One Of Biggest Games Of Year Tonight: Stanford/Washington

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  • jjgold
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 07-20-05
    • 388179

    #1
    One Of Biggest Games Of Year Tonight: Stanford/Washington
    Point Spread stay away from

    It is a money line bet only

    Wash
  • mcdonae101
    SBR MVP
    • 03-02-14
    • 3646

    #2
    Washington, one of my fav plays this week
    Comment
    • TheSideBet
      SBR MVP
      • 08-05-15
      • 2301

      #3
      I went with the Huskies here and all signs point to it being the right play but I just have a weird feeling about it after. Hope this isn't one of those off night games where everything that has happened now doesn't. Small bet but Washington it is.
      Comment
      • Courtesywipe
        SBR MVP
        • 09-02-11
        • 1623

        #4
        Washington = Haven't played anybody yet hence the 4-0 record. QB just a sophomore. They are at home and that's a plus.

        Stanford = Great defense and should be able to hold Huskies run game in check. QB manages game well and we all know about Stanfords run back averaging 8 yards a carry.

        Stanford 32
        Washington 20
        Comment
        • triplecrown333
          SBR MVP
          • 07-13-14
          • 1524

          #5
          agree with above, washington played nobody
          Comment
          • The Kraken
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 12-25-11
            • 28918

            #6
            Coach

            Take the Huskies AROUND THE WORLD

            You know what to do
            Comment
            • l7ustin
              SBR MVP
              • 10-09-08
              • 3914

              #7
              I like stanford.
              They have had the tougher road and will be more prepared for a real opponent

              Should be a good one
              Comment
              • psufan
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 10-05-11
                • 755

                #8
                Stanford is the play is the same reason Wisconsin is the play. The home opponent hasn't played anybody.
                Comment
                • yahoonino
                  SBR MVP
                  • 08-10-07
                  • 2651

                  #9
                  washinton in a blowout,,,,,,35 -13
                  Comment
                  • lakerboy
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 04-02-09
                    • 94379

                    #10
                    Originally posted by psufan
                    Stanford is the play is the same reason Wisconsin is the play. The home opponent hasn't played anybody.
                    Wisky is not the play. They will get pounded.
                    Comment
                    • pilebuck13
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 05-15-15
                      • 17918

                      #11
                      Checking total under might be a play here
                      Comment
                      • psufan
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 10-05-11
                        • 755

                        #12
                        Respect your opinion lakerboy but I disagree. I think its all media and harbaugh hype to make an epic ohio state / michigan showdown. Until they have a quality win I won't give them the benefit of the doubt. The media lovvvesss UM and always never gives Whiskey the benefit of the doubt.
                        Comment
                        • Whoopi
                          SBR Rookie
                          • 06-01-16
                          • 21

                          #13
                          If you're ballsy enough to touch the line, Stanford easily the play. Sketch game though. More comfortable with the over.
                          Comment
                          • jjgold
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 07-20-05
                            • 388179

                            #14
                            It really is not a home game for Wash??
                            Comment
                            • The Kraken
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 12-25-11
                              • 28918

                              #15
                              Originally posted by jjgold
                              It really is not a home game for Wash??
                              Good point Coach

                              Playing in Husky Stadium on the UW campus is pretty much a neutral site
                              Comment
                              • psufan
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 10-05-11
                                • 755

                                #16
                                Yeah Stanford Moneyline is the ballsy play, but I agree, the over is the safer bet..
                                Comment
                                • gauchojake
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 09-17-10
                                  • 34116

                                  #17
                                  I like a very close game. My less sophisticated model shows that Stanford +3 is the play. The more sophisticated model shows a WA win outright. My sources in Costa Rica say WA and my sources in Vefas say Stanford. So the play is...
                                  Comment
                                  • Sam Odom
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 10-30-05
                                    • 58063

                                    #18
                                    Comment
                                    • funnyb25
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 07-09-09
                                      • 39663

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by gauchojake
                                      I like a very close game. My less sophisticated model shows that Stanford +3 is the play. The more sophisticated model shows a WA win outright. My sources in Costa Rica say WA and my sources in Vefas say Stanford. So the play is...
                                      What's Vefas like?
                                      Comment
                                      • Gooleez21
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 08-31-12
                                        • 445

                                        #20
                                        Stanford. Or the under
                                        Comment
                                        • klemopixx
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 10-02-14
                                          • 3807

                                          #21
                                          I don't think Washington can stop the running game of Stanford. I think the Cardinal keep control of the clock and grind the Huskies down. I'm taking Stanford +3 and the ML for the double dip!
                                          Comment
                                          • jjgold
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 07-20-05
                                            • 388179

                                            #22
                                            over???
                                            Comment
                                            • Pickem2win
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 09-16-11
                                              • 978

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by The Kraken
                                              Good point Coach

                                              Playing in Husky Stadium on the UW campus is pretty much a neutral site
                                              ?????? LMAO!! Are you drunk? How is this a neutral site?
                                              Comment
                                              • PaperTrail07
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 08-29-08
                                                • 20423

                                                #24
                                                Colorado would have taken Mich to the wire if the QB didnt get hurt...
                                                Originally posted by psufan
                                                Stanford is the play is the same reason Wisconsin is the play. The home opponent hasn't played anybody.
                                                Comment
                                                • PaperTrail07
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 08-29-08
                                                  • 20423

                                                  #25
                                                  Wash beats Stanford Good for them lol...Stanford is proven SOLID all around...
                                                  Comment
                                                  • funnyb25
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 07-09-09
                                                    • 39663

                                                    #26
                                                    Big big day tomorrow...
                                                    Comment
                                                    • KVB
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 05-29-14
                                                      • 74817

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by gauchojake
                                                      I like a very close game. My less sophisticated model shows that Stanford +3 is the play. The more sophisticated model shows a WA win outright. My sources in Costa Rica say WA and my sources in Vefas say Stanford. So the play is...
                                                      Not bad gaucho, now let's put some numbers behind it.

                                                      Unsophisticated bettors do see Stanford here in a few different ways. Most notably, the line I create that addresses a public gauge and is non-predictive gives Stanford a 27-20 win.

                                                      As we change the metrics and get more sophisticated I produce a line with Washington winning 35-20, triggering a play on Washington and the OVER. That won't always win, but it's likely the sharpest forecast you'll see posted today.

                                                      Can't get into the pressures on the line right now except to say that the opening spread and subsequent movement are in line with these predictions.

                                                      Can't say the same for the Total, we'll see what moves before game time.



                                                      Why make the first line?...I maintain that if you know why the line opens where it does and moves to where it moves you will go a long way towards being successful long term.

                                                      Good Luck on the Washington winner.

                                                      Comment
                                                      • PaperTrail07
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 08-29-08
                                                        • 20423

                                                        #28
                                                        Well when I adjust my algorithm with today's humidity and temp===it shows Stanford winning by 1......Late FG.....I'll have to add in the line movement, carry the 1, talk to my uncle vinny, then get the final # for everyone---STAY TUNED
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Philmill
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 09-30-11
                                                          • 4275

                                                          #29
                                                          washington ml
                                                          Comment
                                                          • H-Diesel503
                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                            • 11-21-09
                                                            • 280

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by The Kraken
                                                            Good point Coach

                                                            Playing in Husky Stadium on the UW campus is pretty much a neutral site
                                                            Very wrong about that. Seattle supports their teams well. I've been for several Oregon UW games and the crowd was very loud and very much in to it. Stanford the play tho. Arizona exposed how soft the UW Rush defense is and Stanford has proven they have solid pass def. the opposing qb qbr for their games were solid. Stanford wins in a classic Power run game and mcaffeey racks up some yards.

                                                            UW fake.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • unde0087
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 03-27-08
                                                              • 28956

                                                              #31
                                                              Biggest games of the year

                                                              Neither team will be in the hunt by week 12
                                                              Comment
                                                              • The Hat
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 09-24-16
                                                                • 676

                                                                #32
                                                                Wash 30-20
                                                                Comment
                                                                • ATLIEN6
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 01-15-16
                                                                  • 1472

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Over 44.5
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • funnyb25
                                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                    • 07-09-09
                                                                    • 39663

                                                                    #34
                                                                    It's one of the biggest games of the evening. That's for sure.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • TheMoneyShot
                                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                      • 02-14-07
                                                                      • 28672

                                                                      #35
                                                                      A lot of Stanford plays here.
                                                                      Comment
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