Ncaaf totals free falling

Ra77er · 10-13-17, 07:29 AM

Okay thanks Tom

I am looking into the weather reports

Could be a cold front coming in from the northeast

jjgold · 10-13-17, 07:47 AM

That type of cold will not affect the Totals it’s not low enough

We are not in December and January

Ra77er · 10-13-17, 07:48 AM

Okay perhaps the Tom petty reference was too soon.

they are hitting at a 56% rate so far

maybe taking some trend riders

jjgold · 10-13-17, 09:25 AM

Keep an eye on them

Renegades · 10-13-17, 09:45 AM

They are over inflated to start with on purpose because the last few yrs the books didnt adjust to the “new” pace of the game. Many many teams now run 80-85 plays a game. They put up 450 yards of offense and it seems impressive but its really not on a yards per play basis. Games that used to be 50 are now 55. Totals that were 62 are now 68 etc. the easy bets on the over are done. Its all baked into the line now

Mackballs · 10-13-17, 10:08 AM

Originally posted by Renegades

They are over inflated to start with on purpose because the last few yrs the books didnt adjust to the “new” pace of the game. Many many teams now run 80-85 plays a game. They put up 450 yards of offense and it seems impressive but its really not on a yards per play basis. Games that used to be 50 are now 55. Totals that were 62 are now 68 etc. the easy bets on the over are done. Its all baked into the line now

That's a good point. I remember seeing some of the Baylor and Oregon totals a few years back be in the mid 60s and would automatically bet the over. They would basically cover it themselves everytime

tokio · 10-13-17, 10:32 AM

Navy/Memphis should go Over. Memphis plays no defense and Navy's D shuts down 2nd half.

Ra77er · 10-13-17, 10:35 AM

I want more thoughts about this and I want to continue the anonymous avatar replies only.

Maybe its a Friday the 13th thing with everyone going under?

We are not privy to something. That TT game is alarming. Side moves from 7 to 3 and now mackball with this total situation.

Mackballs · 10-13-17, 02:39 PM

Tex Tech game makes no sense. West Virginia will do whatever they want when they wanna do it against that defense.

thomorino · 10-13-17, 02:43 PM

Usually when you see totals dropping across the board at this point of the season it is weather related.

Ralphie Halves · 10-13-17, 05:09 PM

Teams also running a lot more this year. Has not been accounted for yet.

Eddy Munny · 10-13-17, 06:34 PM

WVU and TTech down to 72.5

Weather looks not just good, but great. What's the catch?

Mackballs · 10-13-17, 06:57 PM

Originally posted by Eddy Munny

WVU and TTech down to 72.5

Weather looks not just good, but great. What's the catch?

Eddy this is what I'm not understanding. Down virtually an entire touchdown since Wednesday morning. Other games also dropping heavy. Total comes out at 79ish and we can now get 72.5??? How is the over not a play here for at least something. It's not like points will be at a premium in this one either. Idk man I'm stumped

jjgold · 10-13-17, 10:25 PM

Any weather updates?

Eddy Munny · 10-13-17, 10:30 PM

Originally posted by Mackballs

Eddy this is what I'm not understanding. Down virtually an entire touchdown since Wednesday morning. Other games also dropping heavy. Total comes out at 79ish and we can now get 72.5??? How is the over not a play here for at least something. It's not like points will be at a premium in this one either. Idk man I'm stumped

I'm betting Over this total, fukk it.

High powered offenses, sorry defenses, balmy weather... make these teams show me they can play under that total. I'll believe it when I see it.

stackz125 · 10-14-17, 01:08 AM

Techs ML

Ra77er · 10-14-17, 04:20 AM

Toledo/ Central Michigan

62.5
56.5

Ra77er · 10-14-17, 04:37 AM

Is this a frog curse or something?

hell has frozen over?

I like the frogs well I’m respectful of them.

this may be biblical

jjgold · 10-14-17, 05:27 AM

Going with the overs

HeeluvaGuy · 10-14-17, 12:13 PM

For those curious, I have last year's average points per game for every week of the season. Compared to last year at this time, scoring is down almost exactly .5 ppg. An average game is just under 60 ppg.

teaserpleaser · 10-14-17, 12:17 PM

That UCLA total is probably too high at 79 so not surprised that fell.

rich rods offense is run heavy and their QB is terrible throwing.

if UCLa loses this game they're pretty sorry.