TB @ ATL OVER 47.5
So far this is my favorite bet in Week 1. I recognize that 3 of the last 4 matchups between these teams went under this number, but I see this easily going over this weekend.
Matt Ryan (& Julio) have excelled vs the Bucs. Matty Ice has averaged 27/36 for 293 yards over the past 4 meetings with the Bucs. TB defense hasn't improved enough to change that.
On the other side, Jameis Winston only had 28 attempts in each of the matchups last year. I think he's grown & improved a lot, and has a better connection with Evans. He should get the green light to sling it more and score more against an ATL defense now starting 2 rookie linebackers and a rookie corner. It looks like Trufant will stay on the left side, giving Evans a favorable matchup vs a rookie cb or below avg Alford - and a nice 8" height advantage for Evans either way.
Dome conditions will allow for vertical passing and field goals to run the scores up.
So far this is my favorite bet in Week 1. I recognize that 3 of the last 4 matchups between these teams went under this number, but I see this easily going over this weekend.
Matt Ryan (& Julio) have excelled vs the Bucs. Matty Ice has averaged 27/36 for 293 yards over the past 4 meetings with the Bucs. TB defense hasn't improved enough to change that.
On the other side, Jameis Winston only had 28 attempts in each of the matchups last year. I think he's grown & improved a lot, and has a better connection with Evans. He should get the green light to sling it more and score more against an ATL defense now starting 2 rookie linebackers and a rookie corner. It looks like Trufant will stay on the left side, giving Evans a favorable matchup vs a rookie cb or below avg Alford - and a nice 8" height advantage for Evans either way.
Dome conditions will allow for vertical passing and field goals to run the scores up.
