+210 MLB dog that may bark tonight.

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  • stevenash
    Moderator
    • 01-17-11
    • 65719

    #1
    +210 MLB dog that may bark tonight.
    Chicago White Sox (Holmgren +210) v. Cleveland Indians (Tomlin -230)


    White Sox starting a converted reliever David Holmgren who has very good stuff.
    He's making his third start so don't expect more than six innings out of him, probably more like five and fly, but he was pretty much untouchable out of the bullpen earlier this season, his last two appearances were starts against Boston and Detroit, two very good offenses and held his own just fine.


    Indians start Josh Tomlin, who's been shaky this season.
    Right handed batters have hit Tomlin hard all season .310 batting average against, .830 OBPS and the White Sox
    Holmgren throws left, take away Lindor Indians are not a very good left handed pitching team.
    Even with Lindor Indians only hit .237 v. LHP and that's a full .30 points lower than opponents.

    Indians start Josh Tomlin, who's been shaky this season.
    Right handed batters have hit Tomlin hard all season .310 batting average against, .830 OBPS and the White Sox line up tonight matches up extremely strong in this spot.
    Not to mention his home ERA is over six this year.

    I love Tim Anderson on top, followed by Melke, Jose Abreu, Garcia, Frazier, team sports nine right handed batters tonight, well six strict right handed batters and three switch hitters that will probably hit right.
    It's a lineup that can inflict pain here.

    Now, here's the caveats.
    I'm counting on White Sox to ambush Tomlin early, if not and this is a 2-2 type game, edge goes to Indians with that superior bullpen.
    Also another thing that can go wrong is Tomlin finds himself and throws a gem, like the one he threw against KC earlier this month, and my worst nightmare, Holmgren gets knocked around early.

    Not a slam dunk, you want a sure thing, go out and buy Amazon stock, and even that got hit Friday.

    All's I'm saying is this is a spot play at a very enticing +210 that has cash potential.
    Pass, fade or tail, hell, I'm just throwing it out there.
  • Fidel_CashFlow
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 12-03-12
    • 53970

    #2
    Good luck Nash
    Comment
    • mcfugly
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 05-20-12
      • 947

      #3
      i like it nash. was also very interested in this. tomlin has not been that great to warrant these kind of odds
      Comment
      • Shute
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 03-20-17
        • 11835

        #4
        + $$ always a good bet in bases.
        Good luck.
        Comment
        • funnyb25
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 07-09-09
          • 39663

          #5
          Love the value against Tomlin...I almost pulled the trigger on this as well, just not enough info on Holmgren for me..

          BOL Nash
          Comment
          • shocka1212
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 10-06-12
            • 16788

            #6
            CWS have been a monster play this year as a ML dog.... I like it
            Comment
            • jjgold
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 07-20-05
              • 388179

              #7
              I'll pass on the game but root for you
              Comment
              • YoungGambler
                SBR MVP
                • 09-15-14
                • 1744

                #8
                Orioles
                Comment
                • Smoke
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 10-09-09
                  • 48111

                  #9
                  Tigers
                  Comment
                  • stevenash
                    Moderator
                    • 01-17-11
                    • 65719

                    #10
                    I keep calling him Holmgren, it's Holmberg.
                    (oops)

                    3-0 early.
                    Comment
                    • Plaza23
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 12-29-13
                      • 7392

                      #11
                      White Sox are the 2nd worst team in the majors since 2013 as 170+ dogs. They lost 80% of their games (7-28) Hedge now while they have the lead.

                      Comment
                      • Dollars2Donuts
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 02-07-13
                        • 8803

                        #12
                        Was looking at this earlier. Got up to +234 on Bookmaker. Messed up and assumed a 5pm start (the proper starting time for central time zone). My bad.

                        As stared above, I would be hedging some now at a very nice price....some, not all.
                        Comment
                        • Plaza23
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 12-29-13
                          • 7392

                          #13
                          Actually don't hedge. I'm jumping on the White Sox live.



                          Indians are 3-105 when they trail by at least 4 runs in a game since 2014. Price is -247 White Sox live that is too good to pass up.
                          Comment
                          • Microphone
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-08-08
                            • 2950

                            #14
                            Good call.
                            Comment
                            • VTranX
                              SBR MVP
                              • 02-02-10
                              • 1975

                              #15
                              Nice call
                              Comment
                              • KVB
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 05-29-14
                                • 74817

                                #16
                                Good call with the barking dog Nash.

                                Comment
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