Early exit in the Olympics, she should be a force to be reckoned with today, right?
Or should I steer clear?
Any info greatly appreciated.
funnyb25
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
07-09-09
39663
#2
She is a lock tonight
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unde0087
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
03-27-08
28956
#3
First off, there is no such thing as a lock, and secondly, betting that kind of juice you might as well call your book and tell them to just keep your money. They will have it soon enough anyways
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BigBusiness
SBR MVP
09-16-12
3226
#4
Originally posted by unde0087
First off, there is no such thing as a lock, and secondly, betting that kind of juice you might as well call your book and tell them to just keep your money. They will have it soon enough anyways
Yeah but this is purely a situational bet. Embarrassing early exit from the olympics. No way she loses early in the us open as well.
She wants to show everyone it was a fluke and you just know she's going to be at the top of her game tonight. Might have to take the chance here......
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unde0087
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
03-27-08
28956
#5
Originally posted by BigBusiness
Yeah but this is purely a situational bet. Embarrassing early exit from the olympics. No way she loses early in the wimbeldon as well.
She should be at the top of her game tonight and has something to prove.
Guy, you asked, I am just telling you, even if she will win 99.9999% of the time betting that juice it's a loser. You get more out of it by not playing. Betting massive ml will never be worth it because you have to wager way too much for zero return and if she loses then you just wagered most of your bankroll, all because You thought she can't lose. Too me it's fukin stupid, just my 2 cents. GL to you if you pull the trigger.
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BigBusiness
SBR MVP
09-16-12
3226
#6
Originally posted by unde0087
Guy, you asked, I am just telling you, even if she will win 99.9999% of the time betting that juice it's a loser. You get more out of it by not playing. Betting massive ml will never be worth it because you have to wager way too much for zero return and if she loses then you just wagered most of your bankroll, all because You thought she can't lose. Too me it's fukin stupid, just my 2 cents. GL to you if you pull the trigger.
Yes, I know and I very rarely bet lines this steep. The last time was 4 years ago I believe. I know nothing is a lock when it comes to sports, but this seems like a really good spot to take a chance.
Thanks for your insight by the way.
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jjgold
SBR Aristocracy
07-20-05
388179
#7
Her real
Line is -110 every match now due to age and injuries
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JohnnyRudeboy
SBR MVP
11-30-09
1646
#8
Originally posted by jjgold
Her real
Line is -110 every match now due to age and injuries
And hormonal imbalances
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GoBlue77
SBR Hall of Famer
03-20-11
9166
#9
line had been dropping ever since released. id bet macaroni just for value sake
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BigBusiness
SBR MVP
09-16-12
3226
#10
fckk it I'm tired of thinking about it.
I've locked on to Serena.
Good luck to everyone involved
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BigBusiness
SBR MVP
09-16-12
3226
#11
Her sister just won, she be even more motivation to get this win.
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DrunkHorseplayer
SBR Hall of Famer
05-15-10
7719
#12
Originally posted by unde0087
Guy, you asked, I am just telling you, even if she will win 99.9999% of the time betting that juice it's a loser. You get more out of it by not playing. Betting massive ml will never be worth it because you have to wager way too much for zero return and if she loses then you just wagered most of your bankroll, all because You thought she can't lose. Too me it's fukin stupid, just my 2 cents. GL to you if you pull the trigger.
This is 100% wrong. if you believe she's 90% to win then -515 is superb value. Value does exist on chalk, albeit not nearly as often as on dogs.
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unde0087
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
03-27-08
28956
#13
Originally posted by DrunkHorseplayer
This is 100% wrong. if you believe she's 90% to win then -515 is superb value. Value does exist on chalk, albeit not nearly as often as on dogs.
Agree to disagree.
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BigBusiness
SBR MVP
09-16-12
3226
#14
Originally posted by DrunkHorseplayer
This is 100% wrong. if you believe she's 90% to win then -515 is superb value. Value does exist on chalk, albeit not nearly as often as on dogs.
I believe there is GREAT value in tonight's serena. Early exit from olympics, wants to shut up all of the critics, her sister just won her match, she should come out motivated and on her game.
Got it at an even 500 at bookmaker by the way!
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Boner_18
SBR Hall of Famer
08-24-08
8301
#15
Originally posted by DrunkHorseplayer
This is 100% wrong. if you believe she's 90% to win then -515 is superb value. Value does exist on chalk, albeit not nearly as often as on dogs.
Originally posted by unde0087
Agree to disagree.
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mighty maron
SBR MVP
04-20-09
4215
#16
I can see Serena going the way and weight of Aretha Franklin 7 years after retirement
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BigBusiness
SBR MVP
09-16-12
3226
#17
Have a good night everyone!
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Pingpong4590
SBR Rookie
07-23-16
2
#18
Nice call
Haters gon hate
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RudyRuetigger
SBR Aristocracy
08-24-10
65084
#19
Originally posted by Boner_18
there is nothing wrong with unde's advice. I don't share it in this instance, but everyone agrees with him... at some (input fav) odds they wouldn't bet even though the value is there.
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BigBusiness
SBR MVP
09-16-12
3226
#20
Originally posted by Pingpong4590
Nice call
Haters gon hate
Thx man! Like I said, it's extremely rare that I bet a line like this. It's been years, but the line should have been set around -1000 to -1200.
-500 was too good to pass up after an epic early collapse in the olympics.
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funnyb25
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
07-09-09
39663
#21
Like I said in Post #2....she was a lock tonight...good simple cash..
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jjgold
SBR Aristocracy
07-20-05
388179
#22
Good call
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lebronjordan
SBR Rookie
08-27-16
10
#23
one thing she doesn't do is lose 1st rounds at grand slams