1. South Carolina (1.5) Marquette (Public is on MAQR about 60-40, but SCAR should win, however, the small spread and that the game is in SC makes me uneasy and makes me think that Marquette would actually be favored at a truly neutral site)
2. Miami (2) Michigan State (MSU opened up at +1 I believe, and everybody's just assuming they'll play Kansas, but part of me worries because I know Michigan State isn't very good, and I'm fairly confident in Vandy beating NU, and I believe that both teams with very bad records making the NCAAs on RPI won't go 2-0 (Vandy and MSU))
3. Minnesota (PK) MTSU (This one is just giving me fits. Minnesota just has the appearance of an early exit team with mediocre players and an above average, but not incredible big man, but it's hard to ignore that MTSU was given a 15 seed last year, which speaks to the quality of the team)
4. Maryland (2) Xavier (I think this is a god awful Xavier team, and Maryland should be the clear pick, but the fact that this opened at 1.5 makes me really skeptical, and I worry that Xavier might somehow win even though they're trash, thus I've had to go against my gut and take Xavier)
5. St. Mary's (4.5) VCU (I have St. Mary's going deep, and the fact that public is about 50/50 on this makes me feel easier about it, but I think SMC's ATS record is way too good and they're due to not cover, and I'm positive that this game will go down to the wire, but because I don't think VCU would beat Arizona, and I have Zona busting out to SMC, I have to pray to God that SMC wins, even if it's by 1-3 points. This should actually be #1 just for me anyway)
2. Miami (2) Michigan State (MSU opened up at +1 I believe, and everybody's just assuming they'll play Kansas, but part of me worries because I know Michigan State isn't very good, and I'm fairly confident in Vandy beating NU, and I believe that both teams with very bad records making the NCAAs on RPI won't go 2-0 (Vandy and MSU))
3. Minnesota (PK) MTSU (This one is just giving me fits. Minnesota just has the appearance of an early exit team with mediocre players and an above average, but not incredible big man, but it's hard to ignore that MTSU was given a 15 seed last year, which speaks to the quality of the team)
4. Maryland (2) Xavier (I think this is a god awful Xavier team, and Maryland should be the clear pick, but the fact that this opened at 1.5 makes me really skeptical, and I worry that Xavier might somehow win even though they're trash, thus I've had to go against my gut and take Xavier)
5. St. Mary's (4.5) VCU (I have St. Mary's going deep, and the fact that public is about 50/50 on this makes me feel easier about it, but I think SMC's ATS record is way too good and they're due to not cover, and I'm positive that this game will go down to the wire, but because I don't think VCU would beat Arizona, and I have Zona busting out to SMC, I have to pray to God that SMC wins, even if it's by 1-3 points. This should actually be #1 just for me anyway)
