Just had a real good discussion with a buddy of mine.
He posed the question what would the line be with Luck starting today, I told him "line is sitting at 8 right now, Luck is a tier one QB, Tolzien hasn't started in three years when he backed up Aaron Rodgers, I'd say Steelers 1.5 favorite, Luck is worth 6.5 points to the Colts offense in this spot"
The he counters with "but the public always overreacts when a star QB goes down, seems like when a star QB goes down the favorite rarely covers."
I was like "I think that might be due to the coaching staff coming up with a game plan to minimize the damage, you know, safe passes with Gore in the backfield, tight end slants, stuff like that, you know Tolzien isn't going to air it out to Hilton and the boys"
I'm not laying the 8 or 9, but if I had to bet it my money would be on Big Ben and Bell, and Brown and the rest of the freaks.
He posed the question what would the line be with Luck starting today, I told him "line is sitting at 8 right now, Luck is a tier one QB, Tolzien hasn't started in three years when he backed up Aaron Rodgers, I'd say Steelers 1.5 favorite, Luck is worth 6.5 points to the Colts offense in this spot"
The he counters with "but the public always overreacts when a star QB goes down, seems like when a star QB goes down the favorite rarely covers."
I was like "I think that might be due to the coaching staff coming up with a game plan to minimize the damage, you know, safe passes with Gore in the backfield, tight end slants, stuff like that, you know Tolzien isn't going to air it out to Hilton and the boys"
I'm not laying the 8 or 9, but if I had to bet it my money would be on Big Ben and Bell, and Brown and the rest of the freaks.
