If New England covers the ATS> Vegas&industry will be on its knees>

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  • PAULYPOKER
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 12-06-08
    • 36581

    #1
    If New England covers the ATS> Vegas&industry will be on its knees>
    This is certain...
    Matter of fact.
    Most definitely..
    Guaranteed......
    What does Vegas and industry "Ideally" want?
    Atlanta win and the OVER if the game were to start now......

    The OVER and Winner could change through out the day......
    But the ATS will not change enough as NE ATS money is ridiculously one sided.....



    The ATS might push..
    So buying a 1/2 point for who you like would be Ideal....
    Buying ATL to +3.5 and New England down to -2.5 could be a cash cow......
    My reasoning>The line has not budged off of the 3,when it should of raised to 5 or more...

    Teasing them down the middle with "7" point tease would also be a good bet..

    I will update throughout the day until kickoff..........
  • bhoor
    SBR MVP
    • 12-17-12
    • 2256

    #2
    you're doing well in sports betting? You seemed to be spot on more times than not.
    Comment
    • lakerboy
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 04-02-09
      • 94379

      #3
      Pauly the game will end on 3 by ne. Then what?
      Comment
      • PAULYPOKER
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 12-06-08
        • 36581

        #4
        Read my Op.,LB as you clearly did not........
        Comment
        • PAULYPOKER
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 12-06-08
          • 36581

          #5
          Originally posted by bhoor
          you're doing well in sports betting? You seemed to be spot on more times than not.
          SB. very well
          NFL very well unless the Steelers are involved.....
          Comment
          • ChiLLx
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 12-24-11
            • 5412

            #6
            Tease
            NE +4
            Over 51
            Comment
            • rizespor
              SBR MVP
              • 06-21-16
              • 1900

              #7
              Originally posted by lakerboy
              Pauly the game will end on 3 by ne. Then what?
              Not great either. Both teasers cover and everyone that bought off 3 wins too
              Comment
              • PAULYPOKER
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 12-06-08
                • 36581

                #8
                The public as a whole, always plays the ATS.....
                Teasers and bought off 3's are chump change to the ATS......
                Comment
                • CappinTerp
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 11-26-09
                  • 9650

                  #9
                  I agree about ATL. , but not the over !! In the NFL every week ,month, year,including playoffs and SB. Vegas wants the dog and the under to come in.Most bettors,esp. the ones that bet only during the NFL season......a large majority bet the fav. and the over. Vegas gets nicked up a little during a week the most favs. come in and totals go over!!!!!
                  Comment
                  • grease lightnin
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 10-01-12
                    • 16015

                    #10
                    Originally posted by PAULYPOKER
                    This is certain...
                    Matter of fact.
                    Most definitely..
                    Guaranteed......
                    What does Vegas and industry "Ideally" want?
                    Atlanta win and the OVER if the game were to start now......

                    The OVER and Winner could change through out the day......
                    But the ATS will not change enough as NE ATS money is ridiculously one sided.....



                    The ATS might push..
                    So buying a 1/2 point for who you like would be Ideal....
                    Buying ATL to +3.5 and New England down to -2.5 could be a cash cow......
                    My reasoning>The line has not budged off of the 3,when it should of raised to 5 or more...

                    Teasing them down the middle with "7" point tease would also be a good bet..

                    I will update throughout the day until kickoff..........


                    How do you know this? Because you believe they really report accurate numbers about where the action is?
                    Comment
                    • DwightShrute
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 01-17-09
                      • 103420

                      #11
                      Falcons by 7
                      Comment
                      • PAULYPOKER
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 12-06-08
                        • 36581

                        #12
                        lot of $$$ coming in on Atlanta ATS..went from 33% to 43%......
                        Comment
                        • DwightShrute
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 01-17-09
                          • 103420

                          #13
                          Comment
                          • rizespor
                            SBR MVP
                            • 06-21-16
                            • 1900

                            #14
                            Originally posted by PAULYPOKER
                            The public as a whole, always plays the ATS.....
                            Teasers and bought off 3's are chump change to the ATS......
                            Disagree. Public loves buying to -2.5 or +3.5
                            Comment
                            • PAULYPOKER
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 12-06-08
                              • 36581

                              #15
                              you'll never see a teaser in the top 10 plays of the day..
                              Totals are rare to be in top 10 plays.
                              ML's sneak in on heavy fav's.....
                              Comment
                              • calmeat
                                SBR MVP
                                • 05-04-11
                                • 1678

                                #16
                                My sheet is showing ATL 35 NEP 27 So ATL and Over tease it is
                                Comment
                                • MikeyPicks1
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 07-15-16
                                  • 578

                                  #17
                                  How can Vegas need NE when ATL is now -3 -120 at Pinny? Seems counterintuitive to me.
                                  Comment
                                  • PAULYPOKER
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 12-06-08
                                    • 36581

                                    #18
                                    Pinny and all the big books, trying to slow ATL $$$ down, by raising the juice.....
                                    Comment
                                    • Calgunner23
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 01-06-15
                                      • 1357

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by rizespor
                                      Disagree. Public loves buying to -2.5 or +3.5
                                      LOL I bought NE down to -2.5 @ -135
                                      Comment
                                      • PAULYPOKER
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 12-06-08
                                        • 36581

                                        #20
                                        Lol ATL is +3 -123 at pinny........
                                        Comment
                                        • grease lightnin
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 10-01-12
                                          • 16015

                                          #21
                                          I am skeptical about this type of thing but I remember somebody saying sharps were waiting for +3.5 and if they didn't get it they would come in at +3 at some point. Starting to get nervous about my pats bet. Lol
                                          Comment
                                          • PAULYPOKER
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 12-06-08
                                            • 36581

                                            #22
                                            OK ATS is
                                            NE 56.5%---------ATL 43.5%

                                            But it is a 1.6Million $$ difference, just at one book.......

                                            Time stamped at 4:38pm eastern.
                                            Comment
                                            • convick
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 11-03-11
                                              • 3954

                                              #23
                                              Loks like money coming in strong on Atl and under. I have serious doubts that books will need ATL big by time game kicks off. Smart and dumb money will keep pouring in on the falcons ats and ml. They will be pretty balanced imo.
                                              Comment
                                              • paco
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 05-07-09
                                                • 62873

                                                #24
                                                Michael Floyd deactivated for the game
                                                Comment
                                                • PAULYPOKER
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 12-06-08
                                                  • 36581

                                                  #25
                                                  was NE -3 +111 at pinny they keep yo yo ing from + 111 to +108 NE -3
                                                  Comment
                                                  • gauchojake
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 09-17-10
                                                    • 34116

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by paco
                                                    Michael Floyd deactivated for the game
                                                    good

                                                    guy is a cancer
                                                    Comment
                                                    • PAULYPOKER
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 12-06-08
                                                      • 36581

                                                      #27
                                                      NE wins by 2 or 1
                                                      or
                                                      ATL wins by whatever cause it won't matter.......
                                                      Comment
                                                      • DwightShrute
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 01-17-09
                                                        • 103420

                                                        #28
                                                        live sbr odds

                                                        Follow movement in the best NFL odds for every Divisional Round game and latest betting lines throughout the 2024-25 season, including spreads, totals, and futures.
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                                                        • frostno98
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 09-11-07
                                                          • 9769

                                                          #29
                                                          Moneyline is about even. ATL moneyline winner would even out with the heavy action on NE-3.

                                                          This Superbowl is no where close one side as the 2013 Superbowl when everyone took Denver, and last year Superbowl when everyone took Carolina.

                                                          Vegas will do just fine even if New England win.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • PAULYPOKER
                                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                            • 12-06-08
                                                            • 36581

                                                            #30
                                                            Books begging for NE Money............
                                                            Comment
                                                            • PAULYPOKER
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 12-06-08
                                                              • 36581

                                                              #31
                                                              Bet DSI has ATL+3 +100
                                                              Everyone else at -3 -120 besides dimes at-111
                                                              Comment
                                                              • DwightShrute
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 01-17-09
                                                                • 103420

                                                                #32
                                                                loving Falcons ML more and more
                                                                Comment
                                                                • PAULYPOKER
                                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                  • 12-06-08
                                                                  • 36581

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by PAULYPOKER
                                                                  OK ATS is
                                                                  NE 56.5%---------ATL 43.5%

                                                                  But it is a 1.6Million $$ difference, just at one book.......

                                                                  Time stamped at 4:38pm eastern.
                                                                  55% - 45%
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • PAULYPOKER
                                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                    • 12-06-08
                                                                    • 36581

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Books got their ass beat today by NBA and college hoops.......

                                                                    Definitely can't lose on SB........

                                                                    If so, you'll see small books jump ship, fo sure
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • PAULYPOKER
                                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                      • 12-06-08
                                                                      • 36581

                                                                      #35
                                                                      ATL+3 -111 ML +135 tells ya
                                                                      a lot
                                                                      Comment
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