Pretty Sure Hawks Wrap It Up Tonight

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  • jjgold
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 07-20-05
    • 388179

    #1
    Pretty Sure Hawks Wrap It Up Tonight
    Boston beaten down and worn out from this tough Hawk team

    Boston does not have enough offense to win again..nice run
  • vividjohn45
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 11-21-10
    • 6331

    #2
    Yah but home tm is 5-0 in this series so its a hard trend to buck.
    Comment
    • jjgold
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 07-20-05
      • 388179

      #3
      Boston played over their heads at home

      Thomas a ball hog nice player bu he needs more help next year

      Atlanta -2
      Comment
      • lakerboy
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 04-02-09
        • 94379

        #4
        -2 is not good. Game will go to the wire.
        Comment
        • BIGDAY
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 02-17-10
          • 48245

          #5
          Tough to say.

          Staying the fawk away from this game.
          Comment
          • Smoke
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 10-09-09
            • 48111

            #6
            Originally posted by BIGDAY
            Tough to say.

            Staying the fawk away from this game.
            Pound the winner
            Comment
            • WildCelticsFan
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 05-19-14
              • 5420

              #7
              Bet the team that is losing at half
              Comment
              • jjgold
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 07-20-05
                • 388179

                #8
                I see Atlanta by 8

                Team is way better if you watch the games
                Comment
                • WASAAB
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 10-05-15
                  • 115

                  #9
                  Hawks win this game
                  Comment
                  • vividjohn45
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 11-21-10
                    • 6331

                    #10
                    Originally posted by jjgold
                    Boston played over their heads at home

                    Thomas a ball hog nice player bu he needs more help next year

                    Atlanta -2
                    Yeah. I know u had atlanta +2. In game 4 and got burned on the last second shot. As game went ot. Im concerned about a close game 6 as boston has nothing else left and at home but isiahs ankle was swollen yesterday. . Ill parlay cubs ml. And atlanta ml its even money. Good luck jj.
                    Comment
                    • CanuckG
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 12-23-10
                      • 21978

                      #11
                      Originally posted by BIGDAY
                      Tough to say.

                      Staying the fawk away from this game.
                      Let me know so we can fade.
                      Comment
                      • jjgold
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 07-20-05
                        • 388179

                        #12
                        Boston had their lucky wins and it's all over tonight
                        Comment
                        • BIGDAY
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 02-17-10
                          • 48245

                          #13
                          Originally posted by CanuckG
                          Let me know so we can fade.

                          Hawks win by 2
                          Comment
                          • f1ori5
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 04-13-16
                            • 118

                            #14
                            I think that this game is going to be under. It s too important for both teams not to play good defense. What do you think?
                            Comment
                            • iloseagain
                              Restricted User
                              • 06-29-10
                              • 10681

                              #15
                              Originally posted by f1ori5
                              I think that this game is going to be under. It s too important for both teams not to play good defense. What do you think?
                              Definitely under

                              also think hawks close it out
                              Comment
                              • Grits n' Gravy
                                Restricted User
                                • 06-10-10
                                • 13024

                                #16
                                Bad matchup for Boston. If they don't lose tonight, they will lose game 7.
                                Comment
                                • TheMoneyShot
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 02-14-07
                                  • 28672

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by BIGDAY
                                  Tough to say.

                                  Staying the fawk away from this game.
                                  Originally posted by CanuckG

                                  Let me know so we can fade.
                                  Originally posted by BIGDAY


                                  Hawks win by 2

                                  I wouldn't fade. BigDay has the winner here.
                                  Comment
                                  • f1ori5
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 04-13-16
                                    • 118

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by iloseagain
                                    Definitely under

                                    also think hawks close it out
                                    I am waiting for the live game for ML bets but the under looks pretty good. nice call ilose yesterday for that warriors game. keep rollin
                                    Comment
                                    • KVB
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 05-29-14
                                      • 74817

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by BIGDAY
                                      Hawks win by 2
                                      Hawks could win by one and fuk a bunch of tickets. I'm seeing the Boston backers buying the upset purely, since last night while the Atlanta backers don't mind the spread.

                                      A lot of irrelevant stats are giving Boston too much credit which is contributing to the lower line. Even, given the current lineup for Boston, we can see many non-predictive yet often followed numbers still give the Boston Celtics an actual win here.

                                      If we get more sophisticated we can see Atlanta winning this game by anywhere from 7 point to 14 points.

                                      If we add a layer of playoff metrics to sharpen the line we get a game with Atlanta winning by double digits.

                                      The books have a bit of money split here, and with Thomas still listed, as far as I know, as probable Boston is getting more credit in the marketplace than the public may realize. To seasoned gamblers, probable pretty much means he’s in and it should be handicapped as such.

                                      Boston losing by only one point is most certainly in the cards tonight.

                                      Comment
                                      • lakerboy
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 04-02-09
                                        • 94379

                                        #20
                                        Kvb have a beer bro
                                        Comment
                                        • KVB
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 05-29-14
                                          • 74817

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by f1ori5
                                          I think that this game is going to be under. It s too important for both teams not to play good defense. What do you think?
                                          Originally posted by iloseagain
                                          Definitely under...
                                          As lines get more sophisticated they, for the most part, go up from just over 200 to more sophisticated predictions yielding 207 to 208 points.

                                          Many sources show that the tickets representing public opinion are essentially split on the number but it is no surprise that the line moved from the opener of 197 to 199 and above.

                                          On top of that, I can identify certain groups, influential to say the least, seeking the Over based on a different set of handicapping metrics.

                                          In a contrarian type conclusion, this type of alignment combined with the evidence indicating there isn't a clear, valid edge to be found at these prices for the Under could spell disaster for the Over.

                                          The Under just might be a good bet tonight but I would suggest getting the best line possible with 199.5. While there is certain pressure on the Over that could lead to a near game time adjustment in the line, I’m not sure that adjustment will actually raise the line. It’s a market behavior I don’t want to get into now; except to offer that Under backers should get 199.5 and not worry about later movement.

                                          Good Luck

                                          Comment
                                          • KVB
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 05-29-14
                                            • 74817

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by lakerboy
                                            Kvb have a beer bro


                                            Comment
                                            • CanuckG
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 12-23-10
                                              • 21978

                                              #23
                                              Hawks by 1 would be the best case scenario probably.
                                              Comment
                                              • jjgold
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 07-20-05
                                                • 388179

                                                #24
                                                good stuff men

                                                lots of details

                                                I wonder why I fukkin lose
                                                Comment
                                                • IBetYou
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 07-03-15
                                                  • 8158

                                                  #25
                                                  kvb u don't half talk a load of shit

                                                  I liked the hawks until i saw the line. Celtics are a resourceful group. If thomas is OK they have another good effort in 'em.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • jayhawks718
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 03-11-16
                                                    • 160

                                                    #26
                                                    I like it!!!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • UncleChael
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 10-30-13
                                                      • 3979

                                                      #27
                                                      The Hawks never wrap it, they just go in raw.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • iloseagain
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 06-29-10
                                                        • 10681

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by IBetYou

                                                        I liked the hawks until i saw the line. Celtics are a resourceful group.
                                                        Exactly WHY i like the hawks.. And I'm a celts fan
                                                        Comment
                                                        • IBetYou
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 07-03-15
                                                          • 8158

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by iloseagain
                                                          Exactly WHY i like the hawks.. And I'm a celts fan
                                                          I might have guessed! Seems a pretty flimsy strategy to follow the money but GL.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Aye J Mac
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 07-13-12
                                                            • 5424

                                                            #30
                                                            Boston is Done son!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • pavyracer
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 04-12-07
                                                              • 82841

                                                              #31
                                                              Hawks win in triple digits. Game won't be close. Hawks will send a message to Lebron on what's going to happen to him next.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • CanuckG
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 12-23-10
                                                                • 21978

                                                                #32
                                                                Comment
                                                                • jjgold
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 07-20-05
                                                                  • 388179

                                                                  #33
                                                                  I have three Miller lights on ice waiting to celebrate my victory
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • KVB
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 05-29-14
                                                                    • 74817

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Good Luck JJ, I am holding Under 199.5 (-105).

                                                                    Hopefully we won't see OVERtime.

                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • bobbyfk
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 01-19-09
                                                                      • 15218

                                                                      #35
                                                                      on Boston +3
                                                                      Comment
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