Guys, I know this is going to sound like psychotic ranting and just simply a gambling problem, but this isn't the worst value moneyline for a big dog I've seen all year.
The Jets simply always play the Patriots tough - no matter the venue, no matter the players. The Jets have some kind of history with the Patriots. I'd definitely be on the Jets side of the spread, but I honestly think there's value in Jets +1000 on the ML here. Let's just review a few small reasons why 10/1 payout is likely still a LOSER, but holds some VALUE in my opinion:
1. New England has locked up the AFC East title and a first-round bye and while they're playing for home field throughout playoffs, there isn't a ton of pressure on them.
2. This is last chance for the Jets to make a statement - they got close to beating NE weeks ago, they may have the confidence to do it again.
3. No Jets-Pats game has been decided by more than seven points since the "Butt fumble" game of Thanksgiving 2012.
4. Coach Todd Bowles was hospitalized Friday and may not be on the sidelines, they could rally around him
And because I really wanted to get value (if you're going to go retard, go full retard) with Jets ML (since I'm only making a small bet), I parlayed it with SF o39 and the KC/Den o37 tomorrow. Sure, it'd take a Christmas miracle, but this is the NFL and I've seen upsets happen from teams that have a far more decisive history than Jets/NE.
Jets +1000, KC o37, SF o39 - risking 1.4 units to win 54.7 units.
Chances are I'm going to take the loss on this one - but regardless, I'm still hoping everyone has a nice holiday
Cheers guys.
IPW1
“It’s going to be a four-quarter game,” Jenkins said. “You can’t take one play off. If you take your foot off the pedal, Brady’s going to be Brady and make something happen in the last four or five minutes of the game like he did last time.”
The Jets simply always play the Patriots tough - no matter the venue, no matter the players. The Jets have some kind of history with the Patriots. I'd definitely be on the Jets side of the spread, but I honestly think there's value in Jets +1000 on the ML here. Let's just review a few small reasons why 10/1 payout is likely still a LOSER, but holds some VALUE in my opinion:
1. New England has locked up the AFC East title and a first-round bye and while they're playing for home field throughout playoffs, there isn't a ton of pressure on them.
2. This is last chance for the Jets to make a statement - they got close to beating NE weeks ago, they may have the confidence to do it again.
3. No Jets-Pats game has been decided by more than seven points since the "Butt fumble" game of Thanksgiving 2012.
4. Coach Todd Bowles was hospitalized Friday and may not be on the sidelines, they could rally around him
And because I really wanted to get value (if you're going to go retard, go full retard) with Jets ML (since I'm only making a small bet), I parlayed it with SF o39 and the KC/Den o37 tomorrow. Sure, it'd take a Christmas miracle, but this is the NFL and I've seen upsets happen from teams that have a far more decisive history than Jets/NE.
Jets +1000, KC o37, SF o39 - risking 1.4 units to win 54.7 units.
Chances are I'm going to take the loss on this one - but regardless, I'm still hoping everyone has a nice holiday
Cheers guys.
IPW1
“It’s going to be a four-quarter game,” Jenkins said. “You can’t take one play off. If you take your foot off the pedal, Brady’s going to be Brady and make something happen in the last four or five minutes of the game like he did last time.”
