Post your best bet for tonight (NCAA,NBA,NHL)

[Notorious_Donk]

I tailed after doing a little more research myself thanks...

$70.00

$63.60

Pending

2/13/17 9:00pm College Women Basketball 714 Connecticut - Women -17½ -110* <small>vs</small> South Carolina - Women

It just fell to -15 at my local

[JIBBBY]

Jibbs,

Here's my thoughts on Kansas...The previous four games for Kansas have all been decided by four points or less, including a 92-89 home loss to the Iowa State Cyclones as a 10-point favorite on February 4. West Virginia is a better team than Iowa State and West Virginia is a better team then Iowa State. Also, Kansas is 1-5-1 ATS in its last seven games. With Baylor on the horizon and Texas Tech game being a 1 pointer, West Virginia is the side for me

I like your reasoning.. Kansas is tough though but I'm gonna tail ya anyways for a 50 spot.. Let's get this Dirty!!!

$50.00

$45.50

Pending

2/13/17 9:00pm College Basketball 539 West Virginia +5 -110* <small>vs</small> Kansas

[jjgold]

[gauchojake]

Jack welcome to SBR. Please post your stats before we get into the games. TY

[JIBBBY]

^ Why do you like Syracuse JJ??? WHY? WHY? WHY?

I'll give 25 points if you tell me why.. If you just tailed someone else say so..

[Cuse0323]

For the first time ever, I just fcked up. I took Coastal Carolina when I meant to take Syracuse. They were both +145, and I'm in a rush to get to the game. Fck. I didn't look, my phone sucks. I saw +145, and put it in. Hopefully 5D lets me change it one time. Unreal. I'm probably better off with CC, but shit. I deposited for this game.

[JIBBBY]

For the first time ever, I just fcked up. I took Coastal Carolina when I meant to take Syracuse. They were both +145, and I'm in a rush to get to the game. Fck. I didn't look, my phone sucks. I saw +145, and put it in. Hopefully 5D lets me change it one time. Unreal. I'm probably better off with CC, but shit. I deposited for this game.

Just double up now with Syracuse and hedge out... You lose 10% of the juice on your mistake but you still get in your bet that you originally wanted..

[Memento]

Jibbs,

Here's my thoughts on Kansas...The previous four games for Kansas have all been decided by four points or less, including a 92-89 home loss to the Iowa State Cyclones as a 10-point favorite on February 4. West Virginia is a better team than Iowa State and West Virginia is a better team then Iowa State. Also, Kansas is 1-5-1 ATS in its last seven games. With Baylor on the horizon and Texas Tech game being a 1 pointer, West Virginia is the side for me

That ATS stat is a little misleading since Kansas is rarely this short priced at home (usually double digits requiring a blow out to cover). In fact, tell me how many home games Kansas has won in their last 54 by less than 5 points? You think they are going to lose again tonight? Doubtful.

[Jack Hoverkamp]

Jack welcome to SBR. Please post your stats before we get into the games. TY

What stats?

[Memento]

For the first time ever, I just fcked up. I took Coastal Carolina when I meant to take Syracuse. They were both +145, and I'm in a rush to get to the game. Fck. I didn't look, my phone sucks. I saw +145, and put it in. Hopefully 5D lets me change it one time. Unreal. I'm probably better off with CC, but shit. I deposited for this game.

Coastal has a good chance of winning...much better team at home.

[JIBBBY]

Anybody else want 25 points to fully explain their picks?

Bueler, Bueler????? Come get these points.. I'm giving them away..

[Jack Hoverkamp]

STRAIGHT BET
MU
R Opelka vrs J Donaldson Total and Spreads (Games)
[258228] J Donaldson -1.5 +107 (R Opelka vrs J Donaldson)
02/13/2017 @ 07:00 PM
Risking: 4.67To Win: 5.00
CBB
[526] Texas Tech +135
02/13/2017 @ 04:00 PM
Risking: 18.52To Win: 25.00
300557249
STRAIGHT BET
CBB
[528] Syracuse +145
02/13/2017 @ 04:00 PM
Risking: 17.24To Win: 25.00
300557250
STRAIGHT BET
CBB
[533] Arkansas State PK-110
02/13/2017 @ 05:00 PM
Risking: 27.50To Win: 25.00
300557251
STRAIGHT BET
CBB
[539] West Virginia +5-105
02/13/2017 @ 06:00 PM
Risking: 26.25To Win: 25.00
300557939
STRAIGHT BET
NBA
[501] Philadelphia 76ers +8.5 -110
02/13/2017 @ 04:05 PM
Risking: 22.00To Win: 20.00
300557940
STRAIGHT BET
NBA
[507] TOTAL o210-110 (Memphis Grizzlies vrs Brooklyn Nets)
02/13/2017 @ 04:35 PM
Risking: 22.00To Win: 20.00
300557941
STRAIGHT BET
NBA
[513] Boston Celtics -1.5 -115
02/13/2017 @ 05:35 PM
Risking: 23.00To Win: 20.00
30055794

[MJ4thQuarter92]

A parlay from each:
Warriors -7 1H
Baylor -140
Calgary -210

Parlay pays +383

[JIBBBY]

My original only 3 picks in the NBA today reasoned out in page one of this thread.. Thinking atleast 2 of 3 hit at worst..

I always play an odd number of games every day to give myself a chance to win money and not just break even and lose the juice.. I'll never bet an even number of games like 2, 4, or 6 games per day....

$110.00

$100.00

Pending

2/13/17 8:05pm NBA Basketball 509 San Antonio Spurs -4 -110* <small>vs</small> Indiana Pacers

$110.00

$100.00

Pending

2/13/17 9:05pm NBA Basketball 517 Golden State Warriors/Denver Nuggets Over 239 -110*

$110.00

$100.00

Pending

2/13/17 7:05pm NBA Basketball 501 Philadelphia 76ers +8 -110* <small>vs</small> Charlotte Hornets

[Dirty Sanchez]

That ATS stat is a little misleading since Kansas is rarely this short priced at home (usually double digits requiring a blow out to cover). In fact, tell me how many home games Kansas has won in their last 54 by less than 5 points? You think they are going to lose again tonight? Doubtful.

I didn't say anything about winning outright....I would think living 20 miles from Lawrence that I know about losing at Allen Fieldhouse.

[Cuse0323]

They gave me a one time exception. So, Cuse will lose and CC will beat whoever.

[agendaman]

i bet mostly on gut feeling and do just fine picking winners long winded analyses are irrelevant real top cappers at sbr never post picks p.s.JIBBBY stick to ufc mma ok

[omega]

Rider/Fairfield Under 149

Fairfield is 1-7 at Home for the Over.
Conversely, Rider is 2-10 Away for the Over.

[MJ4thQuarter92]

Rider/Fairfield Under 149

Faiefield is 1-7 at Home for the Over.

But maybe books have adjusted. Maybe those Over/Under totals were in the 150's or higher

[Notorious_Donk]

Now that we have some players who actually post stats/trends, where do you guys get your numbers? I like to use vegasinsider.

[MJ4thQuarter92]

Covers.com

[JIBBBY]

i bet mostly on gut feeling and do just fine picking winners long winded analyses are irrelevant real top cappers at sbr never post picks p.s.JIBBBY stick to ufc mma ok

I bet on trends, stats, match ups, streaks, current play and I do just fine.. I don't bet on feelings and I don't know anyone that does well over time doing just that..

Pro cappers don't post picks often but some do on occasion like me or just reason out other post bets to help others get a grip.. Oh and I'll stick to any part of this forum I like..

Last I checked I'm an SBR PRO and paid my way and earned my keep over the years to post any where I want on SBR, have you?..

[Notorious_Donk]

But maybe books have adjusted. Maybe those Over/Under totals were in the 150's or higher

Most books did not go over 151. They all stayed around 149-151

[MJ4thQuarter92]

Hockey-reference.com
Basketball-reference.com
Pro-football-reference.com
Bbref.com
Teamreankings.com
Covers.com (in case you missed first post)

[Merella]

I bet on NHL mostly and I can't decide on Columbus or NYR so rolling with o5.5 parlayed with Cgy ML

[Jack Hoverkamp]

They gave me a one time exception. So, Cuse will lose and CC will beat whoever.

The one time exception is nonsense. They'll do it almost every time as long as you ask nicely

[Jack Hoverkamp]

I bet on NHL mostly and I can't decide on Columbus or NYR so rolling with o5.5 parlayed with Cgy ML

Not good night for NHL. Tomorrow will be a lot on the card.

[Jack Hoverkamp]

Steam on Tech driving line down before top.

[omega]

But maybe books have adjusted. Maybe those Over/Under totals were in the 150's or higher

Good question, and a logical followup.

In the past 11 Fairfield home games, 8/11 were below 149, 1 was at 149, and the other 2 well exceeded it.
That is a 72% win percentage for the under, 81% for win or push.

In the past 16 away games for Rider, 12/16 were below 149, 1 was at 149, and the other 3 exceeded it.
That is a 75% win percentage for the under, 81.25% for win or push.

While the books did have higher lines, such as 157 or 154 initially, and have been bringing them down, these stats still remain.

----------------

On a sidenote, I think this thread is a fantastic idea and should be done daily. Furthermore, I think posters should be required to post at least some small summary of why they selected that specific play as their Play of the Day.

[DOM_Toretto]

This is a great situational spot for Kansas. West Va hasn't been impressive on the road this year save for a win at UVA, and now they're travelling to the Phog on 1 days rest - these Sat-Mon stacks never favor the road team. Kansas is back home and won't lose 2 in a row at home. Mason should be a little more healthy if anything, as he didn't play a ton of minutes saturday still recovering for being sick. West Va pounded KU in Morgantown when KU was on a back to back WVU-Kentucky trip, but they didn't beat them the Press Virginia way by turnovers for touchdowns. Lately WVU been giving up open looks from 3 and launching way too many themselves - a recipe for disaster in Allen Fieldhouse.

[DOM_Toretto]

Oh and I'd hammer Uconn Women if I could find somewhere to bet them - going for WIN 100 in a row!

[MJ4thQuarter92]

Good question, and a logical followup.

In the past 11 Fairfield home games, 8/11 were below 149, 1 was at 149, and the other 2 well exceeded it.
That is a 72% win percentage for the under, 81% for win or push.

In the past 16 away games for Rider, 12/16 were below 149, 1 was at 149, and the other 3 exceeded it.
That is a 75% win percentage for the under, 81.25% for win or push.

While the books did have higher lines, such as 157 or 154 initially, and have been bringing them down, these stats still remain.

----------------

On a sidenote, I think this thread is a fantastic idea and should be done daily. Furthermore, I think posters should be required to post at least some small summary of why they selected that specific play as their Play of the Day.

Reading stuff like this makes me happy. Good job, man

[Goat Milk]

Jibby Nuggets are banged up, I can't see them scoring 115 points. Curry should be able to handle Jameer Nelson easily and you got Draymond on Jokic. McGee will guard him a bit, but I doubt Draymond lets Jokic go off for 40 on him. Gallo is injured, Chandler is sick, Faried is out, Darrell Arthur is out.... I dunno. Klay Thompson is out too... 240 a lot of points. GL though man.

[Jack Hoverkamp]

Cuse looks dead.

[JIBBBY]

Jibby Nuggets are banged up, I can't see them scoring 115 points. Curry should be able to handle Jameer Nelson easily and you got Draymond on Jokic. McGee will guard him a bit, but I doubt Draymond lets Jokic go off for 40 on him. Gallo is injured, Chandler is sick, Faried is out, Darrell Arthur is out.... I dunno. Klay Thompson is out too... 240 a lot of points. GL though man.

All the reason GS should win and cover as well.. Denver will be able to score big at home regardless.. For GS this should be a layup drill and 3 point contest shoot out. Final score will probably be GS 144 DN 110