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NBA: Celtics v Cavaliers

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  • JMon
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 12-11-09
    • 9800

    #1
    NBA: Celtics v Cavaliers
    Might be a sucker here, but going with the Celtics and the points. Yes, Cavs are in revenge mode here and in fact, they have won SU their last 8 since the '14 season revenging a same season home loss. Yet this year they won against the Wiz and Bulls, but did not cover.

    Celtics are in a favorable spot here...in fact the same spot they beat the Cavs on the 2/5 as +7 dogs - as road dogs, coming off a home win, with less than 2 days rest. 10-5 SU (7.0) and 14-1 ATS since '13. It appears to be another up tempo game with the total set >=210. This favors the Celtics play, especially in the 2nd half of the season over the last two years. Playing anyone that shoots over 83 fg attempts a game, they are 26-11 SU and 28-9 ATS since '14 (9-3 SU and 11-1 ATS as a road dog). Both teams off a b2b, with Celtics winning their last 5 at home and now on the road. Celtics have done remarkable well here...winning at least 4 of 5 on a home stand and then travel on road as a dog. In their last 10 or into the '14 season, they are 7-3 SU and 9-1 ATS.

    With this fukkin write up, I'm bound to lose...pass, tail, or fade....bol

    INTERNET: Straight Bet risk 550.00 win 500.00
    503 Celtics +7½ (-110) risk 550.00 win 500.00 (NBA)
    03/05/16 12:25:25
    #35485533
  • lakerboy
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 04-02-09
    • 94463

    #2
    Gl JMon. Personally I like the cavs.
    Comment
    • jjgold
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 07-20-05
      • 388208

      #3
      Cavs easy

      Boston due for a bad loss

      Cleve knows a loss and their season is over
      Comment
      • klemopixx
        SBR MVP
        • 10-02-14
        • 3824

        #4
        For some reason I like Boston here too. They're an up n coming team that is focused to show they can beat a top seed team. I'm calling for the upset here, +7.5 seems solid to me.
        Comment
        • laumart
          SBR Rookie
          • 09-15-15
          • 30

          #5
          K. Love is playing ?
          Comment
          • JMon
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 12-11-09
            • 9800

            #6
            Originally posted by lakerboy
            Gl JMon. Personally I like the cavs.
            for what reason, I may ask. Damn near took ml too.
            Comment
            • Mac4Lyfe
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 01-04-09
              • 48806

              #7
              I like the play. I also think KLove might have a big game if he plays after a day of rest. He should still be pissed for Olynyk ripping his shoulder out last year.
              Comment
              • Johnnythunder
                SBR MVP
                • 11-25-10
                • 2161

                #8
                Hit the under hard.
                Comment
                • JMon
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 12-11-09
                  • 9800

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Johnnythunder
                  Hit the under hard.
                  why? If slow pace, Boston loses and ATS
                  Comment
                  • KVB
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 05-29-14
                    • 74866

                    #10
                    I missed this, game started and Boston up 21-13.

                    For what it's worth Jmon, I have Boston winning by a couple points in about a 208 point game.

                    Also, a good number of non predictive stat based ranking models give Cleveland a 6 point edge with lower totals.

                    I hate leading early so Cleveland could come back to win but the +7.5 looks good so far. These 4:00 games, particularly on Fridays, are in an excellent spot to sway the markets...and that inreases the chances of getting a misleading game or game of two different halves.

                    Comment
                    • jjgold
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 07-20-05
                      • 388208

                      #11
                      Good start for Boston

                      Man if Cleve ever lost it kills them for season
                      Comment
                      • lakerboy
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 04-02-09
                        • 94463

                        #12
                        Originally posted by jjgold
                        Good start for Boston

                        Man if Cleve ever lost it kills them for season
                        How?
                        Comment
                        • Booya711
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 12-20-11
                          • 27364

                          #13
                          GL JMon...I like the bulls and clipps tonight
                          Comment
                          • WalkingLuckCharm
                            SBR MVP
                            • 06-07-10
                            • 4197

                            #14
                            go get em man
                            Comment
                            • Mac4Lyfe
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 01-04-09
                              • 48806

                              #15
                              Cav's with a huge come back in the 2nd quarter to take the lead. Should be a great 2nd half.
                              Comment
                              • jjgold
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 07-20-05
                                • 388208

                                #16
                                Confidence wise


                                Originally posted by lakerboy
                                How?
                                Comment
                                • KVB
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 05-29-14
                                  • 74866

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by KVB
                                  ...and that inreases the chances of getting a misleading game or game of two different halves...
                                  Even when we know what to look for it can still be hard to profit. Cleveland took a one point lead before halftime, then the halftime line was -6.

                                  The game turned itself around too soon. Had Cleveland been trailing at half, those looking for the comeback would have been in play. As it stands, they got knocked out before it could be bet.

                                  Comment
                                  • NardVa
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 10-02-07
                                    • 8325

                                    #18
                                    Celtics are outplaying the Cavs, but the Cavs getting free throws almost 3 to 1. Home cooking at it's finest. At the end of the 3rd. Cavs got almost 20 extra free throw attempts.
                                    Comment
                                    • Mac4Lyfe
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 01-04-09
                                      • 48806

                                      #19
                                      Celtics are a hacking team. They foul on every play and hope the refs get fatigued. Half the Celtics should be fouled out by now. Brad Stevens is a hack strategy coach coming from Butler. His teams are God awful watches because they try to play bully ball and not real basketball. The entire team is offensively challenged so they try to beat teams up.

                                      Originally posted by NardVa
                                      Celtics are outplaying the Cavs, but the Cavs getting free throws almost 3 to 1. Home cooking at it's finest. At the end of the 3rd. Cavs got almost 20 extra free throw attempts.
                                      Comment
                                      • JMon
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 12-11-09
                                        • 9800

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by NardVa
                                        Celtics are outplaying the Cavs, but the Cavs getting free throws almost 3 to 1. Home cooking at it's finest. At the end of the 3rd. Cavs got almost 20 extra free throw attempts.
                                        The way the pace is going, Bos will cover. At least that what's half my bet is on.
                                        Comment
                                        • JMon
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 12-11-09
                                          • 9800

                                          #21
                                          fukk me.. called it..

                                          "With this fukkin write up, I'm bound to lose"
                                          Comment
                                          • WalkingLuckCharm
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 06-07-10
                                            • 4197

                                            #22
                                            is that why you stopped your write ups? they were good dude!
                                            Comment
                                            • JMon
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 12-11-09
                                              • 9800

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by WalkingLuckCharm
                                              is that why you stopped your write ups? they were good dude!
                                              We are family of immediate gratification. I jinxed myself writing that bs. Who are we kidding
                                              Comment
                                              • jjgold
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 07-20-05
                                                • 388208

                                                #24
                                                good call whoever had Cleve
                                                Comment
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