Riding the thunder train into the finals tonight

44 Mag · 05-26-16, 09:20 AM

Originally posted by lakerboy

Historically in this spot State is the play but I can't back them. They are completely gassed. Okc Is just too dominant and have so many advantages all Over the court. Donovan will keep pressing the right buttons. The urgency is huge. Okc Closes out the champs.

Okc ml +295(3x) +7.5-108(5x)

Okc ml +256(2x) first half.

GL man. It will be a nice pay day .

BIGDAY · 05-26-16, 09:41 AM

Let's cash.

louielouie · 05-26-16, 10:38 AM

Good luck I think you got the right side

intermission · 05-26-16, 10:40 AM

Damn I think GSW roll here but I don't want to fade LB...guess ill pass on this game

gauchojake · 05-26-16, 10:43 AM

jjgold · 05-26-16, 11:02 AM

I took Golden State -7 1/2 I'm fading the big man tonight

KuLaPhU · 05-26-16, 11:22 AM

Golden state will give some money back that you lost this series..

Jaak Varblane · 05-26-16, 11:37 AM

Going to follow Laker. Tsonga is probably giving me a good ammount of money in a few minutes (livebet) and I'm going to put half of the profit on OKC ML and the other half on the line.
+ guys, Golden State hasn't been in a situation like that for their past two successful years.
They're going to choke under the pressure. I got nothing against them, but they have clearly been outplayed.

LET'S ROLL

KRIT · 05-26-16, 12:31 PM

I think GS has one last push in them. Deep down inside Thunder know they can finish them off on their homecourt in game 6.

lakerboy · 05-26-16, 12:38 PM

Gs should be -8 at least here. They opened -6.5. Like I said historically state is the play but I'm not backing a team who is scared stiff. Okc is in their heads. Okc can score anytime and they get multiple chances all the time. This is a complete mismatch.

KVB · 05-26-16, 12:48 PM

Good Luck Laker.

At this point everything is so inflated with the recent game results that a lot of the numbers seem out of line.

My forecasts have had OKC winning the last few games and, even though GSW is at home and motivations seem high, I still get OKC winning the game by nearly ten points in about a 222 point game.

It's not unusual for my lines to vary from the market, sometimes by a lot (not always of course). I can understand why my line varies so much this time but even taking a level of regressed playoff factors into account, I still get OKC winning the game.

Less sophisticated and non predictive numbers that are relying on irrelevant (or only slightly less relevant) statistics still arrive at a GSW win and, combined with the public playing them we see a bit of a balance around 7 or 8.

This line should be lower and is only this high because of a bit of what we used to call in the equity world irrational exuberance...the pressure on GSW to win at home.

In my opinion, win or lose, there is value in your play LB.

lakerboy · 05-26-16, 12:52 PM

Thx KVB

t-wizzle · 05-26-16, 12:55 PM

Originally posted by lakerboy

Gs should be -8 at least here. They opened -6.5. Like I said historically state is the play but I'm not backing a team who is scared stiff. Okc is in their heads. Okc can score anytime and they get multiple chances all the time. This is a complete mismatch.

Opening line was telling to me. It should have opened 7 or 7.5.

blackHIPPY · 05-26-16, 12:57 PM

im dying w gs
then im dying w cavs in finals

lakerboy · 05-26-16, 01:01 PM

Originally posted by blackHIPPY

im dying w gs
then im dying w cavs in finals

Been nice knowing you ni gs

blackHIPPY · 05-26-16, 01:04 PM

Originally posted by lakerboy

Been nice knowing you ni gs

you tole me take okc last game and i didnt listen too

Hangoverblack · 05-26-16, 01:04 PM

I really don't see this. Golden State will be absolutely determined not to lose on their home court. Team had enough such determination to win 73 times. Lay the points on this one.

JTM · 05-26-16, 01:08 PM

LB, thoughts on the total? I'm loving the idea of a parlay with OKC ML + Over.

lakerboy · 05-26-16, 01:11 PM

Under bro

Antibet · 05-26-16, 01:24 PM

597189315-1
1

2:48pm 25-May-16

Parlay

4-Team Parlay.

89.35

1,168.37

Pending

1.	Win 25-May	Basketball/NBA	(Handicap)	Toronto Raptors vs Cleveland Cavaliers (-11) for Game (-108)	78 - 116
2.	Win 25-May	Basketball/NBA	(Total Points)	Toronto Raptors/Cleveland Cavaliers (U 196.5) for Game (-105)	78 - 116
3.	26-May-16	Basketball/NBA	(Handicap)	Oklahoma City Thunder vs Golden State Warriors (-7) for Game (-109)	Pending
4.	26-May-16	Basketball/NBA	(Total Points)	Oklahoma City Thunder/Golden State Warriors (U 220.5) for Game (-105)	Pending

The Giant · 05-26-16, 02:02 PM

Originally posted by KVB

Good Luck Laker.

At this point everything is so inflated with the recent game results that a lot of the numbers seem out of line.

My forecasts have had OKC winning the last few games and, even though GSW is at home and motivations seem high, I still get OKC winning the game by nearly ten points in about a 222 point game.

It's not unusual for my lines to vary from the market, sometimes by a lot (not always of course). I can understand why my line varies so much this time but even taking a level of regressed playoff factors into account, I still get OKC winning the game.

Less sophisticated and non predictive numbers that are relying on irrelevant (or only slightly less relevant) statistics still arrive at a GSW win and, combined with the public playing them we see a bit of a balance around 7 or 8.

This line should be lower and is only this high because of a bit of what we used to call in the equity world irrational exuberance...the pressure on GSW to win at home.

In my opinion, win or lose, there is value in your play LB.

Originally posted by lakerboy

Thx KVB

I don't know why, but these two posts back to back made me laugh.

Anyway, good luck tonight, lakerboy. I'm sitting this one out and anticipating a hammer type situation in a potential game six.

BiTeMe UsAdOj · 05-26-16, 02:13 PM

Originally posted by KVB

Good Luck Laker.

At this point everything is so inflated with the recent game results that a lot of the numbers seem out of line.

My forecasts have had OKC winning the last few games and, even though GSW is at home and motivations seem high, I still get OKC winning the game by nearly ten points in about a 222 point game.

It's not unusual for my lines to vary from the market, sometimes by a lot (not always of course). I can understand why my line varies so much this time but even taking a level of regressed playoff factors into account, I still get OKC winning the game.

Less sophisticated and non predictive numbers that are relying on irrelevant (or only slightly less relevant) statistics still arrive at a GSW win and, combined with the public playing them we see a bit of a balance around 7 or 8.

This line should be lower and is only this high because of a bit of what we used to call in the equity world irrational exuberance...the pressure on GSW to win at home.

In my opinion, win or lose, there is value in your play LB.

Originally posted by lakerboy

Thx KVB

Originally posted by The Giant

I don't know why, but these two posts back to back made me laugh.

Let me explain your laughter, then, on a psychological level:

KVB · 05-26-16, 02:18 PM

The Giant · 05-26-16, 02:18 PM

Originally posted by BiTeMe UsAdOj

Let me explain your laughter, then, on a psychological level:

Yes!

That reminded me of when Costanza was looking for an Amazon woman.

lakerboy · 05-26-16, 02:19 PM

Originally posted by The Giant

I don't know why, but these two posts back to back made me laugh.

Anyway, good luck tonight, lakerboy. I'm sitting this one out and anticipating a hammer type situation in a potential game six.

Thx Giant. I don't have the patience for a game that might not happen and if it does I can just double up.

Antibet · 05-26-16, 02:24 PM

Originally posted by The Giant

I don't know why, but these two posts back to back made me laugh.

Hey, you suck. All people like you do here is laughing at other people's misfortune. This should not be tolerated in our family like community. I'm going to contact the Management and get your account deactivated.

The Giant · 05-26-16, 02:32 PM

Originally posted by Antibet

Hey, you suck. All people like you do here is laughing at other people's misfortune. This should not be tolerated in our family like community. I'm going to contact the Management and get your account deactivated.

Stop.

Seaweed · 05-26-16, 02:35 PM

I am on GS Team Total Over

Antibet · 05-26-16, 02:36 PM

Originally posted by The Giant

Stop.

You can't stop me. I'm unstoppable.

BiTeMe UsAdOj · 05-26-16, 02:37 PM

Originally posted by Antibet

Hey, you suck. All people like you do here is laughing at other people's misfortune. This should not be tolerated in our family like community. I'm going to contact the Management and get your account deactivated.

NyanCat · 05-26-16, 02:42 PM

Originally posted by lakerboy

Historically in this spot State is the play but I can't back them. They are completely gassed. Okc Is just too dominant and have so many advantages all Over the court. Donovan will keep pressing the right buttons. The urgency is huge. Okc Closes out the champs.

Okc ml +295(3x) +7.5-108(5x)

Okc ml +256(2x) first half.

Love it!

let's get it

BiTeMe UsAdOj · 05-26-16, 02:52 PM

I'll go on record... Dubs win this game

BUT, like The Giant, I'll be sitting this one out... as laying the pts is iffy and I personally view the Dubs ML as unplayable

So... GL TO ALL WITH YOUR WAGERS... and let's enjoy what should be a helluva game

Fernburn74 · 05-26-16, 06:34 PM

LB i love GS 1q and then after that OKC keeps close covers and might even win game !!!!

but GS 1q home court and fans and pissed off come out strong

FH -5.5 anf game 7-7.5 tells me first q cover state aND THEN OKC KEEPS THIS CLOSE

TheHaus · 05-26-16, 06:47 PM

laker you must bet okc-21 +6000