I hate unders, but....

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  • BriGuy
    SBR MVP
    • 12-06-11
    • 1556

    #1
    I hate unders, but....
    .... geez, I don't see them putting up 63 in Australia this Friday night for Cal-Hawaii. New QB for Cal... plus they have a good defense; I wouldn't be surprised to see Hawaii in the single digits.
  • xKMACKx
    SBR MVP
    • 11-16-08
    • 1274

    #2
    Agreed. Surprised it's not 56 or 55.
    Comment
    • crackerjack
      SBR MVP
      • 08-01-06
      • 3366

      #3
      Seems like this is a great opportunity for an easy hedge. Bet the under and cal -20.5. I can't see how both lose. Both could win and at worst you'll pay juice. If the over hits it's because of Cal. I don't think Hawaii scores 20 points...
      Comment
      • BriGuy
        SBR MVP
        • 12-06-11
        • 1556

        #4
        ..................aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa aaaaaaaaaaaand that's why I hate unders so much.

        Average possession: 1:05 - TDs
        Comment
        • BigBusiness
          SBR MVP
          • 09-16-12
          • 3226

          #5
          Comment
          • SandMan25
            SBR High Roller
            • 02-22-16
            • 109

            #6
            Originally posted by BriGuy
            .... geez, I don't see them putting up 63 in Australia this Friday night for Cal-Hawaii. New QB for Cal... plus they have a good defense; I wouldn't be surprised to see Hawaii in the single digits.

            Neither Cal or Hawaii have a good defense. lol. Not sure what kind of capping you did before this game.
            Comment
            • kidcudi92
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 12-14-11
              • 15434

              #7
              Originally posted by crackerjack
              Seems like this is a great opportunity for an easy hedge. Bet the under and cal -20.5. I can't see how both lose. Both could win and at worst you'll pay juice. If the over hits it's because of Cal. I don't think Hawaii scores 20 points...



              Comment
              • jjgold
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 07-20-05
                • 388179

                #8
                It's so hard to bet unders in college football anymore
                Comment
                • 3runhomer
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 08-23-10
                  • 422

                  #9
                  Yeah...just not worth the attempt anymore
                  Comment
                  • agendaman
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-01-11
                    • 3733

                    #10
                    51-31 and -20,5 no good nice start to season eh ok on sat, just bet tennessee and cash
                    Comment
                    • WiscoBets
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 06-11-13
                      • 318

                      #11
                      life is too short to bet the under.
                      Comment
                      • crackerjack
                        SBR MVP
                        • 08-01-06
                        • 3366

                        #12
                        I don't think it's betting the under that was the problem. It's not knowing how these teams would perform in the first week of the season. Hawaii had a really bad offense last year, against teams worse than Cal. They outperformed expectations by a lot.

                        In an average week, what's the split of overs vs unders? 50/50? If it's consistently much higher than that then I agree betting unders is not worth it. Anyone know what the split is?
                        Comment
                        • crackerjack
                          SBR MVP
                          • 08-01-06
                          • 3366

                          #13
                          I liked under 63.5 and loved it at 66.5. I lost this bet bad and am disappointed. But the totals become inflated because of games like this. Hawaii averaged 17 points a game last year. They won't put up 31 again all season probably...
                          Comment
                          • BigdaddyQH
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 07-13-09
                            • 19530

                            #14
                            It is hard to see why anyone would take the under considering that Hawaii returned 9 starters on offense, and Cal only 5 on defense. Do your homework and stop trying to use logic that is not there. Cal's defense gave up 31 ppg last season and that was the lowest in 3 years. Hawaii's defense gave up 36. That adds up to 67.
                            Comment
                            • Buffalo Nickle
                              SBR MVP
                              • 11-12-14
                              • 3228

                              #15
                              Originally posted by BigdaddyQH
                              It is hard to see why anyone would take the under considering that Hawaii returned 9 starters on offense, and Cal only 5 on defense. Do your homework and stop trying to use logic that is not there. Cal's defense gave up 31 ppg last season and that was the lowest in 3 years. Hawaii's defense gave up 36. That adds up to 67.
                              Now you tell them.
                              Comment
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