ND (-1.5) Will Down SFA

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  • R.P. McMurphy
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 06-15-12
    • 9654

    #106
    Yeah ND got the favorable whistle throughout it seemed. Fouls on both ends went Irish way and how bout that obvious travel with a few min left they didn't call? That had no effect on gm Austin got ball but still felt a bit biased throughout by zebras. Irish did own paint outscoring, 2nd chance pts , rebounds etc main difference in outcome.
    Comment
    • Booya711
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 12-20-11
      • 27329

      #107
      Originally posted by unde0087
      Ya, SFA played the last 3 possessions like they were up 7 and treated Walkup like he was Jordan
      Tough loss...next game
      Comment
      • t-wizzle
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 12-18-09
        • 38099

        #108
        Originally posted by unde0087
        Thanks for noticing wizzle you fuk
        Tough loss. Sharp line. Get the next one.
        Comment
        • Slipknot26
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 07-17-15
          • 5046

          #109
          Line movement very fishy
          Thought ND would win by 1
          Crazy shit
          Comment
          • Breadloser
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 03-16-16
            • 568

            #110
            Just start the next game please. I can't listen to this moron talk any more.
            Comment
            • R.P. McMurphy
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 06-15-12
              • 9654

              #111
              Pavy not "hating" stop with that tard term. No horse in this race just a fact Irish hoop is an afterthought and they don't matter. That kid Walkup from Austin though was gonna be a star and story to talk about all week was my point.
              Comment
              • jeffchitown
                SBR MVP
                • 01-21-16
                • 1859

                #112
                I took sfa when line first came out only bet small on this game. Walkup from wvu game impressed me that i decided it should be a close game id rather have the points. By no means was this a huge bet game either side imo. I will say its hard betting on these smaller schools. Like middle Tennessee i just cant see them winning or keeping it close. But who knows if they play like they did against msu they could very well upset another team. That game ill probably role syracuse still making up my mind.
                Comment
                • unde0087
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 03-27-08
                  • 28959

                  #113
                  Originally posted by Booya711
                  Tough loss...next game
                  into the red for tourney now, should have waited until this morning when ND was +1

                  JJ I am buried with you pal, time to go drowned my sorrows
                  Comment
                  • pavyracer
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 04-12-07
                    • 82840

                    #114
                    Originally posted by R.P. McMurphy
                    Pavy not "hating" stop with that tard term. No horse in this race just a fact Irish hoop is an afterthought and they don't matter. That kid Walkup from Austin though was gonna be a star and story to talk about all week was my point.
                    SFA coach got outcoached the last minute of the game. Instead of shooting the ball which is their strength they went for those stupid isolation plays which never work unless your name is Michael Jordan.
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                    • unde0087
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 03-27-08
                      • 28959

                      #115
                      Congratulations to the ND and SFA backers that got good numbers
                      Comment
                      • R.P. McMurphy
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 06-15-12
                        • 9654

                        #116
                        Yeah possession Walkup milked clock too much was a killer. Needed to be up 2/3 possessions in final min to play foul gm and like Chuckwagon mentioned just could not get that 1 bucket.
                        Comment
                        • jjgold
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 07-20-05
                          • 388179

                          #117
                          numbers mean everything

                          Well ND got lucky
                          Comment
                          • grease lightnin
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 10-01-12
                            • 16015

                            #118
                            I should have taken the points. Din't think the one point cushion was worth 10 percent...
                            Comment
                            • ThaTopMoron
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 04-30-10
                              • 27020

                              #119
                              ouch, tough loss man
                              Comment
                              • Plaza23
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 12-29-13
                                • 7392

                                #120
                                Originally posted by grease lightnin
                                I should have taken the points. Din't think the one point cushion was worth 10 percent...
                                You made the correct play.

                                In 2015-16, there has been 106 games where a team was favored by exactly -1.5 and won the game.
                                5 games the team won by 1 point.
                                101 games the team won by > 1.

                                So you have basically had a slightly less than 5% chance of losing in this scenario (5/106) Buying the cushion for 10% is -EV
                                Comment
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