Boston beaten down and worn out from this tough Hawk team
Boston does not have enough offense to win again..nice run
vividjohn45
SBR Hall of Famer
11-21-10
6331
#2
Yah but home tm is 5-0 in this series so its a hard trend to buck.
Comment
jjgold
SBR Aristocracy
07-20-05
388179
#3
Boston played over their heads at home
Thomas a ball hog nice player bu he needs more help next year
Atlanta -2
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lakerboy
SBR Aristocracy
04-02-09
94379
#4
-2 is not good. Game will go to the wire.
Comment
BIGDAY
SBR Aristocracy
02-17-10
48245
#5
Tough to say.
Staying the fawk away from this game.
Comment
Smoke
SBR Aristocracy
10-09-09
48111
#6
Originally posted by BIGDAY
Tough to say.
Staying the fawk away from this game.
Pound the winner
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WildCelticsFan
SBR Hall of Famer
05-19-14
5420
#7
Bet the team that is losing at half
Comment
jjgold
SBR Aristocracy
07-20-05
388179
#8
I see Atlanta by 8
Team is way better if you watch the games
Comment
WASAAB
SBR High Roller
10-05-15
115
#9
Hawks win this game
Comment
vividjohn45
SBR Hall of Famer
11-21-10
6331
#10
Originally posted by jjgold
Boston played over their heads at home
Thomas a ball hog nice player bu he needs more help next year
Atlanta -2
Yeah. I know u had atlanta +2. In game 4 and got burned on the last second shot. As game went ot. Im concerned about a close game 6 as boston has nothing else left and at home but isiahs ankle was swollen yesterday. . Ill parlay cubs ml. And atlanta ml its even money. Good luck jj.
Comment
CanuckG
SBR Posting Legend
12-23-10
21978
#11
Originally posted by BIGDAY
Tough to say.
Staying the fawk away from this game.
Let me know so we can fade.
Comment
jjgold
SBR Aristocracy
07-20-05
388179
#12
Boston had their lucky wins and it's all over tonight
Comment
BIGDAY
SBR Aristocracy
02-17-10
48245
#13
Originally posted by CanuckG
Let me know so we can fade.
Hawks win by 2
Comment
f1ori5
SBR High Roller
04-13-16
118
#14
I think that this game is going to be under. It s too important for both teams not to play good defense. What do you think?
Comment
iloseagain
Restricted User
06-29-10
10681
#15
Originally posted by f1ori5
I think that this game is going to be under. It s too important for both teams not to play good defense. What do you think?
Definitely under
also think hawks close it out
Comment
Grits n' Gravy
Restricted User
06-10-10
13024
#16
Bad matchup for Boston. If they don't lose tonight, they will lose game 7.
Comment
TheMoneyShot
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
02-14-07
28672
#17
Originally posted by BIGDAY
Tough to say.
Staying the fawk away from this game.
Originally posted by CanuckG
Let me know so we can fade.
Originally posted by BIGDAY
Hawks win by 2
I wouldn't fade. BigDay has the winner here.
Comment
f1ori5
SBR High Roller
04-13-16
118
#18
Originally posted by iloseagain
Definitely under
also think hawks close it out
I am waiting for the live game for ML bets but the under looks pretty good. nice call ilose yesterday for that warriors game. keep rollin
Comment
KVB
SBR Aristocracy
05-29-14
74817
#19
Originally posted by BIGDAY
Hawks win by 2
Hawks could win by one and fuk a bunch of tickets. I'm seeing the Boston backers buying the upset purely, since last night while the Atlanta backers don't mind the spread.
A lot of irrelevant stats are giving Boston too much credit which is contributing to the lower line. Even, given the current lineup for Boston, we can see many non-predictive yet often followed numbers still give the Boston Celtics an actual win here.
If we get more sophisticated we can see Atlanta winning this game by anywhere from 7 point to 14 points.
If we add a layer of playoff metrics to sharpen the line we get a game with Atlanta winning by double digits.
The books have a bit of money split here, and with Thomas still listed, as far as I know, as probable Boston is getting more credit in the marketplace than the public may realize. To seasoned gamblers, probable pretty much means he’s in and it should be handicapped as such.
Boston losing by only one point is most certainly in the cards tonight.
Comment
lakerboy
SBR Aristocracy
04-02-09
94379
#20
Kvb have a beer bro
Comment
KVB
SBR Aristocracy
05-29-14
74817
#21
Originally posted by f1ori5
I think that this game is going to be under. It s too important for both teams not to play good defense. What do you think?
Originally posted by iloseagain
Definitely under...
As lines get more sophisticated they, for the most part, go up from just over 200 to more sophisticated predictions yielding 207 to 208 points.
Many sources show that the tickets representing public opinion are essentially split on the number but it is no surprise that the line moved from the opener of 197 to 199 and above.
On top of that, I can identify certain groups, influential to say the least, seeking the Over based on a different set of handicapping metrics.
In a contrarian type conclusion, this type of alignment combined with the evidence indicating there isn't a clear, valid edge to be found at these prices for the Under could spell disaster for the Over.
The Under just might be a good bet tonight but I would suggest getting the best line possible with 199.5. While there is certain pressure on the Over that could lead to a near game time adjustment in the line, I’m not sure that adjustment will actually raise the line. It’s a market behavior I don’t want to get into now; except to offer that Under backers should get 199.5 and not worry about later movement.
Good Luck
Comment
KVB
SBR Aristocracy
05-29-14
74817
#22
Originally posted by lakerboy
Kvb have a beer bro
Comment
CanuckG
SBR Posting Legend
12-23-10
21978
#23
Hawks by 1 would be the best case scenario probably.
Comment
jjgold
SBR Aristocracy
07-20-05
388179
#24
good stuff men
lots of details
I wonder why I fukkin lose
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IBetYou
SBR Hall of Famer
07-03-15
8158
#25
kvb u don't half talk a load of shit
I liked the hawks until i saw the line. Celtics are a resourceful group. If thomas is OK they have another good effort in 'em.
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jayhawks718
SBR High Roller
03-11-16
160
#26
I like it!!!
Comment
UncleChael
SBR MVP
10-30-13
3979
#27
The Hawks never wrap it, they just go in raw.
Comment
iloseagain
Restricted User
06-29-10
10681
#28
Originally posted by IBetYou
I liked the hawks until i saw the line. Celtics are a resourceful group.
Exactly WHY i like the hawks.. And I'm a celts fan
Comment
IBetYou
SBR Hall of Famer
07-03-15
8158
#29
Originally posted by iloseagain
Exactly WHY i like the hawks.. And I'm a celts fan
I might have guessed! Seems a pretty flimsy strategy to follow the money but GL.
Comment
Aye J Mac
SBR Hall of Famer
07-13-12
5424
#30
Boston is Done son!
Comment
pavyracer
SBR Aristocracy
04-12-07
82841
#31
Hawks win in triple digits. Game won't be close. Hawks will send a message to Lebron on what's going to happen to him next.
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CanuckG
SBR Posting Legend
12-23-10
21978
#32
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jjgold
SBR Aristocracy
07-20-05
388179
#33
I have three Miller lights on ice waiting to celebrate my victory