3 NBA Dogs To Consider

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  • Harry N. Lloyd
    SBR MVP
    • 03-26-08
    • 4810

    #1
    3 NBA Dogs To Consider
    Boyz,

    Last week I rode a bunch of favorites to the pay window. Tonight I'm going take the hounds out for a walk.

    DALLAS +5- at Charlotte. Charlotte's been red hot and the Mavs have been putrid. This line should be 8 or 9. I'll pay attention to the oddsmaker's wink and play the more desperate team.

    CHICAGO +9 at Toronto. It's got to be matchup issues but for some reason the Bulls have taken all 3 games against the Raptors this year. I don't see them getting the win tonight but they should keep it close.

    MEMPHIS +11- at Houston. The Rockets are simply not a team that blows people away. They play down the their competition. Another game where I will just be happy to see Memphis keep it close.

    As always, best of luck
    Harry
  • ByAnYMe9n$
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 10-15-10
    • 587

    #2
    Originally posted by Harry N. Lloyd
    Boyz,

    Last week I rode a bunch of favorites to the pay window. Tonight I'm going take the hounds out for a walk.

    DALLAS +5- at Charlotte. Charlotte's been red hot and the Mavs have been putrid. This line should be 8 or 9. I'll pay attention to the oddsmaker's wink and play the more desperate team.

    CHICAGO +9 at Toronto. It's got to be matchup issues but for some reason the Bulls have taken all 3 games against the Raptors this year. I don't see them getting the win tonight but they should keep it close.

    MEMPHIS +11- at Houston. The Rockets are simply not a team that blows people away. They play down the their competition. Another game where I will just be happy to see Memphis keep it close.

    As always, best of luck
    Harry
    No Gasol Butler minute limit and Rose doubtfuI I like the Raptors
    Comment
    • Killer2121
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 07-28-14
      • 784

      #3
      I really like the grizzlies
      Comment
      • KVB
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 05-29-14
        • 74817

        #4
        Good Luck Harry.

        Comment
        • PatrickSarni
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 03-14-16
          • 570

          #5
          Don't like Memphis at all. they can barely fill out a roster.
          Comment
          • jz833
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 02-05-14
            • 608

            #6
            Detroit looks good
            They've been hot lately.
            Comment
            • SpreadSniper
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 02-17-09
              • 6125

              #7
              Charlotte being 8/9 point fav's is laughable.

              Bulls/Butler have Raptors number - Rose doesn't matter here....

              Memphis is terrible but Houston is so fukkin dysfunctional its jekyl/hyde....

              Of the 3 I have to say I like the Bulls the most.

              Surprised Utah wasn't here?
              Comment
              • KVB
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 05-29-14
                • 74817

                #8
                Originally posted by SpreadSniper
                Charlotte being 8/9 point fav's is laughable...
                Not sure the line ever broke 7.5 and is basically 5.5 or 6 points.

                Comment
                • NardVa
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 10-02-07
                  • 8325

                  #9
                  Originally posted by PatrickSarni
                  Don't like Memphis at all. they can barely fill out a roster.
                  Memphis got 3 D League players on 10 day contracts with one being the starting PG. You figure if Houston shows up they should win easy.
                  Comment
                  • PorkChop
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 09-18-08
                    • 8193

                    #10
                    Originally posted by KVB
                    Not sure the line ever broke 7.5 and is basically 5.5 or 6 points.

                    I played it this morning at William & Hill for +7 (-120). Was listed at +6.5 at time. Dropped now to +5
                    Comment
                    • SpreadSniper
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 02-17-09
                      • 6125

                      #11
                      Originally posted by KVB
                      Not sure the line ever broke 7.5 and is basically 5.5 or 6 points.

                      was referring to the OP's comment that Charlotte 8/9 pt SHOULD be favs
                      Comment
                      • Harry N. Lloyd
                        SBR MVP
                        • 03-26-08
                        • 4810

                        #12
                        Charlotte has won 7 straight, Dallas has lost 5 straight. Heck they give 5 points to the home team in the NBA. That's why I thought the Hornets should be favored by more. But I'm betting as a contrarian here anyway, going with Dallas.
                        Comment
                        • KVB
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 05-29-14
                          • 74817

                          #13
                          Originally posted by SpreadSniper
                          was referring to the OP's comment that Charlotte 8/9 pt SHOULD be favs
                          Got it. Actually, I can produce several forecasts ranging from Charlotte by 7 to Charlotte by 12 or 13 points. The lower number represents a more unsophisiticated, and even non-predictive line while the higher line would be considered more sophisticated and is indeed sharper.

                          The reason the line didn't get to 8 or 9 is that there are groups that seek Dallas for a variety of reasons, not always related to the forecasts. The oddsmakers tried to protect the books from these groups by opening with a lower line but those groups seem to be winning the battle.

                          Could be interesting.

                          Comment
                          • QuantumLeap
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 08-22-08
                            • 6880

                            #14
                            Thanks to everyone in this thread who talked me into taking the Mavs.
                            Comment
                            • Harry N. Lloyd
                              SBR MVP
                              • 03-26-08
                              • 4810

                              #15
                              Nice outright wins on Dallas and Chicago, a total misfire on Memphis. We'll take it.
                              Comment
                              • KVB
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 05-29-14
                                • 74817

                                #16
                                Good work Harry.

                                Comment
                                • iloseagain
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 06-29-10
                                  • 10681

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by QuantumLeap
                                  Thanks to everyone in this thread who talked me into taking the Mavs.
                                  wish i saw this thread... this fits the TGTBT category
                                  Comment
                                  • QuantumLeap
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 08-22-08
                                    • 6880

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by iloseagain
                                    wish i saw this thread... this fits the TGTBT category
                                    Yep. It sure does.
                                    Comment
                                    • tshafer117
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 08-03-11
                                      • 731

                                      #19
                                      Good call
                                      Comment
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