What is your Football betting plan?

Seaweed · 07-24-17, 03:35 PM

Bet live

Bet unders

Mackballs · 07-24-17, 03:37 PM

College football overs are the easiest to win. Just pick a few per week, usually the highest ones,and hit them.

shadymcgrady · 07-24-17, 03:42 PM

Start small and pretend to be disciplined

Get hot, increase bet size and quantity exponentially

Lose and chase

Lose more

Get in bar fight with bouncers

Lose more money on attorney in civil suit

Get rdy for week 2

boneheaded1 · 07-24-17, 04:50 PM

Already gave out my secret several years ago.

Starting over.

Starting roll $600 (not including bonuses).

Bet size will be 25-50% of my roll at time of bet. Depending on ROI if I win. I don't bet to win. I bet not to lose. (only a select few on here will understand that statement)

thechaoz · 07-24-17, 05:05 PM

Home divisional underdogs

/Thread

BigOrange · 07-24-17, 05:07 PM

$10K Bankroll

All-in on +150 ML Dogs first two games.

Now the bankroll is $62,500 with these 2 winners and I can just fukk around the rest of the season!

RudyRuetigger · 07-24-17, 05:09 PM

Originally posted by boneheaded1

Already gave out my secret several years ago.

Starting over.

Starting roll $600 (not including bonuses).

Bet size will be 25-50% of my roll at time of bet. Depending on ROI if I win. I don't bet to win. I bet not to lose. (only a select few on here will understand that statement)

this dude wants to say SBR sucks

yet his fukkin bankroll is $600

CANNOT make this shit up

jjgold · 07-24-17, 05:25 PM

Too early yet to make those type of decisions it's early July

grease lightnin · 07-24-17, 05:31 PM

Originally posted by shadymcgrady

Start small and pretend to be disciplined

Get hot, increase bet size and quantity exponentially

Lose and chase

Lose more

Get in bar fight with bouncers

Lose more money on attorney in civil suit

Get rdy for week 2

Great post

Slipknot26 · 07-24-17, 05:31 PM

Nothing else matters
WIN !!

Mackballs · 07-24-17, 06:00 PM

Originally posted by jjgold

Too early yet to make those type of decisions it's early July

Have you looked at a calendar recently?

rm18 · 07-24-17, 06:05 PM

20k on Jags ML will see if any money left after that depending if they win andhow poker goes.

7deuceoff$uit · 07-24-17, 06:28 PM

Fade seaweed.

jjgold · 07-24-17, 06:37 PM

Otter I'm ordering you a shot

It cost $800 but I'm going to pay for an after your doctor administrates this shot you will not gamble for at least a year

lakerboy · 07-24-17, 06:53 PM

No plan.

The Giant · 07-24-17, 07:04 PM

Following Lakerboy.

Easy-Rider 66 · 07-24-17, 07:06 PM

Tail Weed.

jjgold · 07-24-17, 07:48 PM

The end plan will be most of us going to the bank to get loans for all the family money we lost through our love ones because of football

MUHerd37 · 07-24-17, 07:50 PM

Win more than I lose. Not come in dead last in Beat the Prick.

funnyb25 · 07-24-17, 07:55 PM

Otters27 · 07-24-17, 08:30 PM

Originally posted by MUHerd37

Win more than I lose. Not come in dead last in Beat the Prick.

Did you beat me for dead last in BTP. I know I was close to last.

gauchojake · 07-24-17, 08:39 PM

Fund 4 books

Line shop for straight bets

Bet +EV Teasers

Take a few shots

Pray BTC doesn't tank

boneheaded1 · 07-24-17, 08:55 PM

Originally posted by RudyRuetigger

this dude wants to say SBR sucks

yet his fukkin bankroll is $600

CANNOT make this shit up

Hi Troll, er, I mean Rudy.

If you have read some of my other comments you would know; that I am starting over after using my bank to help fund the 20% downpayment on my recent house purchase. So yeah, I am starting over but I have something to show for my efforts. And in time, I will be back to a $50K+ roll. I'm not in a hurry. I took it there once and will again. I don't need my sportsgambling to get by, I do OK without it. It's more of a long term investment strategy. Not many investments can give me the same return as say, New England moneyline over Miami (and be as safe).

But that's OK, you keep trolling. It obviously makes you feel better about yourself.

jjgold · 07-24-17, 09:31 PM

No such thing as +EV teasers anymore

Books changed payout odds

BIGDAY · 07-24-17, 09:37 PM

Pound the winners.

gauchojake · 07-24-17, 11:04 PM

Originally posted by jjgold

No such thing as +EV teasers anymore

Books changed payout odds

You can still get +180 3 team 6 pointers ergo funding different books

no more 2 team +100 that's for sure

Some say the bookmakers shade lines for teaser protection but you can still find value.

JIBBBY · 07-24-17, 11:12 PM

Originally posted by BIGDAY

Pound the winners.

And to light up the Prick in the contest like most of us did last year..

SharpAngles · 07-24-17, 11:18 PM

Smack The Prick in the fuggin head weekly

boneheaded1 · 07-24-17, 11:38 PM

Originally posted by jjgold

No such thing as +EV teasers anymore

Books changed payout odds

Everything is +EV if you win at a high enough %. Do you give up return on teasers as opposed to straight bets? Yes. Yes you do. But they are lower risk. I used to play teasers for fun. they were profitable but I didn't have the 80% win rate I wanted and I stopped mainly because it was outside my regular system. take one step away from a system and you open the door to move even further away from the system. so while they were profitable, they were messing with my system discipline.

crackerjack · 07-24-17, 11:41 PM

My plan is to start slow and grind out a Nice profit. Then when I'm feeling confident I'll increase my bet size and lose. I'll then increase the bet size even more hoping to win those losses back and lose that too. Then I'll go all in on some late night MWC match up that I havent capped at all and lose that bet as well. Then I'll reload and start the process over. Prob do that four or five times throughout the season...

MUHerd37 · 07-24-17, 11:52 PM

Originally posted by Otters27

Did you beat me for dead last in BTP. I know I was close to last.

I didn't get dead last. Almost did tho. Couldn't hit anything last year. I was like 2nd or 3rd last going into the last week. Was trying to lose at that point, but beat a few people.

Seaweed · 07-24-17, 11:54 PM

Originally posted by 7deuceoff$uit

Fade seaweed.

Wtf are you pal??

boneheaded1 · 07-25-17, 12:17 AM

And sorry Otters; didn't fully answer your questions.

Games per week: 1-4 depending on what there is.

Area of expertise: I do not have one. I am not an expert capper. There are way better here than I. But I ONLY bet football (college and NFL).

The reason for this is I don't really have the time nor the wherewithal to keep up with the other sports on a level required to be successful.

I also don't like betting the other sports because they have "throw away" games. Games where people mail it in or sit stars. One loss isn't really the kiss of death that it could be in football (college especially).

Football only sits out/mails one in when playoff spots are locked in or when a team knows it's playing for a pick slot rather than a playoff spot. Football players just do not mail it in. Their contracts are not guaranteed (the big stars have some portion guaranteed but not the full amount and term of their contracts). In essence every game they are playing for their contracts. And for college at most positions, the difference between 1st and 2nd string isn't that huge. So they are all playing for playing time.

In my opinion football players are just way more vested in every game than in other sports and my system absolutely requires that.

pilebuck13 · 07-25-17, 12:48 AM

My plan last year was to win but when that backfired I would end up chasing on Monday night football, then Thursday night football, then early games Sunday followed by Sunday night football....weed that plan didn't work don't do that...anyone. And occasionally lost my ass on Saturday college.