NE -3 vs Atlanta?

[lakerboy]

but wasnt pit an all in play, and your having to borrow to play atl? that doesnt make much sense lb

Sam you don't need to worry so much pal. I always win.

[CanuckG]

Total is 59. Highest in SB history.

[CanuckG]

Hope. Moved out here from Surrey a few months ago.

Good you got out of Surrey. I'm in Burnaby.

[grease lightnin]

Sam you don't need to worry so much pal. I always win.

What's your Super Bowl play?

[astro61200]

Fuk

Tough game

No pick yet

Golly. Can't wait for this one. The Steelers and Packers were locks for you. Will be waiting on the edge of my seat to see who you come up with.

Real play is the over, more free money.

ATL ML if you're feeling good.

[Sam Losco]

Sam you don't need to worry so much pal. I always win.

not worried buddy, you just arent making much sense. bol on whatever you may put on it

[lakerboy]

What's your Super Bowl play?

I'm with the books. ATL ml. Why ask? Don't you just bet the public side on every game? You took GB today right,?

[OTL]

Good you got out of Surrey. I'm in Burnaby.

Cool man. Our first family home was in Burnaby. My older sister was in the same high school as Michael J Fox's sister.

If there were more of us British Columbians on here I'd suggest an SBR mini meet.

[Cuse0323]

I'm gonna flip a coin. ATL heads, NE tails. $500 on ATL ML, or to win $500 on NE ML.

Fck it. Better chance than me picking. Need to find a coin.

[Cuse0323]

Atlanta it is, and the first damn quarter was a Georgia one.

[lakerboy]

Early money coming in on the falcons but books not budging. Pats win by a fg with no time left. Been there done that. Same boring story.

[Cuse0323]

So, where's the line gonna go? Do I jump on Atlanta now, or wait until the Public bets Pats? No clue where this moves, if at all. Ah, GB had such a terrible D. NE does not.

[thetrinity]

Early money coming in on the falcons but books not budging. Pats win by a fg with no time left. Been there done that. Same boring story.

They really going to take a push here

[t-wizzle]

Early money coming in on the falcons but books not budging. Pats win by a fg with no time left. Been there done that. Same boring story.

Thought you took Falcons ml?

[thetrinity]

So, where's the line gonna go? Do I jump on Atlanta now, or wait until the Public bets Pats? No clue where this moves, if at all. Ah, GB had such a terrible D. NE does not.

If they move and New England wins by 3 exactly they are gonna get buried worse than usual.

[astro61200]

So, where's the line gonna go? Do I jump on Atlanta now, or wait until the Public bets Pats? No clue where this moves, if at all. Ah, GB had such a terrible D. NE does not.

And Roethlisberger is terrible on the road.

The public will be on NE because it's NE. They'll probably take some of the over at first, then get scared off when the total gets to 62-63.

[lakerboy]

Thought you took Falcons ml?

I did. Coin flip rule. Always take dog.

[Cuse0323]

You have to be due, shiiiiiiit. I hate the damn Falcons, but ol' gut and coin say ATL though. Fck it.

[t-wizzle]

I did. Coin flip rule. Always take dog.

Yep. Just was confused because you said Pats win in this thread.

[lakerboy]

Yep. Just was confused because you said Pats win in this thread.

They will obviously but I go for value.

[t-wizzle]

They will obviously but I go for value.

Oh I know pal. I like the +125 side as well in this spot. 2 weeks to decide though.

[The Giant]

And just like that, Lakerboy has this thread to bump just in case the Falcons lose.

The guy is always thinking one step ahead.

[odog11]

Brady to win MVP +175 no brainer, HUGE value there.

[astro61200]

Brady to win MVP +175 no brainer, HUGE value there.

Has a losing player ever won the MVP?

[titanium777]

Pats D is underrated, but ATL offense is almost +4ppg above everyone else. ATL defense clicking lately.
Like the under and ATL ML

[steve18]

Here's some early analysis of Super Bowl 51 below:

http://www.cyinterview.com/2017/01/super-bowl-51-atlanta-falcons-vs-new-england-patriots-chris-yandek-gives-his-views/

[shocka1212]

Brady to win MVP +175 no brainer, HUGE value there.

What's the prop on Michael Floyd? Life has a funny way of doing us like that

[shocka1212]

Early money coming in on the falcons but books not budging. Pats win by a fg with no time left. Been there done that. Same boring story.

OT would be great... but too similar to the panthers vs pats Super Bowl. Gonna go all in on New England ML to try and mush them. I don't care what anyone says, for all the praise Brady gets, guy wouldn't have one ring without Billy B... he's the real GOAT in all of this

[Goat Milk]

Nope. $22.

Should just stick to fading you. It would be a hell of a lot more.

Highly doubt it. You only bet$10 per game. I won on the NFL this year like usual. Thanks

"All in" on Pittsburgh, yet you "won on the NFL like usual."

You have become the biggest joke, fade and fraud at SBR, which is saying a lot.

WTF!!! happened here? Apprentice turns on his master. Wow. Huge turn of events. Amazing drama here SBR. Takes me back to 2010. Just when you think this place is dead, something like this happens. Been following this story/journey for years. Happy to see it come to this point.

[odog11]

Has a losing player ever won the MVP?

Yes they have and here Patriots are the better, more experienced, better balanced team with a better coach and more motivation, so finding it really hard to find a legit reason to believe Falcons more likely to win.

[chico2663]

Total is 59. Highest in SB history.

I got at 58.5 so either is moving down or I got it early

[astro61200]

Yes they have and here Patriots are the better, more experienced, better balanced team with a better coach and more motivation, so finding it really hard to find a legit reason to believe Falcons more likely to win.

Can't really disagree more. Falcons are the better team. Offense is leaps and bounds better. Defense is as good, if not better, than NE. NE is more balanced, yes, but that's more because the Falcon's offense is so good their defense can't really keep up. NE has a better coach, yes. Motivation? Get out of here with that garbage. It's the Super Bowl, there is plenty of motivation to go around.

Oh, and before you say how the Patriots defense is good, it's mediocre at best. Sure, it looks good when the last 10 teams you've played are in the bottom half of offense. Now you'll probably say something about the Steelers, but Big Ben is awful on the road (seriously, look it up). Bell got hurt. The Steelers didn't even score a touchdown last week in their win (that was assisted anyway). That's why I was all over the Patriots on Sunday and predicted a blowout (well I termed it ass raping but same difference)

I find it really hard to find a legit reason to take the Patriots. Everything about the Falcons is just better, and they're getting points (though I'll be on the ML). The public will be all over NE because they don't take 5 seconds to look up stats to see their defense is a fraud. They'll be talking about the Patriots for 2 weeks straight.

It's a perfect storm. Falcons spread, Falcons ML, Falcons/Pats over. Take them all individually, win big. Parlay the over and ML to win even bigger.

Time to get paid!

[chico2663]

Last 4 underdogs have won outright.

[astro61200]

New England's last 10 teams played, prior to AFC Champ, offensive rank (YPG)

Divisional: Houston - 29th (out of 32)

Week 17: Miami - 24th (with their backup QB)

Week 16: NY Jets - 26th (with their 3rd string QB)

Week 15: Denver - 27th

Week 14: Baltimore - 17th (gave up 23 points)

Week 13: Los Angeles - 32nd

Week 12: NY Jets - 26th

Week 11: San Francisco - 31st

Week 10: Seattle - 12th (gave up 31 points, lost)

Week 9: Buffalo - 16th


Some real powerhouses in there. Yet then you look at Atlanta's and they faced New Orleans (1st), Seattle (12th), Carolina (19th), Arizona (9th), Tampa Bay (18th), Green Bay (8th), etc.

Falcons have averaged giving up 19.33 points in their last 6 games. Half of those six games came against top 12 offenses: New Orleans (1), Green Bay (8), Seattle (12).

Many were blow outs, which resulted in some garbage TD's.

Atlanta is a staggering 7-1 ATS in road games, 6-2 SU. They're 5-1 ATS as an underdog and 4-2 SU in those games. Atlanta has went over the total in 7 of their last 8 games, with one push in there. They are 15-2-1 O/U/P on the year. They haven't scored LESS than 33 points since a 29-28 loss to KC on December 4th.

They have only been held under 30 points 5 times in their 18 games. They have the regular season MVP. They have the best WR in football. Their defense has played extremely better over the past couple months.

Again, I can't emphasize this enough, the Falcons are going to win and the game is going to go over.

[Goat Milk]

Can't really disagree more. Falcons are the better team. Offense is leaps and bounds better. Defense is as good, if not better, than NE. NE is more balanced, yes, but that's more because the Falcon's offense is so good their defense can't really keep up. NE has a better coach, yes. Motivation? Get out of here with that garbage. It's the Super Bowl, there is plenty of motivation to go around.

Oh, and before you say how the Patriots defense is good, it's mediocre at best. Sure, it looks good when the last 10 teams you've played are in the bottom half of offense. Now you'll probably say something about the Steelers, but Big Ben is awful on the road (seriously, look it up). Bell got hurt. The Steelers didn't even score a touchdown last week in their win (that was assisted anyway). That's why I was all over the Patriots on Sunday and predicted a blowout (well I termed it ass raping but same difference)

I find it really hard to find a legit reason to take the Patriots. Everything about the Falcons is just better, and they're getting points (though I'll be on the ML). The public will be all over NE because they don't take 5 seconds to look up stats to see their defense is a fraud. They'll be talking about the Patriots for 2 weeks straight.

It's a perfect storm. Falcons spread, Falcons ML, Falcons/Pats over. Take them all individually, win big. Parlay the over and ML to win even bigger.

Time to get paid!

You're gonna get buried on everything. Why the hell are you using regular season trends and stats to cap a 1 game elimination winner takes all game? Come on man. ATL won't win this game. Called New England before the season winning it all and I don't lose these types of pre-season predictions. Never.