I get 13.5 points in a rivalry game vs the crappy sooner defense?
Sign me up for the max please
Sign me up for the max please
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You are such a square.
Yes, Vegas is giving you a gift.
Opened the line at +10, and public taking the points because "it's a rivalry game"
Now line is at +13.5.
Do the math
Texas are mess, they got lucky last year, Oklahoma is better, and with revenge. Texas can't even make extra points and you are backing them
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When's the last time oklahoma covered a DD line in this series? Texas sukks but so do the sooners. No defense on these two squads. Take the pointsComment -
69, don't call me a square then hide like a pooossee when texas easily covers. Come back and take your meds like a man tomorrowComment -
The pick:
OKLAHOMA -10 over TEXAS
The angle: Texas is coming unraveled at the exact same time they did last year.
We've seen this song and dance before folks. Last year Texas lost to Cal, lost to OK State and then when the season was on the brink they got BOMBED by TCU 50-7.
Even worse, Texas put everything they had into salvaging the season for a week and won the Red River rivalry 24-17. Oh those were happy times.
Well it is because of that win last year, and the potential unraveling of OK's season, that OK will, like TCU, do their damndest to bomb the Longhorns here. I don't care about home or road or if the game is on Mars. In fact, OK will even be more motivated to do them in in front of their fans.
How do we know Texas is coming unraveled and how can we spot 10 points here? Well for one, I give them zero chance to win outright and win 2 in a row against OK. If you are going to spot 10, be sure the other team can't win the game. I am sure of that to start.
Texas is actually in a worse position than last year. They implemented a new offense where they are running a mind-boggling 85+ plays a game, and they have a true freshman at QB. Folks, Buchele is not winning this game like this and Texas will not cover this spread.
Why? He has not support. The secondary got absolutely shredded by Ok State and Cal and OK will put an even bigger number on them. OK can shread them even worse.
Then you have one half of the Smash Brothers in Warren already declared out and worse, if you saw the last game, Foreman went down with a rib/abdominal injury UNTOUCHED. He just slid to the ground.
Imagine, with OK coming in to embarrass their arch-rivals as their season turns into a dumpster fire, if Foreman goes down as well in this game. Or if he is not 100%. This Buchele kid is not going to lead Texas to a win folks and asking him to cover a TD and a FG is too much.
How do we know Texas has truly lost it?
They missed, get this, THREE extra points last game. Three...in a row. Then on a FG attempt right after the third miss, they hooked it just left after a delay of game penalty (a kick that would have been inside the uprights if not for that penalty).
This is just like the visions of the missed extra point last year against Cal but it's 3 times worse. Their special teams is an abomination and they are manufacturing points off the board. Even worse, one of the extra points was returned for two points. That's -3 + -2 + -3 = -8 points that Texas took away from themselves.
And you are afraid of 10 points here?
In a revenge spot where OK is foaming at the mouth to destroy Charlie and Co. in front of those alums for last year;
Against a Texas team that has given up 1000+ yards and 99 points in their last two coming into the most crucial game of the season;
Against a team with one Smash Brother down and another that may not be 100% (and this is the Longhorn's core);
Against a Texas team that was emptying the playbook last week trying fake punts from their own 30 against OK State;
Against a team that has the Head Coach throwing his Defensive Coordinator under the bus at the worst possible time and now suddenly HE will fix their sieve of a defense;
Against an OK team that also has an atrocious D but, given this rivalry and given last year, will look to stop Texas with intensity on every single play and punish them....
You want to talk about a good running team? Look at OK last week: 260 yards and 5 Td's. Sensational. They'll use that effort again and Mayfield isn't getting sacked 6 times this year like last year.
OU will likely be getting people back this week, including Jonathan Alvarez, Matt Dimon, D.J. Ward and Parrish Cobb.
10 points? If Texas loses by 14 it will be respectable in this spot.
Pass the A-1 sauce. This Longhorn steak....is cooked.
I was leaning taking the points until i read this write up on another site from scalabrine. good luck
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Picking a dog isn't square
Dogs are always sharp plays
Favs are square playaComment -
Oklahoma or no play... Texas is a sinking ship, they are already talking to the next coaching hire(s). The better players are looking for a landing spot. Nobody will be focused on this game.Comment -
It's that kind of logic as to why people go broke. I pick favorites 75%+ of the time, and do just fine. It always makes me laugh when I check the lowest people in BTP annually and see they've, literally, only picked massive dogs each week.Originally posted by stackz125
That said, in this game I believe the only viable play is the over. Both defenses are pretty bad, Texas' being atrocious, and both have good offenses. Any team that can allow Notre Dame to put up 47 has some issues on the defensive end.Comment -
Will it go over 14? gotta start thinking texas at some point if it keeps going upComment -
Texas 2-1 vs oklahoma straight up the last 3. Covered the line in all 3 as a big dog. Here they are again getting huge points.
Did anyone catch how sooners d looked vs hou, Ohio st, tcu? Awful!!!
Longhorns will move the ball all day and keep it closeComment -
Most it goes is 14 imo buy I grabbed 13.5 because I thought it peaked thereOriginally posted by symptomsComment -
Both teams suck, so its a crap shoot. Worst losses OK has had in years and Texas coach is out the door 4 sure with a loss today. That's a big number Texas is getting but the over seems a logical pickComment -
I like the points
fade Bob Stoops at every opportunityComment -
The play is the overComment -
Oklahoma could win this game 64-28.
Texas can't stop anyone.Comment -
Under 73.5 strong taking over play calling of defenseComment -
Texas and Oklahoma is a very even match up. I think the Longhorns win out right in a close one.Comment -
I'm an OU fan and don't think the line makes sense.
OU was a lot better last year and Texas was a lot worse....Texas won.
There is a rumor the Texas QB may be playing through an injury. That could explain the line if true.
I have to think Texas will score points unless Buechelle is hurt.Comment -
Well I guess we know who the refs are on...Comment -
Oklahoma should be -25 guyComment -
in 2011 they won by 38
in 2012 they won by 42
Although, not sure what the lines were those yearsComment -
I usually don't blame refs but some horrible calls against OU in this game so far.Comment -
Strong should not go back to Austin if he loses. He is coaching for his job today.Comment -
Buyout bowl. Losing coach leaves townComment -
the entire ref team on texasComment -
It's amazing how orchestrated this wack job is. These refs should win an Oscar for this performance.Originally posted by senseionlineComment -
It's funny how people forgot Texas was worse last year and were double digit dogs and won outright.Comment -
Oklahoma is so bad, I don't know how Sooner fans stay sooner fansComment -
Love when I take the over and they constantly turn the ball over. penetrating bumsComment -
take that you fuxking refComment -
kNow the feeling. the big is noOriginally posted by astro61200Comment -
Hope you guys that have Texas +13 got OU -3.5 before that last drive. Easy money nowComment -
If you're going to turn it over then do it quickly, don't drive all the way down, blow 5 minutes, then turn it over in the red zone.Originally posted by chico2663
Seems like I lose 5 or 6 overs a year where they account for a ton of yards but turn it over in FG range repeatedly. Sickening.Comment -
starting to heat up. need another 10 this quarterComment -
will buchelle end up being more famous than his dad. Steve played in mlb and is a bench coach with the rangersComment
