You need a keen eye on line movement and common sense...
You people who include all dawgs in one group with no work as your sample, will lose your ass.
Comment
Alfa1234
SBR MVP
12-19-15
2722
#39
Originally posted by Alfa1234
Prime example right now:
Liverpool wins 50% of their away games in the Premier League this year. This is against teams in the lower part of the league and the top part combined. They are priced at 1.432 at Pinnacle right now to win at Hull and Hull only lost 45% of their home games so far. See the EV in betting against Liverpool? You can bet against them winning at any exchange at a price of 3.0 after commission. Nice +EV and it'll only get better as the game draws closer. This is the case for almost all favourites all the time although most of the times the edge is smaller. The edge is not huge and I understand the reasoning is a bit flawed as Hull is a low ranked team, but it's a positive EV all around anyway as the public is strongly on Liverpool.
