MAVS +2050, 1.5units!

[The Kraken]

Gotta play this

Mavs win this game more than 5% of the time

Lets be serious here and do the right thing

Put a fawkin unit on the MAVS

[smitch124]

David Lee getting his ring tonight. If Mavs win they are taking it back before he leaves.

[The Kraken]

+EV Smitch

Bottom line, we bet +EV games

[BigOrange]

Warriors have won 51 straight at home. I don't see how this is +EV but GL to you.

[The Kraken]

It's +EV because I have a gut feeling that Dallas wins more than 5% of the time



Lets be honest, not often in the NBA when a team gets to +2000

Any NBA team wins any particular game atleast 5% of the time

I think

If not, then I lose 1.5 units and move on

[ThaTopMoron]

Dallas was down by 5 late in the 4th q at home to GS just a while back and ended up losing by almost 20.

GS turns it on vs Dallas whenever they want... in Dallas

[WalkingLuckCharm]

[The Kraken]

When you guys are sitting around counting how much you all lost today in NCAA, or counting the pennies you won, I'll be stacking 30 units

Don't say I didn't try

[ThaTopMoron]

When you guys are sitting around counting how much you all lost today in NCAA, or counting the pennies you won, I'll be stacking 30 units

Don't say I didn't try

well for me, I've won all 3 NCAA tourney plays I've posted in PT

I hope Dallas does win the game tonight, I never said they couldn't. Would be funny if GS found a way to go 71-11

[jjgold]

anything is possible as they are pros

[CWD]

word is mavs resting players but cannot confirm anywhere

[chokocup]

Well curry and thompson could get injured in first quarter and this may have a chance

[lakerboy]

I like it.

[POOLSIDE]

Look. If this was a best of 39 series, the Warriors would not sweep. Make the bet.

[The Kraken]

Now at +2250

Nobody thinks DAL wins this game 4% of the time?????

[Crystos]

On it for 1.5. at +1900.
Its like playing a scratch off. Something I normally never do, but every now and again I'll get one for fun. Same logic here. IMO even .1u is worth the shot. Even a sharp (which I'm not) needs to straight up gamble from time to time. I'm also in Dallas so rooting for them regardless. Lets get em Mavs

[downsouth]

If I had anything at 5 dimes I'd pull the trigger.

Good luck

[tatddy]

krak throwing 50 bucks to the books is not +ev. Answer yourselves this. If the Mavericks won would dubs home win percentage be more than 96 percent?

[NJsportsGuy732]

You do know dirk, Harris, and d-will are all out?

[The Kraken]

I got a good feeling about this one

[NJsportsGuy732]

GL to you

[CWD]

mavs are indeed resting players

[Seto]

Doubt Dallas even wins this game 1% of the time.

[NardVa]

Played Mavs as a dog at home to the Warriors a few weeks back. Mavs played a great game, but Warriors shot 60% from 3's which was unreal.

[The Kraken]

Looking good

The MAVS are letting them wear out

Gonna POUNCE on DAT 4SS in the 4Q

[Seto]

Dallas just doesn't have enough talent to compete with this team. They always have a 10-0 run up their sleeve if Dallas tries to get close. The only way this play has a chance is if the Warriors lay a total egg, which I could see happening on the road but not at home.

[The Kraken]

Seto it's over

GSW shooting is on tonight

/thread

[MagicMaker]

Could have just given me half of your bet and I would give you the other half instead of making the bet

[The Kraken]

If I wanted just 1/2 a unit, I would've bet .038 units to win the 1/2 unit

I got greedy!

[lakerboy]

We have a game

[MagicMaker]

No you don't you have less money

[play4win]

and they won't call fouls!

[smitch124]

Why call a timeout if your not even gonna foul after a bucket