Was This A Stupid Bet

[YellowCurious]

I bet a baseball prop that Cleveland and Toronto would go to extra innings. I got +825 if they do go extras. I figured it was worth a shot. I've never hit one of these extra innings bets. I was wondering if this is a stupid bet. I have done several of them and have never won. But it looks real tempting. I just bet $20 on this prop though.

[funnyb25]

It's a gamble for sure, but sometimes they hit..good luck

[Waterstpub87]

Extra-Inning Rates, By League

Years	AL	NL
1914-1972	9.59%	9.76%
1973-2013	8.56%	9.74%

This is a table from Baseball times. Assuming the percentages are applicable in this case, you should have gotten +1069 or so. Based on the odds you were given, it would indicate a 10.81%. So you had roughly a -2.25% hold.

This was not a good bet.

[biggie12]

Extra-Inning Rates, By League

Years	AL	NL
1914-1972	9.59%	9.76%
1973-2013	8.56%	9.74%

This is a table from Baseball times. Assuming the percentages are applicable in this case, you should have gotten +1069 or so. Based on the odds you were given, it would indicate a 10.81%. So you had roughly a -3.25% hold.

This was not a good bet.

Great avatar pic bud

[juicername]

Extra-Inning Rates, By League

Years	AL	NL
1914-1972	9.59%	9.76%
1973-2013	8.56%	9.74%

This is a table from Baseball times. Assuming the percentages are applicable in this case, you should have gotten +1069 or so. Based on the odds you were given, it would indicate a 10.81%. So you had roughly a -3.25% hold.

This was not a good bet.

Great data, but that also takes games where there's an expected blowout winner. A game with Kershaw at -250 is obv less likely to go to extra innings. If you could filter it for games with a favorite of -130 or less it would be more interesting.

[Waterstpub87]

Great data, but that also takes games where there's an expected blowout winner. A game with Kershaw at -250 is obv less likely to go to extra innings. If you could filter it for games with a favorite of -130 or less it would be more interesting.

Certainly true. The article is below. Cleveland closed at like -120, so I don't think it would be that massive a change from the norm. The total matters as well.

http://www.hardballtimes.com/beyond-the-ninth-inning/

[jjgold]

nothing stupid

In gambling anything possible

[Darkside Magick]

Not stupid after all...nice cash!

[Waterstpub87]

Nice Hit!. Thought you meant the game yesterday.

[actiondan]

Booya

[adila1401]

[YellowCurious]

I think I may take a shot again with this prop on one of the night games too