Tennessee at Jacksonville - Pick and Write-Up

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  • 2daBank
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-26-09
    • 88966

    #36
    Originally posted by thomorino
    I don't think the biggest issue was Houston's QB, the biggest problem was Houston had no QB. As far as my analysis, I actually think the score was closer than you would have thought if you watched the game. Usually when a team averages less than 3 yards a play I'd expect them to lose by 30 or more.
    Oline was Houston biggest problem and will remain to be until they open their wallet and pay the left tackle.
    Comment
    • milwaukee mike
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 08-22-07
      • 26914

      #37
      Originally posted by thomorino
      I don't think the biggest issue was Houston's QB, the biggest problem was Houston had no QB. As far as my analysis, I actually think the score was closer than you would have thought if you watched the game. Usually when a team averages less than 3 yards a play I'd expect them to lose by 30 or more.


      how many nfl games were decided by 30 or more points last year? i'll give you a hint it was less than 9
      Comment
      • thomorino
        Restricted User
        • 06-01-17
        • 45842

        #38
        Originally posted by milwaukee mike


        how many nfl games were decided by 30 or more points last year? i'll give you a hint it was less than 9
        How many teams averaged less than 3 yards a play, I'll give you a hint, it was less than 8.
        Comment
        • Ryermkd
          Restricted User
          • 01-11-12
          • 3739

          #39
          Originally posted by thomorino
          How many teams averaged less than 3 yards a play, I'll give you a hint, it was less than 8.
          actually none...
          Comment
          • blankoblanco
            SBR MVP
            • 11-18-11
            • 3494

            #40
            I'm telling you guys, the pick on either side is a coinflip, just smash the under. Jax D is pretty legit, but theyre not gonna score a TD most games. Also, Bortles can't reliably take advantage of a weak secondary, and they lost their best receiver. Jags want to pound the ball with Fournette as much as they can get away with which will chew up clock, and they've sucked in the red zone for years. I'm honestly surprised the O/U wasn't set at something closer to 39
            Comment
            • xdodger19
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 11-20-12
              • 18012

              #41
              Jags coaching looks like they had a good game plan vs Houston,
              They need to protect and get rid of the ball better
              Jax 2-0!
              Comment
              • milwaukee mike
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 08-22-07
                • 26914

                #42
                Originally posted by thomorino
                How many teams averaged less than 3 yards a play, I'll give you a hint, it was less than 8.
                you looking at the future or the past?

                if jacksonville outsacks them 10-0 and wins the turnover battle 4-0 again then you will win

                problem is that isn't gonna happen until they play another worthless offensive line and worthless qb... which won't be the case again
                Comment
                • milwaukee mike
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 08-22-07
                  • 26914

                  #43
                  when thomorino hypes up jacksonville, the line keeps moving the other way

                  would be great if they played it in nashville and the line is titans -8
                  Comment
                  • 2daBank
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 01-26-09
                    • 88966

                    #44
                    Originally posted by milwaukee mike
                    when thomorino hypes up jacksonville, the line keeps moving the other way

                    would be great if they played it in nashville and the line is titans -8
                    Didn't get why he thought it wouldn't move this way? Most thought probably close around titans -3 as they still the overwhelming public side.

                    Other than betting it too early he outta be happy, that which way I would want the line going. Wouldn't want any part of jags if their week 1 performance shifted perception enough for them to take on all the money.
                    Comment
                    • milwaukee mike
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 08-22-07
                      • 26914

                      #45
                      Originally posted by 2daBank
                      Didn't get why he thought it wouldn't move this way? Most thought probably close around titans -3 as they still the overwhelming public side.

                      Other than betting it too early he outta be happy, that which way I would want the line going. Wouldn't want any part of jags if their week 1 performance shifted perception enough for them to take on all the money.
                      i wouldn't be happy betting a -110 that is now available at +115 (+125 at sia)

                      then again he's playing at topbet so the money isn't much different than monopoly money
                      Comment
                      • 2daBank
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 01-26-09
                        • 88966

                        #46
                        Originally posted by milwaukee mike
                        i wouldn't be happy betting a -110 that is now available at +115 (+125 at sia)

                        then again he's playing at topbet so the money isn't much different than monopoly money
                        Well yea that was my "other than that" part. Lol
                        Comment
                        • thomorino
                          Restricted User
                          • 06-01-17
                          • 45842

                          #47
                          Originally posted by milwaukee mike
                          i wouldn't be happy betting a -110 that is now available at +115 (+125 at sia)

                          then again he's playing at topbet so the money isn't much different than monopoly money
                          Lol, I see I have a new troll since I embarrassed you over your takes on whether or not sportsbooks made money this year going into the NFL season, which by the way they didn't in case you are still wondering.

                          As far as the line move, the severity of the Robinson injury came out after I posted my thread little buddy, and the line move reflects THE PUBLIC HAMMERING TENNESSEE. Mike did you bet Tennessee last week as well. I do not see the number getting to 3, and 1 and 2 are dead numbers in the vast majority of NFL games.

                          On a side note there are multiple people at topbet who have reported being paid this week and I got the bill descriptor for my wire transfer last week, so it looks like you are a good contrary indicator, square takes are welcome. I have accounts at 5 dimes, heritage, and many other sites that I have bet at for years as a professional bettor, I'm sure you probably stick to the squarer books since they haven't kicked you out yet.

                          The Jaguars will be playing a real offense this week, but then against the Titans will be playing a real defense, if you couldn't move the ball on the Raiders at home, your offense probably sucks, Raiders were the worst defense in the league at getting pass rush last year.
                          Comment
                          • funnyb25
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 07-09-09
                            • 39663

                            #48
                            Game even gunna be played?
                            Comment
                            • 2daBank
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 01-26-09
                              • 88966

                              #49
                              If line stays under 3 I love jags in 2 team 6 point teaser. Love teasing home dogs of less than fg when the game should be a lower scoring type deal..

                              prob don't need the tease jags have won last 3 at home in this series w far lessor versions of themselves.

                              Just for myself personally feel like the percentage chance jags lose by more than 8 insanely low while the outcome is kinda a toss up.. several good td favs to find a partner with as well this week. Panthers and/or bucs would make excellent 2 team 6 pointer that looks like this:

                              jags+8.5/panthers-1.5

                              That looks like a play that hits upwards of 70% of the time..
                              Comment
                              • 2daBank
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 01-26-09
                                • 88966

                                #50
                                Originally posted by funnyb25
                                Game even gunna be played?
                                Believe so. I havnt heard final word but yesterday shefter was saying long as the power was restored to full capacity . CBS said coverage might be shoddy, lol/
                                Comment
                                • funnyb25
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 07-09-09
                                  • 39663

                                  #51
                                  Originally posted by 2daBank
                                  Believe so. I havnt heard final word but yesterday shefter was saying long as the power was restored to full capacity . CBS said coverage might be shoddy, lol/
                                  Oh great..lol
                                  Comment
                                  • thomorino
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 06-01-17
                                    • 45842

                                    #52
                                    Originally posted by 2daBank
                                    Believe so. I havnt heard final word but yesterday shefter was saying long as the power was restored to full capacity . CBS said coverage might be shoddy, lol/
                                    There a lot of squares who think they are sharp that like the Titans, the line move in this game has been exactly the same as the line move in the Titans-Raiders game. Money showed on the Titans season win total and on this game, the Titans were a lot of people's sleeper. Mariota is not running since the leg injury and he's not a pocket passer.
                                    Comment
                                    • 2daBank
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 01-26-09
                                      • 88966

                                      #53
                                      Originally posted by thomorino
                                      There a lot of squares who think they are sharp that like the Titans, the line move in this game has been exactly the same as the line move in the Titans-Raiders game. Money showed on the Titans season win total and on this game, the Titans were a lot of people's sleeper. Mariota is not running since the leg injury and he's not a pocket passer.
                                      I suspect he might run a little more this week, if not by design out of necessity. I think titans could still very well be class of this garbage division but I don't like them here think this one a toss up honestly.
                                      Comment
                                      • milwaukee mike
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 08-22-07
                                        • 26914

                                        #54
                                        Originally posted by thomorino
                                        Lol, I see I have a new troll since I embarrassed you over your takes on whether or not sportsbooks made money this year going into the NFL season, which by the way they didn't in case you are still wondering.

                                        As far as the line move, the severity of the Robinson injury came out after I posted my thread little buddy, and the line move reflects THE PUBLIC HAMMERING TENNESSEE. Mike did you bet Tennessee last week as well. I do not see the number getting to 3, and 1 and 2 are dead numbers in the vast majority of NFL games.

                                        On a side note there are multiple people at topbet who have reported being paid this week and I got the bill descriptor for my wire transfer last week, so it looks like you are a good contrary indicator, square takes are welcome. I have accounts at 5 dimes, heritage, and many other sites that I have bet at for years as a professional bettor, I'm sure you probably stick to the squarer books since they haven't kicked you out yet.

                                        The Jaguars will be playing a real offense this week, but then against the Titans will be playing a real defense, if you couldn't move the ball on the Raiders at home, your offense probably sucks, Raiders were the worst defense in the league at getting pass rush last year.


                                        ask around if you want to compare which one of us is more of a professional bettor
                                        Comment
                                        • thomorino
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 06-01-17
                                          • 45842

                                          #55
                                          Originally posted by milwaukee mike


                                          ask around if you want to compare which one of us is more of a professional bettor
                                          Lol, little mikey post your action, I got kicked out of GT Bets and other square books after the 2016 NFL season, I've consistently hit 55% or better in the NFL for 5 years documented. Keep the square takes coming, you sound like a great fade.
                                          Comment
                                          • 2daBank
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 01-26-09
                                            • 88966

                                            #56
                                            Originally posted by thomorino
                                            Lol, little mikey post your action, I got kicked out of GT Bets and other square books after the 2016 NFL season, I've consistently hit 55% or better in the NFL for 5 years documented. Keep the square takes coming, you sound like a great fade.
                                            Where you documented at? Not trying to start nothing just curious.
                                            Comment
                                            • thomorino
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 06-01-17
                                              • 45842

                                              #57
                                              Originally posted by 2daBank
                                              Where you documented at? Not trying to start nothing just curious.
                                              I posted nearly all my NFL picks for the last 5 years pregame.
                                              Comment
                                              • milwaukee mike
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 08-22-07
                                                • 26914

                                                #58
                                                Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                Where you documented at? Not trying to start nothing just curious.
                                                i would like to know where that's documented also

                                                i can't hit 55% on nfl sides or totals for 1 year let alone 5 so you've got me there
                                                Comment
                                                • 2daBank
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 01-26-09
                                                  • 88966

                                                  #59
                                                  Originally posted by milwaukee mike
                                                  i would like to know where that's documented also

                                                  i can't hit 55% on nfl sides or totals for 1 year let alone 5 so you've got me there
                                                  Hell I hit 60 some years. 40 others.. lol.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • thomorino
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 06-01-17
                                                    • 45842

                                                    #60
                                                    Originally posted by milwaukee mike
                                                    i would like to know where that's documented also

                                                    i can't hit 55% on nfl sides or totals for 1 year let alone 5 so you've got me there
                                                    I have hit over 55% over the last 5 years, but I had 1 great year a couple years ago when I hit around 62%, I've hit around 54-55% the other 4 years.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • USCPHILLYGUY
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 12-15-12
                                                      • 21746

                                                      #61
                                                      been 3 months now Mr. Sharp.....when you turning Pro

                                                      SBR's resident attorneys sure have lots of time to post during business hours.

                                                      Isn't your vacation coming up
                                                      Comment
                                                      • thomorino
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 06-01-17
                                                        • 45842

                                                        #62
                                                        Originally posted by USCPHILLYGUY
                                                        been 3 months now Mr. Sharp.....when you turning Pro

                                                        SBR's resident attorneys sure have lots of time to post during business hours.

                                                        Isn't your vacation coming up
                                                        LMAO, I am an ordinary professional bettor who practices law, its lunch break time on the east coast. Lol, are you really suggesting I don't a have a job because I"m posting on a forum you have posted 7 thousand times in the last 5 years. Why would I turn pro, so I can redeem my betpoints for a coupon to red robin.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • milwaukee mike
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 08-22-07
                                                          • 26914

                                                          #63
                                                          Originally posted by thomorino
                                                          LMAO, I am an ordinary professional bettor who practices law, its lunch break time on the east coast. Lol, are you really suggesting I don't a have a job because I"m posting on a forum you have posted 7 thousand times in the last 5 years. Why would I turn pro, so I can redeem my betpoints for a coupon to red robin.
                                                          hmm bill out some time at $200/hr or do some professional gambling at $200/week

                                                          tough choice
                                                          Comment
                                                          • USCPHILLYGUY
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 12-15-12
                                                            • 21746

                                                            #64
                                                            Originally posted by thomorino
                                                            LMAO, I am an ordinary professional bettor who practices law, its lunch break time on the east coast. Lol, are you really suggesting I don't a have a job because I"m posting on a forum you have posted 7 thousand times in the last 5 years. Why would I turn pro, so I can redeem my betpoints for a coupon to red robin.
                                                            way to be up on the news here clown......I want to give you a pass because you're near Philly but I just cant. Heard a few things about you at the IFBC...heard you were afraid to show up. oh wait, you said you had a vacation coming up.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • thomorino
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 06-01-17
                                                              • 45842

                                                              #65
                                                              Originally posted by milwaukee mike
                                                              i wouldn't be happy betting a -110 that is now available at +115 (+125 at sia)

                                                              then again he's playing at topbet so the money isn't much different than monopoly money
                                                              LMAO,I just confirmed receipt of my wire transfer from topbet for my withdrawal from June 20th, keep trolling, you are hilarious.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • funnyb25
                                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                • 07-09-09
                                                                • 39663

                                                                #66
                                                                Oh wow!!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • thomorino
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 06-01-17
                                                                  • 45842

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Originally posted by milwaukee mike
                                                                  hmm bill out some time at $200/hr or do some professional gambling at $200/week

                                                                  tough choice
                                                                  I'm not a moron I find no difficulty doing both, troll on.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • thomorino
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 06-01-17
                                                                    • 45842

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Originally posted by USCPHILLYGUY
                                                                    way to be up on the news here clown......I want to give you a pass because you're near Philly but I just cant. Heard a few things about you at the IFBC...heard you were afraid to show up. oh wait, you said you had a vacation coming up.
                                                                    I'm not up on the news, I have better things to do than keep track of what SBR betpoints can be used for. Aren't you still bragging about your $250 first class ticket to Costa Rica.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • USCPHILLYGUY
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 12-15-12
                                                                      • 21746

                                                                      #69
                                                                      how sad is it this "attorney" needs to try and impress total strangers online

                                                                      congrats on that wire transfer
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • USCPHILLYGUY
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 12-15-12
                                                                        • 21746

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Originally posted by thomorino
                                                                        I'm not up on the news, I have better things to do than keep track of what SBR betpoints can be used for. Aren't you still bragging about your $250 first class ticket to Costa Rica.
                                                                        496 post in 90 days but has better things to do..........this fuk just keeps burying himself......

                                                                        Leave again for CR 10/26.........yet another 1st class ticket...........glad to see you're following along
                                                                        Comment
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