18957

                                  #17
                                  Purdue 1H,
                                  Purdue GM
                                  Comment
                                  • survive
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-08-11
                                    • 2388

                                    #18
                                    Purdue or nothing for me. Line kind of says it all
                                    Comment
                                    • Cardinals01
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 12-16-16
                                      • 307

                                      #19
                                      Purdue may be the better team now, Louisville will be the better team at the end of the year.
                                      I’ll take the points and put a little on UL ML.
                                      Hoping for a great game!
                                      Comment
                                      • SEAHAWKHARRY
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 11-29-07
                                        • 26069

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by Cardinals01
                                        Purdue may be the better team now, Louisville will be the better team at the end of the year.
                                        I’ll take the points and put a little on UL ML.
                                        Hoping for a great game!
                                        U a cardinal fan?
                                        Comment
                                        • 19th Hole
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 03-22-09
                                          • 18957

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by 19th Hole
                                          Purdue 1H,
                                          Purdue GM
                                          Add
                                          Ol Ms 1H -5.5, GM -10
                                          Comment
                                          • MinnesotaFats
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 12-18-10
                                            • 14758

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by Leesinkickedme
                                            This is an insane line, Louisville guaranteed to cover that +8.. Probably not win outright tho
                                            Easy there.... been on SBR long enough to see the words guaranty and cover too many times! Dont curse your bet!
                                            Comment
                                            • jjgold
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 07-20-05
                                              • 388179

                                              #23
                                              Tip off
                                              Comment
                                              • t-wizzle
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 12-18-09
                                                • 38099

                                                #24
                                                Louisville has an injury I think but either way the line screams Purdue. They’re still good even without Swanigan but they don’t have a go-to scorer. Solid team though and they’re home.
                                                Comment
                                                • Cardinals01
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 12-16-16
                                                  • 307

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by SEAHAWKHARRY
                                                  U a cardinal fan?
                                                  Yes, obviously. Not sure what your point is though? People forget Louisville was a consensus Top 10 team. When all the news broke in August and Pitino was let go, we were dropped in all polls. We brought in a Top 10 recruiting class also. Sorry I was providing my insight on this team compared to Purdue who I also follow.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • SEAHAWKHARRY
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 11-29-07
                                                    • 26069

                                                    #26
                                                    Good luck I'm on other side..thonk Louisville will be ok by March Madness tho
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Cardinals01
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 12-16-16
                                                      • 307

                                                      #27
                                                      Whatever happens in this game, I think UL will be the better team as conference play gets going and especially by March Madness. I’ll critique UL and there are plenty of games I don’t feel good about during a season. UL doesn’t get 8.5 points much, it’s rare and that’s for a reason. Good game so far.
                                                      Good luck in football season also, enjoy checking out your Plays.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • SEAHAWKHARRY
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 11-29-07
                                                        • 26069

                                                        #28
                                                        Thanks will be interesting to see your perspective on the games you feel worried about I like listening to fans who pick against their team for sound reasons .Good luck card
                                                        Comment
                                                        • KRIT
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 01-11-14
                                                          • 12878

                                                          #29
                                                          Ugly game to this point.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • jjgold
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 07-20-05
                                                            • 388179

                                                            #30
                                                            Both teams don’t look that good but I’ll take those points
                                                            Comment
                                                            • 2daBank
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 01-26-09
                                                              • 88966

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by KRIT
                                                              Ugly game to this point.
                                                              Just what I was looking for
                                                              Comment
                                                              • KRIT
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 01-11-14
                                                                • 12878

                                                                #32
                                                                Purdue will win this. Got them pk 1H at +110 and said screw it and laid the chalk on the ml at -230.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Cardinals01
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 12-16-16
                                                                  • 307

                                                                  #33
                                                                  How did you get Purdue at Pck 1H at +110? I got UL 1H at +4 at +105.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • jts1207
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 12-15-16
                                                                    • 8011

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Was at +4 1h as well
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • KRIT
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 01-11-14
                                                                      • 12878

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by Cardinals01
                                                                      How did you get Purdue at Pck 1H at +110? I got UL 1H at +4 at +105.
                                                                      Live bet. Down 2 with like 7 minutes left.

                                                                      I think books expect Purdue to pull away second half with a line of 5.5 2H.
                                                                      Comment
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